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This paper analyzes the domestic and external drivers of local staple food prices in Sub-Saharan Africa. Using data on domestic market prices of the five most consumed staple foods from 15 countries, this paper finds that external factors drive food price inflation, but domestic factors can mitigate these vulnerabilities. On the external side, our estimations show that Sub-Saharan African countries are highly vulnerable to global food prices, with the pass-through from global to local food prices estimated close to unity for highly imported staples. On the domestic side, staple food price inflation is lower in countries with greater local production and among products with lower consumption shares. Additionally, adverse shocks such as natural disasters and wars bring 1.8 and 4 percent staple food price surges respectively beyond generalized price increases. Economic policy can lower food price inflation, as the strength of monetary policy and fiscal frameworks, the overall economic environment, and transport constraints in geographically challenged areas account for substantial cross-country differences in staple food prices.
Abstract: The primary causes of food price rises in this decade have been agricultural commodity shortages caused by bad weather and increased food marketing costs, especially labor costs, spurred by inflation. Lack of sufficient data makes it difficult to determine why food prices do not fall when farm prices fall. Government and food industry's roles in the food system could be improved to lower price levels or slow the rate of increase. Recommendations given are based on results of studies which indicate food prices reflect increase food industry cost.s. Government could assist in controlling price increases through 1) modifications of transportation regulations; 2) increased efficiency to reduce marketing costs; 3) increase consumer information and protection. Food industry may decrease cost through 1) computerized checkout system expansion; 2) reducing food loss; and 3) moving toward standardization of primary and secondary containers to package and transport food.