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The best way to master probability is to work problems-lots of them. Through repeated practice, formerly fuzzy concepts begin to make sense, and solution strategies become clear. The Probability Workbook is a companion to The Probability Handbook, which covers counting techniques, probability rules, discrete probability distributions, and continuous probability distributions. This workbook offers more than 400 problems covering a wide range of probability techniques and distributions. From poker problems, to famous problems by luminaries in the field such as Pascal, Fermat, Bertrand, Fisher, and Deming, this one-of-a-kind book gives detailed numerical solutions and explanations presented in a conversational way. There are general probability questions involving travel itineraries, baseball, and birth orders, as well as more real-world applications such as quality inspection, reliability, statistical process control, and simulation. Problems applicable to the manufacturing, healthcare, business, and hospitality and tourism industries are included. For easy reference, each numbered problem in the workbook is categorized by broad topic area, and then by a more detailed, descriptive title. In addition to the topic and title, the level of difficulty is displayed for each problem using a die icon. This workbook is an invaluable resource for the probability portions of ASQ's CQE, CSSGB, CSSBB, CSSMBB, and CRE exams.
A self-study guide for practicing engineers, scientists, and students, this book offers practical, worked-out examples on continuous and discrete probability for problem-solving courses. It is filled with handy diagrams, examples, and solutions that greatly aid in the comprehension of a variety of probability problems.
This classroom-tested textbook is an introduction to probability theory, with the right balance between mathematical precision, probabilistic intuition, and concrete applications. Introduction to Probability covers the material precisely, while avoiding excessive technical details. After introducing the basic vocabulary of randomness, including events, probabilities, and random variables, the text offers the reader a first glimpse of the major theorems of the subject: the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem. The important probability distributions are introduced organically as they arise from applications. The discrete and continuous sides of probability are treated together to emphasize their similarities. Intended for students with a calculus background, the text teaches not only the nuts and bolts of probability theory and how to solve specific problems, but also why the methods of solution work.
The book covers basic concepts such as random experiments, probability axioms, conditional probability, and counting methods, single and multiple random variables (discrete, continuous, and mixed), as well as moment-generating functions, characteristic functions, random vectors, and inequalities; limit theorems and convergence; introduction to Bayesian and classical statistics; random processes including processing of random signals, Poisson processes, discrete-time and continuous-time Markov chains, and Brownian motion; simulation using MATLAB and R.
The best way to master probability is to work problems—lots of them. Through repeated practice, formerly fuzzy concepts begin to make sense, and solution strategies become clear. The Probability Workbook is a companion to The Probability Handbook, which covers counting techniques, probability rules, discrete probability distributions, and continuous probability distributions. This workbook offers more than 400 problems covering a wide range of probability techniques and distributions. From poker problems, to famous problems by luminaries in the field such as Pascal, Fermat, Bertrand, Fisher, and Deming, this one-of-a-kind book gives detailed numerical solutions and explanations presented in a conversational way. There are general probability questions involving travel itineraries, baseball, and birth orders, as well as more real-world applications such as quality inspection, reliability, statistical process control, and simulation. Problems applicable to the manufacturing, healthcare, business, and hospitality and tourism industries are included. For example, how many ways can the letters Q-U-A-L-I-T-Y be arranged? In poker, how many ways can a player be dealt a royal flush? If 4.5% of a hospital’s admissions are due to community-acquired and records show that the probability that a pneumonia patient is readmitted within 30 days of discharge is 14.6%. The readmission rate for all other diagnoses is 12.1%, what is the probability that a patient is readmitted given that he had pneumonia? For easy reference, each numbered problem in the workbook is categorized by broad topic area, and then by a more detailed, descriptive title. In addition to the topic and title, the level of difficulty is displayed for each problem using a die icon. This workbook is an invaluable resource for the probability portions of ASQ’s CQE, CSSGB, CSSBB, CSSMBB, and CRE exams. For those interested in taking a certification exam, the 50 multiple-choice questions found on the CD-ROM will be a good study resource. The questions draw from topics throughout the text, presented in random order.
This book of problems is designed to challenge students learning probability. Each chapter is divided into three parts: Problems, Hints, and Solutions. All Problems sections include expository material, making the book self-contained. Definitions and statements of important results are interlaced with relevant problems. The only prerequisite is basic algebra and calculus.
Unlike traditional introductory math/stat textbooks, Probability and Statistics: The Science of Uncertainty brings a modern flavor based on incorporating the computer to the course and an integrated approach to inference. From the start the book integrates simulations into its theoretical coverage, and emphasizes the use of computer-powered computation throughout.* Math and science majors with just one year of calculus can use this text and experience a refreshing blend of applications and theory that goes beyond merely mastering the technicalities. They'll get a thorough grounding in probability theory, and go beyond that to the theory of statistical inference and its applications. An integrated approach to inference is presented that includes the frequency approach as well as Bayesian methodology. Bayesian inference is developed as a logical extension of likelihood methods. A separate chapter is devoted to the important topic of model checking and this is applied in the context of the standard applied statistical techniques. Examples of data analyses using real-world data are presented throughout the text. A final chapter introduces a number of the most important stochastic process models using elementary methods. *Note: An appendix in the book contains Minitab code for more involved computations. The code can be used by students as templates for their own calculations. If a software package like Minitab is used with the course then no programming is required by the students.
Probability is tough – even those fairly well versed in statistical analysis balk at the prospect of tackling it. Many probability concepts seem counterintuitive at first, and the successful student must in effect train him or herself to think in a totally new way. Mastery of probability takes a lot of time, and only comes from solving many, many problems. The aim of this text and its companion, The Probability Workbook (coming soon), is to present the subject of probability as a tutor would. Probability concepts are explained in everyday language and worked examples are presented in abundance. In addition to paper-and-pencil solutions, solution strategies using Microsoft Excel functions are given. All mathematical symbols are explained, and the mathematical rigor is kept on an algebra level; calculus is avoided. This book is written for quality practitioners who are currently performing statistical and probability analyses in their workplaces, and for those seeking to learn probability concepts for the American Society for Quality (ASQ) Certified Quality Engineer, Reliability Engineer, Six Sigma Green Belt, Black Belt, or Master Black Belt exams.
An integrated package of powerful probabilistic tools and key applications in modern mathematical data science.