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Statistical inference carries great significance in model building from both the theoretical and the applications points of view. Its applications to engineering and economic systems, financial economics, and the biological and medical sciences have made statistical inference for stochastic processes a well-recognized and important branch of statistics and probability. The class of semimartingales includes a large class of stochastic processes, including diffusion type processes, point processes, and diffusion type processes with jumps, widely used for stochastic modeling. Until now, however, researchers have had no single reference that collected the research conducted on the asymptotic theory for semimartingales. Semimartingales and their Statistical Inference, fills this need by presenting a comprehensive discussion of the asymptotic theory of semimartingales at a level needed for researchers working in the area of statistical inference for stochastic processes. The author brings together into one volume the state-of-the-art in the inferential aspect for such processes. The topics discussed include: Asymptotic likelihood theory Quasi-likelihood Likelihood and efficiency Inference for counting processes Inference for semimartingale regression models The author addresses a number of stochastic modeling applications from engineering, economic systems, financial economics, and medical sciences. He also includes some of the new and challenging statistical and probabilistic problems facing today's active researchers working in the area of inference for stochastic processes.
The author considers estimation procedures for the moving average model of order q. Walker's method uses k sample autocovariances (k> or = q). Assume that k depends on T in such a way that k nears infinity as T nears infinity. The estimates are consistent, asymptotically normal and asymptotically efficient if k = k (T) dominates log T and is dominated by (T sub 1/2). The approach in proving these theorems involves obtaining an explicit form for the components of the inverse of a symmetric matrix with equal elements along its five central diagonals, and zeroes elsewhere. The asymptotic normality follows from a central limit theorem for normalized sums of random variables that are dependent of order k, where k tends to infinity with T. An alternative form of the estimator facilitates the calculations and the analysis of the role of k, without changing the asymptotic properties.
The first account in book form of all the essential features of the quasi-likelihood methodology, stressing its value as a general purpose inferential tool. The treatment is rather informal, emphasizing essential principles rather than detailed proofs, and readers are assumed to have a firm grounding in probability and statistics at the graduate level. Many examples of the use of the methods in both classical statistical and stochastic process contexts are provided.
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