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(Cont.) The estimation results are tested using a calibrated Microscopic Traffic Simulator (MITSIMLab). The results are compared to the base case of calibration using only the conventional point sensor data. The results indicate that the utilization of AVI data significantly improves the calibration accuracy.
Dynamic Traffic Assignment (DTA) models estimate and predict the evolution of congestion through detailed models and algorithms that capture travel demand, network supply and their complex interactions. The availability of rich time-varying traffic data spanning multiple days, collected by automatic surveillance technology, provides the opportunity to calibrate such a DTA model's many inputs and parameters so that its outputs reflect field conditions. DTA models are generally calibrated sequentially: supply model calibration (assuming known demand inputs) is followed by demand calibration with fixed supply parameters. This book develops an off-line DTA model calibration methodology for the simultaneous estimation of all demand and supply inputs and parameters, using sensor data. A complex, non-linear, stochastic optimization problem is solved, using any general traffic data. Case studies with DynaMIT, a DTA model with traffic estimation and prediction capabilities, indicate that the simultaneous approach significantly outperforms the sequential state of the art. This book is addressed to professionals and researchers who apply large-scale transportation models.
Traffic estimation and prediction (or dynamic traffic assignment) models are expected to contribute to the reduction of travel time delays. In this book, an on-line calibration approach that jointly estimates all model parameters is presented. The methodology imposes no restrictions on the models, the parameters or the data that can be handled, and emerging or future data can be easily incorporated. The modeling approach is applicable to any simulation model and is not restricted to the application domain covered in this book. Several modified, non-linear Kalman Filter methodologies are presented, e.g. Extended Kalman Filter (EKF), Iterated EKF, Limiting EKF, and Unscented Kalman Filter. Extensive case studies on freeway networks in Europe and the US are used to demonstrate the approach, to verify the importance of on-line calibration, and to test the presented algorithms. The main target audience of this book comprises Intelligent Transportation Systems researchers and graduate students, as well as practitioners, including Metropolitan Planning Organization engineers and Traffic Management Center operators, and any reader with an interest in dynamic state and parameter estimation.
The severity of traffic congestion is increasing each year in the US, resulting in higher travel times, and increased energy consumption and emissions. They have led to an increasing emphasis on the development of tools for trac management, which intends to alleviate congestion by more eciently utilizing the existing infrastructure. Eective trac management necessitates the generation of accurate short-term predictions of trac states and in this context, simulation-based Dynamic Trac Assignment (DTA) systems have gained prominence over the years. However, a key challenge that remains to be addressed with real-time DTA systems is their scalability and accuracy for applications to large-scale urban networks. A key component of real-time DTA systems that impacts scalability and accuracy is online calibration which attempts to adjust simulation parameters in real-time to match as closely as possible simulated measurements with real-time surveillance data. This thesis contributes to the existing literature on online calibration of DTA systems in three respects: (1) modeling explicitly the stochasticity in simulators and thereby improving accuracy; (2) augmenting the State Space Model (SSM) to capture the delayed measurements on large-scale and congested networks; (3) presenting a gradient estimation procedure called partitioned simultaneous perturbation (PSP) that utilizes an assumed sparse gradient structure to facilitate real-time performance. The results demonstrate that, first, the proposed approach to address stochasticity improves the accuracy of supply calibration on a synthetic network. Second, the augmented SSM improves both estimation and prediction accuracy on a congested synthetic network and the large-scale Singapore expressway network. Finally, compared with the traditional finite difference method, the PSP reduces the number of computations by 90% and achieves the same calibration accuracy on the Singapore expressway network. The proposed methodologies have important applications in the deployment of real-time DTA systems for large scale urban networks.
(Cont.) Case studies with DynaMIT, a DTA model with traffic estimation and prediction capabilities, are used to demonstrate and validate the proposed methodology. A synthetic traffic network with known demand parameters and simulated sensor data is used to illustrate the improvement over the sequential approach, the ability to accurately recover underlying model parameters, and robustness in a variety of demand and supply situations. Archived sensor data and a network from Los Angeles, CA are then used to demonstrate scalability. The benefit of the proposed methodology is validated through a real-time test of the calibrated DynaMIT's estimation and prediction accuracy, based on sensor data not used for calibration. Results indicate that the simultaneous approach significantly outperforms the sequential state of the art.
This two volume set (CCIS 398 and 399) constitutes the refereed proceedings of the International Conference on Geo-Informatics in Resource Management and Sustainable Ecosystem, GRMSE 2013, held in Wuhan, China, in November 2013. The 136 papers presented, in addition to 4 keynote speeches and 5 invited sessions, were carefully reviewed and selected from 522 submissions. The papers are divided into 5 sessions: smart city in resource management and sustainable ecosystem, spatial data acquisition through RS and GIS in resource management and sustainable ecosystem, ecological and environmental data processing and management, advanced geospatial model and analysis for understanding ecological and environmental process, applications of geo-informatics in resource management and sustainable ecosystem.
This book is thematically positioned at the intersections of Urban Design, Architecture, Civil Engineering and Computer Science, and it has the goal to provide specialists coming from respective fields a multi-angle overview of state-of-the-art work currently being carried out. It addresses both newcomers who wish to obtain more knowledge about this growing area of interest, as well as established researchers and practitioners who want to keep up to date. In terms of organization, the volume starts out with chapters looking at the domain at a wide-angle and then moves focus towards technical viewpoints and approaches.
Transportation planning and operation requires determining the state of the transportation system under different network supply and demand conditions. The most fundamental determinant of the state of a transportation system is time-varying traffic flow pattern on its roadway segments. It forms a basis for numerous engineering analyses which are used in operational- and planning-level decision-making process. Dynamic traffic assignment (DTA) models are the leading modeling tools employed to determine time-varying traffic flow pattern under changing network conditions. DTA models have matured over the past three decades, and are now being adopted by transportation planning agencies and traffic management centers. However, DTA models for large-scale regional networks require excessive computational resources. The problem becomes further compounded for other applications such as congestion pricing, capacity calibration, and network design for which DTA needs to be solved repeatedly as a sub-problem. This dissertation aims to improve the efficiency of the DTA models, and increase their viability for various planning and operational applications. To this end, a suite of computational methods based on the combinatorial approach for dynamic traffic assignment was developed in this dissertation. At first, a new polynomial run time combinatorial algorithm for DTA was developed. The combinatorial DTA (CDTA) model complements and aids simulation-based DTA models rather than replace them. This is because various policy measures and active traffic control strategies are best modeled using the simulation-based DTA models. Solution obtained from the CDTA model was provided as an initial feasible solution to a simulation-based DTA model to improve its efficiency -- this process is called "warm starting" the simulation-based DTA model. To further improve the efficiency of the simulation-based DTA model, the warm start process is made more efficient through parallel computing. Parallel computing was applied to the CDTA model and the traffic simulator used for warm starting. Finally, another warm start method based on the static traffic assignment model was tested on the simulation-based DTA model. The computational methods developed in this dissertation were tested on the Anaheim, CA and Winnipeg, Canada networks. Models warm-started using the CDTA solution performed better than the purely simulation-based DTA models in terms of equilibrium convergence metrics and run time. Warm start methods using solutions from the static traffic assignment models showed similar improvements. Parallel computing was applied to the CDTA model, and it resulted in faster execution time by employing multiple computer processors. Parallel version of the traffic simulator can also be embedded into the simulation-assignment framework of the simulation-based DTA models and improve their efficiency.