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The objective of this paper is to investigate the determinants of foreign direct investment inflows in the transition economies between 1990 and 1998. The paper brings two innovations. One is the attention to the effect of agglomeration, an issue that has been highlighted recently in the works of Economic Geography. The second innovation is that we look at all transition countries instead of focusing on, for instance, EU candidates. We find that the main determinants of FDI in transition are agglomeration, the quality of the bureaucracy and the quality of infrastructure. We also find an important difference between CEE and CIS countries. The agglomeration effect is greater for CIS countries than in non-CIS countries. For non-CIS countries, education, infrastructure, and quality of bureaucracy are the main attractors. For CIS countries, availability of cheap labor and sufficient infrastructure, and abundance of natural resources are the main factors influencing FDI flows. Also, the further away from Germany, the more FDI CIS countries receive.
This paper examines the importance of agglomeration economies and institutions vis-a-vis initial conditions and factor endowments in explaining the locational choice of foreign investors. Using a unique panel data set for 25 transition economies between 1990 and 1998, we find that the main determinants are institutions, agglomeration, and trade openness. We find important differences between the Eastern European and Baltic countries, on the one hand, and the CIS countries on the other: in the latter group, natural resources and infrastructure matter, while agglomeration matters only for the former group.
This study provides a detailed examination of foreign direct investment (FDI) in Poland and explores the impact this has on foreign investment policy. It analyzes and identifies location patterns of FDI and strives to determine the supporting motives behind location choices of foreign companies.
Foreign direct investment (FDI) brings host countries capital, productive facilities, and technology transfer, as well as new jobs and management expertise. Thus, it is important to understand why in many transition countries FDI inflow is lower than expected. The goal of this study is to explore some important factors determining flow of FDI into transition countries. In particular, we analyze the legal environment for FDI in some transition economies. Then we model the impact of stability of the economic and legal environment on the pattern of FDI. Our analysis shows that (1) higher variability of basic macroeconomic fundamentals reduces the flow of FDI, (2) high volatility of fiscal and business regulations makes the inflow of FDI smaller, and (3) macroeconomic and legal instability leads to adverse selection of the investors. Based on theoretical findings we formulate a clear message to policy makers stating that in order to attract significant inflows of long-term and nonspeculative foreign capital, first of all, a stable economic and institutional environment is needed.
Inhaltsangabe:Introduction: The transition process from a centrally planned to a market economy followed a very different path in East Germany compared to all other former communist countries. The German Democratic Republic acceded the Federal Republic of Germany in 1990, while other former socialist countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) had to start from square one after becoming independent from the USSR. In contrast to other post-soviet countries, East Germany subsequently received massive transfers from the Western part of the country. A significant part of these transfers was invested into infrastructure improvement, while a larger share was spent for consumption, raising the purchasing power in the East of Germany, allowing it to sustain a higher wage level and living standard than would have been economically possible without aid from the West. Twenty years after the breakdown of the iron curtain and the reunification of Germany, the infrastructure in the Eastern part of the country is en par with the West. The East German wage level remains only slightly lower than the Western level (as does productivity), but is significantly higher than in neighbouring post-communist CEE-countries. Because of these differences in economic transition, it can be expected that East Germany attracts a different kind of foreign direct investment compared to other CEE-countries. The objective of this dissertation is to empirically identify the factors affecting foreign direct investment into the region and to discuss the implications of the empirical findings for regional and national economic policy. The region is represented in this paper by East Germany and three of its Central-European neighbour-countries, the Czech Republic, Poland and Hungary. The present study is organised as follows: A brief historical overview of the four economies transition processes will be given in chapter 2. The theoretical background, the methodology and the dataset used are being discussed in section 3. Hypotheses derived from the region s history, economic theory and previous literature on foreign direct investment will be presented in section 4. In section 5 they will be tested and the econometric results identifying the factors affecting foreign investors investment decisions in Central Europe will be discussed. Finally, the main empirical findings and their political implications will be summarised in the concluding chapter [...]
Using a panel dataset of bilateral flows of foreign direct investment (FDI), we study the determinants of FDI in transition economies, with particular reference to Macedonia's performance. Even though Macedonia has been introducing extensive fiscal and business sector reforms, so far it has been lagged in attracting foreign investment. Following the empirical approach used in previous studies and the theoretical discussion presented in Chapters 2 this study specifies both static and dynamic models. The static models, both fixed and random effects, do not give the best specification. The empirical work confirms the expectation of the positive feedback effect of past FDI onto current FDI. The negative and significant coefficient of distance indicates that FDI is determined by gravity factors. In addition, GDP of the host country, unit labour costs, trade openness, English language are also important determinants of FDI in transition economies. Our suggestion is that the econometric findings on the determinants of FDI in transition economies using small dataset and static models should be accepted only with caution.