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This Selected Issues paper on Angola reports that oil production in Angola accounts for about half of GDP and about 75 percent of government revenue. The projections for the government's fiscal position in the medium term will be crucially dependent on both the value of oil production and the proportion that will accrue to the government. However, in addition to the usual uncertainties associated with projections of the total value of oil output, the government's share has been subject to volatility.
The strategy underlying the Arusha agreement envisaged a three-year transition period, involving further national reconciliation steps, implementation of lasting power-sharing arrangements, and initiation of national reconstruction. To overcome poverty, Burundi should diversify its economy and establish new sources of economic growth. The increasing regional integration will also help to accelerate economic growth. The parallel market in Burundi is still sizable, and the exchange rate differential remains a source of financial distortion. The statistical data of economic indices of Burundi are presented in this paper.
Recommendations -- Background: The IMF and Angolan government -- The oil diagnostic: oil revenue discrepancies -- Expenditure discrepancies -- Government attempts to restrict information -- The impact of lack of transparency and accountability on human rights and development -- International initiatives to promote transparency -- Conclusion -- Acknowledgments.
This paper estimates the exchange rate pass-through to consumer price inflation in Angola and Nigeria, with particular emphasis on the changes of the pass-through over time. Even though the two countries share smilar dependence on oil exports, this paper reveals different results. For Angola, the long-run exchange rate pass-through to prices is high, though it has weakened in recent years reflecting the de-dollarization of the economy. In Nigeria, there is no stable long-run relationship between the exchange rate and prices, and changes in the exchange rate do not have a significant pass-through effect on inflation. However, the passthrough effect on core inflation is significant.
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