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Arbitrage Theory provides the foundation for the pricing of financial derivatives and has become indispensable in both financial theory and financial practice. This textbook offers a rigorous and comprehensive introduction to the mathematics of arbitrage pricing in a discrete-time, finite-state economy in which a finite number of securities are traded. In a first step, various versions of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing, i.e., characterizations of when a market does not admit arbitrage opportunities, are proved. The book then focuses on incomplete markets where the main concern is to obtain a precise description of the set of “market-consistent” prices for nontraded financial contracts, i.e. the set of prices at which such contracts could be transacted between rational agents. Both European-type and American-type contracts are considered. A distinguishing feature of this book is its emphasis on market-consistent prices and a systematic description of pricing rules, also at intermediate dates. The benefits of this approach are most evident in the treatment of American options, which is novel in terms of both the presentation and the scope, while also presenting new results. The focus on discrete-time, finite-state models makes it possible to cover all relevant topics while requiring only a moderate mathematical background on the part of the reader. The book will appeal to mathematical finance and financial economics students seeking an elementary but rigorous introduction to the subject; mathematics and physics students looking for an opportunity to get acquainted with a modern applied topic; and mathematicians, physicists and quantitatively inclined economists working or planning to work in the financial industry.
It is often useful to price assets and other random payoffs by reference to other observed prices rather than construct full-fledged economic asset pricing models. This approach breaks down if one cannot find a perfect replicating portfolio. We impose weak economic restrictions to derive usefully tight bounds on asset prices in this situation. The bounds basically rule out high Sharpe ratios - `good deals' - as well as arbitrage opportunities. We present the method of calculation, we extend it to a multiperiod context by finding a recursive solution, and we apply it to option pricing examples including the Black-Scholes setup with infrequent trading, and a model with stochastic stock volatility and a varying riskfree rate.
One often wants to value a given asset or risky payoff by reference to observed prices of other assets rather than by exploiting full-fledged economic models. However, this approach breaks down if one cannot find a perfect replicating portfolio. We impose weak economic restrictions to derive usefully tight bounds on asset prices in this situation. The bounds basically rule out high Sharpe ratios - quot;good dealsquot; - as well as arbitrage opportunities. We show how to calculate the price bounds in two-period, multiperiod and continuous time contexts. We show that the multiperiod problem can be solved recursively as a sequence of two-period problems. We calculate bounds in option pricing examples including infrequent trading, an option written on a nontraded event, and in an environment with stochastic stock volatility and a varying riskfree rate.
Mandelbrot and van Ness (1968) suggested fractional Brownian motion as a parsimonious model for the dynamics of ?nancial price data, which allows for dependence between returns over time. Starting with Rogers(1997) there is an ongoing dispute on the proper usage of fractional Brownian motion in option pricing theory. Problems arise because fractional Brownian motion is not a semimartingale and therefore “no arbitrage pricing” cannot be applied. While this is consensus, the consequences are not as clear. The orthodox interpretation is simply that fractional Brownian motion is an inadequate candidate for a price process. However, as shown by Cheridito (2003) any theoretical arbitrage opportunities disappear by assuming that market p- ticipants cannot react instantaneously. This is the point of departure of Rostek’s dissertation. He contributes to this research in several respects: (i) He delivers a thorough introduction to fr- tional integration calculus and uses the binomial approximation of fractional Brownianmotion to give the reader a ?rst idea of this special market setting.
This volume offers the reader practical methods to compute the option prices in the incomplete asset markets. The [GLP & MEMM] pricing models are clearly introduced, and the properties of these models are discussed in great detail. It is shown that the geometric L(r)vy process (GLP) is a typical example of the incomplete market, and that the MEMM (minimal entropy martingale measure) is an extremely powerful pricing measure. This volume also presents the calibration procedure of the [GLP \& MEMM] model that has been widely used in the application of practical problem
Consider a non-spanned security C_T in an incomplete market. We study the risk/return trade-offs generated if this security is sold for an arbitrage-free price 'c0' and then hedged. We consider recursive one-period optimal self-financing hedging strategies, a simple but tractable criterion. For continuous trading, diffusion processes, the one-period minimum variance portfolio is optimal. Let C_0(0) be its price. Self-financing implies that the residual risk is equal to the sum of the one-period orthogonal hedging errors, sum Y_t(0) . To compensate the residual risk, a risk premium y_t ?t is associated with every Y_t. Now let C_0(y) be the price of the hedging portfolio, and sum (Y_t(y) + y_t ?t) is the total residual risk. Although not the same, the one-period hedging errors Y_t (0) and Y_t (y) are orthogonal to the trading assets, and are perfectly correlated. This implies that the spanned option payoff does not depend on y. Let c0=C_0(y). A main result follows. Any arbitrage-free price, c0, is just the price of a hedging portfolio (such as in a complete market), C_0(0), plus a premium, c0-C_0(0). That is, C_0(0) is the price of the option's payoff which can be spanned, and c0-C_0(0) is the premium associated with the option's payoff which cannot be spanned (and yields a contingent risk premium of sum y_t ?t at maturity). We study other applications of option-pricing theory as well.
Stochastic Volatility in Financial Markets presents advanced topics in financial econometrics and theoretical finance, and is divided into three main parts. The first part aims at documenting an empirical regularity of financial price changes: the occurrence of sudden and persistent changes of financial markets volatility. This phenomenon, technically termed `stochastic volatility', or `conditional heteroskedasticity', has been well known for at least 20 years; in this part, further, useful theoretical properties of conditionally heteroskedastic models are uncovered. The second part goes beyond the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility models: it constructs and uses new fully articulated, theoretically-sounded financial asset pricing models that allow for the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity. The third part shows how the inclusion of the statistical aspects of stochastic volatility in a rigorous economic scheme can be faced from an empirical standpoint.