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69 Million Chances is a story about a couple’s plight to start a family. They had gotten married and she had thrown the pill away the very next day, and if she was being honest with herself, she was nervous about falling pregnant straight away. She needn’t have worried, after three years of trying, she still wasn’t pregnant and the prospects didn’t look good. In and out of the bedroom they had exhausted all options and all that was left was IVF. And this was the one path they didn’t want to be lead to. As IVF isn’t known for its simplicity, and you are taken through their emotional journey in depth with an insight into how the process, procedures and drugs affects their once happy little home. They find the only thing they have left to rely on is hope to get them from one stage to the next and constantly question if it (hope) actually exists: this alongside with God. The Catholic Church doesn’t believe in IVF and this makes them question their faith. Faced with the unsuccessful attempt of their last frozen embryos, their last hope, they had to decide whether to try the whole IVF process again? She consulted a clairvoyant for some clear direction. The clairvoyant couldn’t answer her but did say she sees her with two children on a beach. Is that enough hope to keep trying?
A practical guide to adopting an accurate risk analysis methodology The Failure of Risk Management provides effective solutionstosignificantfaults in current risk analysis methods. Conventional approaches to managing risk lack accurate quantitative analysis methods, yielding strategies that can actually make things worse. Many widely used methods have no systems to measure performance, resulting in inaccurate selection and ineffective application of risk management strategies. These fundamental flaws propagate unrealistic perceptions of risk in business, government, and the general public. This book provides expert examination of essential areas of risk management, including risk assessment and evaluation methods, risk mitigation strategies, common errors in quantitative models, and more. Guidance on topics such as probability modelling and empirical inputs emphasizes the efficacy of appropriate risk methodology in practical applications. Recognized as a leader in the field of risk management, author Douglas W. Hubbard combines science-based analysis with real-world examples to present a detailed investigation of risk management practices. This revised and updated second edition includes updated data sets and checklists, expanded coverage of innovative statistical methods, and new cases of current risk management issues such as data breaches and natural disasters. Identify deficiencies in your current risk management strategy and take appropriate corrective measures Adopt a calibrated approach to risk analysis using up-to-date statistical tools Employ accurate quantitative risk analysis and modelling methods Keep pace with new developments in the rapidly expanding risk analysis industry Risk analysis is a vital component of government policy, public safety, banking and finance, and many other public and private institutions. The Failure of Risk Management: Why It's Broken and How to Fix It is a valuable resource for business leaders, policy makers, managers, consultants, and practitioners across industries.
The history of Achaemenid Persia ù the empire of Cyrus the Great, Darius and Xerxes ù has largely been rewritten in the last thirty years. Inspired by new sources of information, and by a determination to see Persia in its own terms, historians have created a powerful new image of the Persian Empire: tightly organised and resilient, tolerant towards the religions and cultures of its subject peoples, and with kings and queens whose concerns were pragmatic rather than whimsically despotic.