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Praise for Digital Deflation: "Technology, productivity, deflation, and wealth creation. It's all here, and Graham Tanaka is right on target!" --Lawrence Kudlow, CNBC's "Kudlow & Cramer." "Whether you're bullish, bearish or in between, this is an important book for all investors to read!" --Dr. Edward Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist, Prudential Securities "Once in a great while, an original and thought-provoking book comes along. Digital Deflation is it--a must read!" --Thomas R. Schwarz, former president and COO, Dunkin' Donuts, Inc. "Graham Tanaka has sensed, well ahead of most, the issues surrounding the possible emergence of 'deflation.' He demonstrates that our measurement processes, tuned as they are to inflation, are not picking up the declines in real prices that are occurring--and that we are missing the implications for our economy and corporate strategies." --William C. Dunkelberg, chief economist, National Federation of Independent Business "Consumers spend on goods and services with the greatest quality improvement rather than merely responding to price information. Thank Graham Tanaka for laying out this and other valuable insights in Digital Deflation. Read it." --Wayne Angell, former Federal Reserve Governor How the "digital revolution" is driving today's economy--and its impact on corporations, government policy, and the stock market New technologies have transformed how today's economy works. Digital Deflationexamines this new economic environment, from how we got here to where we are going. Eye-opening yet solidly grounded, it explains how low inflation and interest rates, coupled with technology-driven productivity gains, will create massive wealth in the coming decades, and benefit stock market P/E multiples over the long term. Combining insightful analyses with convincing charts and graphs, Digital Deflationprovides a clear understanding of how digital technologies will continue to alter every aspect of business. Readers will discover: Why inflation declined so dramatically in the 1980s and 1990s, and is likely to head even lower New measures of economic activity and how they will affect policy The laws of digital deflation--how they work and what they mean for corporate decision makers
Praise for Digital Deflation: "Technology, productivity, deflation, and wealth creation. Its all here, and Graham Tanaka is right on target!" --Lawrence Kudlow, CNBCs "Kudlow & Cramer." "Whether youre bullish, bearish or in between, this is an important book for all investors to read!" --Dr. Edward Yardeni, Chief Investment Strategist, Prudential Securities "Once in a great while, an original and thought-provoking book comes along. Digital Deflation is it--a must read!" --Thomas R. Schwarz, former president and COO, Dunkin Donuts, Inc. "Graham Tanaka has sensed, well ahead of most, the issues surrounding the possible emergence of deflation. He demonstrates that our measurement processes, tuned as they are to inflation, are not picking up the declines in real prices that are occurring--and that we are missing the implications for our economy and corporate strategies." --William C. Dunkelberg, chief economist, National Federation of Independent Business "Consumers spend on goods and services with the greatest quality improvement rather than merely responding to price information. Thank Graham Tanaka for laying out this and other valuable insights in Digital Deflation. Read it." --Wayne Angell, former Federal Reserve Governor How the "digital revolution" is driving todays economy--and its impact on corporations, government policy, and the stock market New technologies have transformed how todays economy works. Digital Deflationexamines this new economic environment, from how we got here to where we are going. Eye-opening yet solidly grounded, it explains how low inflation and interest rates, coupled with technology-driven productivity gains, will create massive wealth in the coming decades, and benefit stock market P/E multiples over the long term. Combining insightful analyses with convincing charts and graphs, Digital Deflationprovides a clear understanding of how digital technologies will continue to alter every aspect of business. Readers will discover: Why inflation declined so dramatically in the 1980s and 1990s, and is likely to head even lower New measures of economic activity and how they will affect policy The laws of digital deflation--how they work and what they mean for corporate decision makers
We live in an extraordinary time. In a world that moves faster than we can imagine, we cannot afford to stand still. In this extraordinary contrarian book Jeff Booth details the technological and economic realities shaping our present and our future, and the choices we face as we go forward-a potentially alarming, but deeply hopeful situation.
Though steadily falling prices over a prolonged period sounds like a good thing, deflation is the ultimate vicious cycle. When the money supply decreases due to tight credit, a terrible cascade of negative reactions ensues, often leading to severe economic contraction, recession, or depression. If there is too little money circulating in the economy, demand for goods drops, as do prices. If companies sell less at a lower profit, they cut back on manufacturing of existing products and development of new ones. They eventually are forced to release workers. Unemployed workers spend even less on consumer goods, so demand and prices dip even lower. More layoffs occur, and the negative cycle deepens. This book is an invaluable guide to this most dangerous of economic cycles and offers the power of knowledge, helping readers to adapt to shifting economic trends with comprehension, historical perspective, and sound advice and strategies.
This original and panoramic book proposes that the underlying forces of demography and globalisation will shortly reverse three multi-decade global trends – it will raise inflation and interest rates, but lead to a pullback in inequality. “Whatever the future holds”, the authors argue, “it will be nothing like the past”. Deflationary headwinds over the last three decades have been primarily due to an enormous surge in the world’s available labour supply, owing to very favourable demographic trends and the entry of China and Eastern Europe into the world’s trading system. This book demonstrates how these demographic trends are on the point of reversing sharply, coinciding with a retreat from globalisation. The result? Ageing can be expected to raise inflation and interest rates, bringing a slew of problems for an over-indebted world economy, but is also anticipated to increase the share of labour, so that inequality falls. Covering many social and political factors, as well as those that are more purely macroeconomic, the authors address topics including ageing, dementia, inequality, populism, retirement and debt finance, among others. This book will be of interest and understandable to anyone with an interest on where the world’s economy may be going.
Readers discover what deflation is in global and national economies through accessible, easy-to-understand terms. They also learn how deflation is measured as well as how rises and falls in the Gross Domestic Product describe expansions and downturns in the economy. Japan’s “lost decade” of the 1990s is used as an international example to illustrate how deflation affects people. Students investigate the U.S. economy by learning about fiscal policy, deflation, and economic booms and downturns, monetary policy, and liquidity traps. They also learn about “bad deflation” and “good deflation.” This straightforward book gives readers a thorough grounding in what happens to their purchasing power with deflation, and how deflation influences their spending decisions, investment choices, employment, income, and loans.
The history of how computers spread to over 20 nations globally in less than six decades, exploring economic, political, social and technological reasons and consequences. It is based on extensive research into primary and secondary sources, and concludes with a discussion of implications for key players in the globalized economy.
The Digital Hand, Volume 2, is a historical survey of how computers and telecommunications have been deployed in over a dozen industries in the financial, telecommunications, media and entertainment sectors over the past half century. It is past of a sweeping three-volume description of how management in some forty industries embraced the computer and changed the American economy. Computers have fundamentally changed the nature of work in America. However it is difficult to grasp the full extent of these changes and their implications for the future of business. To begin the long process of understanding the effects of computing in American business, we need to know the history of how computers were first used, by whom and why. In this, the second volume of The Digital Hand, James W. Cortada combines detailed analysis with narrative history to provide a broad overview of computing's and telecomunications' role in over a dozen industries, ranging from Old Economy sectors like finance and publishing to New Economy sectors like digital photography and video games. He also devotes considerable attention to the rapidly changing media and entertainment industries which are now some of the most technologically advanced in the American economy. Beginning in 1950, when commercial applications of digital technology began to appear, Cortada examines the ways different industries adopted new technologies, as well as the ways their innovative applications influenced other industries and the US economy as a whole. He builds on the surveys presented in the first volume of the series, which examined sixteen manufacturing, process, transportation, wholesale and retail industries. In addition to this account, of computers' impact on industries, Cortada also demonstrates how industries themselves influenced the nature of digital technology. Managers, historians and others interested in the history of modern business will appreciate this historical analysis of digital technology's many roles and future possibilities in an wide array of industries. The Digital Hand provides a detailed picture of what the infrastructure of the Information Age really looks like and how we got there.
Information technology has been touted as a boon for productivity, but measuring the benefits has been difficult. This volume examines what macroeconomic data do and do not show about the impact of information technology on service-sector productivity. This book assesses the ways in which different service firms have selected and implemented information technology, examining the impact of different management actions and styles on the perceived benefits of information technology in services.
This analysis of how the ability to participate in society online affects political and economic opportunity finds that technology use matters in wages and income and civic participation and voting. Just as education has promoted democracy and economic growth, the Internet has the potential to benefit society as a whole. Digital citizenship, or the ability to participate in society online, promotes social inclusion. But statistics show that significant segments of the population are still excluded from digital citizenship. The authors of this book define digital citizens as those who are online daily. By focusing on frequent use, they reconceptualize debates about the digital divide to include both the means and the skills to participate online. They offer new evidence (drawn from recent national opinion surveys and Current Population Surveys) that technology use matters for wages and income, and for civic engagement and voting. Digital Citizenship examines three aspects of participation in society online: economic opportunity, democratic participation, and inclusion in prevailing forms of communication. The authors find that Internet use at work increases wages, with less-educated and minority workers receiving the greatest benefit, and that Internet use is significantly related to political participation, especially among the young. The authors examine in detail the gaps in technological access among minorities and the poor and predict that this digital inequality is not likely to disappear in the near future. Public policy, they argue, must address educational and technological disparities if we are to achieve full participation and citizenship in the twenty-first century.