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This volume is the outcome of a recent NATO Advanced Study Institute (ASI) on "Technology Assessment. Environmental Impact Assessment. and Risk Analysis: Contributions from the Psychological and Decision Sciences." The Institute was held in Les Arcs. France and functioned as a high level teaching activity during which scientific research results were presented in detail by eminent lecturers. Support for the Institute was provided by grants from the NATO Division of Scientific Affairs. the u.S. Office of Naval Research. and the Russell Sage Foundation. The Institute covered several areas of research. including quantitative studies on decision and judgmental processes. studies on human intellectual limitations. studies on risk attitudes and perceptions. studies on factors contributing to conflicts and disputes about hazardous technologies and activities. studies on factors influencing forecasts and judgments by experts. studies on public preferences for decisionmaking processes. studies on public responses to technological hazards. and case studies applying principles and methods from the psychological and decision sciences in specific settings.
Any alteration of the natural processes occurring on a piece of land will have expected as well as unanticipated effects, and those effects have little regard for arbitrary human boundaries. Consequently, it is not enough for land managers to consider only how they might maintain the parcels for which they are responsible; they must also anticipate
Global Models and the International Economic Order: A Paper for the United Nations Institute for Training and Research Project on the Future focuses on the impact of global models in decision-making processes and in the pursuance of United Nations objectives as manifested in the concept of the New International Economic Order. The book first offers information on the description and results of studies, including limits to growth, Strategy for Survival model, Latin American world model, global constraints and vision for development, and the United Nations World Input-Output model. The manuscript also examines the comparison of model results. Concerns include structure of models, regionalization in the models, trade and aid, assumptions about demand and overall supply, and levels of regional development. The text also ponders on methodological considerations, as well as structure, detail, and feedback; calibration; sensitivity and scenario analysis; and optimizing models. The manuscript is a dependable reference for readers interested in the use of global models in decision making processes.