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I have crossed the perfect bridge many times. If I didn't look for the bridge, I'd be perpetually stuck in the face of a rut. Sometimes the bridge is easy to see when the way seems impassable. Other times, I have had to search, sometimes plead, to be shown the way. Curiously, the bridge is always the same one. It looks a bit different to me in every season, but the journey across has become increasingly inviting. It is also becoming increasingly easier to recognize. In this book of poems and Scripture meditations, I invite you to join me for my walk. Listen with me a moment to the birds singing. Visualize the miraculous growth of a tree. Contemplate the colors of autumn's reflections, and bundle up to make some footprints as we walk together across the icy snow. The bridge will hold us, and I believe we will, together, find joy in the journey through the seasons of life.
China’s Cultural Revolution brought a halt to the everyday life of ordinary citizens, and the monotonous routine of daily life was disturbed by political accusations made by ‘Red Guards’. The writer gives vivid descriptions of incidents: the burning of antiques, destroying artists’ work, desecrating religious places of worship and attacking the religious beliefs of the people. Forty seven years have now elapsed, and the present generation of Chinese may be able to understand some of the political developments that opened up the country, liberalising the economy, and the beginning of some form of individual freedom. Although living in the diplomatic enclave, the writer seized the opportunity to gather information from a cross section of Chinese, and from translations of the local newspaper Shinhwa. She is sympathetic to Chairman Mao’s idealism but with the advent of indisciplined and immature groups of Red Guards negating the democratic communist dream, the heroine in the novel naively believes different things could be achieved. The story is fact and fiction, as firsthand incidents that took place bring out the authenticity of this historical period in China. The characters are fictitious and if there is any resemblance to actual people it is entirely coincidental. This is the work of an author moving in an environment of diplomats and politicians during a very volatile period.
In Mrs. Bridge, Evan S. Connell, a consummate storyteller, artfully crafts a portrait using the finest of details in everyday events and confrontations. With a surgeon's skill, Connell cuts away the middle-class security blanket of uniformity to expose the arrested development underneath-the entropy of time and relationships lead Mrs. Bridge's three children and husband to recede into a remote silence, and she herself drifts further into doubt and confusion. The raised evening newspaper becomes almost a fire screen to deflect any possible spark of conversation. The novel is compris.
This book is unique in three ways: First, it recognizes that bridge is a social game, requiring two sets of partners. Since partners need to signal what they hold in their hand, it is necessary for them to establish an agreement as to what they will do in certain situations. This agreement is achieved by holding a conversation with your partner. Most bridge books only go that far on this subject. This book presents a virtual conversation between two people who have never met and they are telling each other what they know and what they do not know. This conversation is the "glue" that keeps them together. Secondly, the book recognizes that there are 4 players involved and that each player has a different role depending on which seat they occupy. For, example the First Seat always opens the bidding. Each seat has a chapter dedicated to that role. Finally, everything up to the play of the tricks is foreplay. This book shows 13 full deals that include the play of 13 tricks in each full deal including a strategy analysis section and a lessons learned.
Confronts the "legendary Jesus" case, showing how the Synoptic Gospels are the most historically probable representation of the actual Jesus of history.
There are three unique things about this book: (1) It is the first book in about 40 years to deal with the entire game of bridge, (2) It represents the best thinking of modern day experts and (3) It is expecially well organized and easy to read. The book received the 1997 Book of the Year award and continues to be a bestseller at national tournaments
Remarkable puzzlers, graded in difficulty, illustrate elementary and advanced aspects of probability. These problems were selected for originality, general interest, or because they demonstrate valuable techniques. Also includes detailed solutions.
Discover the latest edition of a practical introduction to the theory of probability, complete with R code samples In the newly revised Second Edition of Probability: With Applications and R, distinguished researchers Drs. Robert Dobrow and Amy Wagaman deliver a thorough introduction to the foundations of probability theory. The book includes a host of chapter exercises, examples in R with included code, and well-explained solutions. With new and improved discussions on reproducibility for random numbers and how to set seeds in R, and organizational changes, the new edition will be of use to anyone taking their first probability course within a mathematics, statistics, engineering, or data science program. New exercises and supplemental materials support more engagement with R, and include new code samples to accompany examples in a variety of chapters and sections that didn’t include them in the first edition. The new edition also includes for the first time: A thorough discussion of reproducibility in the context of generating random numbers Revised sections and exercises on conditioning, and a renewed description of specifying PMFs and PDFs Substantial organizational changes to improve the flow of the material Additional descriptions and supplemental examples to the bivariate sections to assist students with a limited understanding of calculus Perfect for upper-level undergraduate students in a first course on probability theory, Probability: With Applications and R is also ideal for researchers seeking to learn probability from the ground up or those self-studying probability for the purpose of taking advanced coursework or preparing for actuarial exams.
An introduction to probability at the undergraduate level Chance and randomness are encountered on a daily basis. Authored by a highly qualified professor in the field, Probability: With Applications and R delves into the theories and applications essential to obtaining a thorough understanding of probability. With real-life examples and thoughtful exercises from fields as diverse as biology, computer science, cryptology, ecology, public health, and sports, the book is accessible for a variety of readers. The book’s emphasis on simulation through the use of the popular R software language clarifies and illustrates key computational and theoretical results. Probability: With Applications and R helps readers develop problem-solving skills and delivers an appropriate mix of theory and application. The book includes: Chapters covering first principles, conditional probability, independent trials, random variables, discrete distributions, continuous probability, continuous distributions, conditional distribution, and limits An early introduction to random variables and Monte Carlo simulation and an emphasis on conditional probability, conditioning, and developing probabilistic intuition An R tutorial with example script files Many classic and historical problems of probability as well as nontraditional material, such as Benford’s law, power-law distributions, and Bayesian statistics A topics section with suitable material for projects and explorations, such as random walk on graphs, Markov chains, and Markov chain Monte Carlo Chapter-by-chapter summaries and hundreds of practical exercises Probability: With Applications and R is an ideal text for a beginning course in probability at the undergraduate level.