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Paraguay

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Published: 2023-06-13

Total Pages: 60


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Recent developments: Paraguay continues to recover from last year’s severe drought, with economic growth for 2023 expected at 4.5 percent. The recovery of agricultural exports is also contributing to an improved external current account, easing potential pressures on the exchange rate. In the context of a continued tight monetary policy stance, inflation has been declining over the last twelve months. The government successfully reduced the fiscal deficit to 3 percent of GDP, and fiscal policies remain on the envisaged consolidation path. Paraguay’s financial and banking sector remains stable. On April 30, Paraguay held national elections in which the candidate for the ruling Colorado party, Santiago Peña, was elected President by a significant margin.

Paraguay

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Published: 2022-12-02

Total Pages: 74


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Paraguay continues to recover from the COVID-19 pandemic amidst simultaneous shocks that would lead to flat GDP growth and inflation above the IT range this year. Those conditions are reflected in rising social demands within a politicized environment before the 2023 general elections. The outlook remains favorable, and the authorities are pursuing policies to follow a stronger, more resilient, and inclusive development path. On the back of very positive experiences with Fund-supported programs, the authorities are requesting approval of a two-year program supported by the Policy Coordination Instrument (PCI) to underpin the implementation of needed structural reforms.

Paraguay

International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.

Published: 2024-07

Total Pages: 109


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Paraguay's economy had a strong year in 2023, growing 4.7 percent. Growth this year continues to be led by robust agricultural production, exports, and high electricity generation. Monetary policy was adjusted timely to rapidly falling inflation and is now approaching a neutral stance. The fiscal position deteriorated but consolidation has started. The external current account is expected to stay close to balance. Banks remain profitable and well provisioned.
Raising growth on a sustainable basis and addressing widespread poverty are the main challenges for Paraguay. The macroeconomic program for 2007 aims at raising growth and reducing inflation. IMF staff recommends that the next Article IV Consultation continues within the 24-month cycle, and supports completion of the second and third Stand-by Arrangement (SBA) reviews. After the 2002 financial crisis, growth has rebounded to almost twice its long-term average, per capita income surged to its highest level in 8 years, and extreme poverty has been reduced by almost one third.