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· In 2016, TRUMP flipped 206 Counties that OBAMA won twice. · In 2018, Democrats flipped 31 House seats in Trump won districts. · In 2020, the upcoming election will shape the country for decades. Who will win…? Applying a comprehensive Data Analytics approach to the most impactful election in generations, there are just 100 counties – from our nation’s 3,142 counties – that will decide the election and define the world. That’s right. Define the world. If Trump wins: More conservative federal judges, more impactful trade deals, more immigration issues addressed, more America-first policies, less regulation, etc. If DEM wins: More liberal judges, more climate change policies, more healthcare issues addressed, more on gun policy, less on immigration, etc. DON’T READ THIS BOOK IF YOU KNEW... · In Minnesota: you could vote on Election Day without any documentation. Nothing. No ID. No Social Security Number. No Utility Bill. No Rent Contract. No Credit Card Statement. Just have a registered voter vouch that you are a resident. That’s it! · In Detroit: there were more votes counted than voters in 2016. 37% of Motown’s 662 precincts were affected. · In Ohio: a voter is removed from voter registration rolls for not voting in the past 4 years. · In America: 2.4 million provisional ballots were not valid according to the federal government. PUNDITS DO PRESS. I DO DATA ANALYTICS. Nowadays, everything is about math. Everything – baseball, football, investment, stocks, etc. – is all about applying Data Analytics. As a Group Account Director from the world’s largest marketing firm [Ogilvy & Mather], I ran IBM’s Direct Marketing programs in 12 countries by implementing Data Analytics before anyone knew the term in 1996. Having been a Sales & Marketing Director for Fortune 500 firms in the U.S. and Asia, I’ve decided to grasp this decade-defining election by applying the analytics I’ve implemented for 20 years in business to politics. After formally qualifying for the Michigan House of Representatives ballot as the only Independent from Macomb County – what Wikipedia calls “Home of the Reagan Democrats – the unbiased methods I incorporate are: intriguing, interesting and impactful. I was a DEM. I was a REP. Since 2010, I’ve been a strict INDEPENDENT. Having served on the Board of Directors for Macomb County Habitat for Humanity to ALS to the Downtown Development Board of a 100,000 person municipality, this book comes from the voters I speak with every day. But this is not some monologue book of my comments. In fact, I probably wrote less than 1,000 words. This book is full of independent charts and research from sources, such as: - The Federal Reserve - The Bureau of Labor Statistics - Pew Research and Gallup - Universities [i.e. Stanford, Princeton, Virginia, etc.] If you don’t find facts that you never knew or dispute them, my contact information is in the back. God Bless America, Daniel David Elles
Of the nearly five thousand cases presented to the Supreme Court each year, less than 5 percent are granted review. How the Court sets its agenda, therefore, is perhaps as important as how it decides cases. H. W. Perry, Jr., takes the first hard look at the internal workings of the Supreme Court, illuminating its agenda-setting policies, procedures, and priorities as never before. He conveys a wealth of new information in clear prose and integrates insights he gathered in unprecedented interviews with five justices. For this unique study Perry also interviewed four U.S. solicitors general, several deputy solicitors general, seven judges on the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals, and sixty-four former Supreme Court law clerks. The clerks and justices spoke frankly with Perry, and his skillful analysis of their responses is the mainspring of this book. His engaging report demystifies the Court, bringing it vividly to life for general readers--as well as political scientists and a wide spectrum of readers throughout the legal profession. Perry not only provides previously unpublished information on how the Court operates but also gives us a new way of thinking about the institution. Among his contributions is a decision-making model that is more convincing and persuasive than the standard model for explaining judicial behavior.
"A very good book indeed: there is scarcely an issue anyone has thought to raise about the topic which Childress fails to treat with sensitivity and good judgement....Future discussions of paternalism in health care will have to come to terms with the contentions of this book, which must be reckoned the best existing treatment of its subject."--Ethics. "A clear, scholarly and balanced analysis....This is a book I can recommend to physicians, ethicists, students of both fields, and to those most affected--the patients themselves."--Edmund D. Pellegrino, John Carroll Professor of Medicine and Medical Humanities, Georgetown University Medical Center.
Through a blend of compelling exercises, illustrations, and stories, the bestselling author of Thinking in Bets will train you to combat your own biases, address your weaknesses, and help you become a better and more confident decision-maker. What do you do when you're faced with a big decision? If you're like most people, you probably make a pro and con list, spend a lot of time obsessing about decisions that didn't work out, get caught in analysis paralysis, endlessly seek other people's opinions to find just that little bit of extra information that might make you sure, and finally go with your gut. What if there was a better way to make quality decisions so you can think clearly, feel more confident, second-guess yourself less, and ultimately be more decisive and be more productive? Making good decisions doesn't have to be a series of endless guesswork. Rather, it's a teachable skill that anyone can sharpen. In How to Decide, bestselling author Annie Duke and former professional poker player lays out a series of tools anyone can use to make better decisions. You'll learn: • To identify and dismantle hidden biases. • To extract the highest quality feedback from those whose advice you seek. • To more accurately identify the influence of luck in the outcome of your decisions. • When to decide fast, when to decide slow, and when to decide in advance. • To make decisions that more effectively help you to realize your goals and live your values. Through interactive exercises and engaging thought experiments, this book helps you analyze key decisions you've made in the past and troubleshoot those you're making in the future. Whether you're picking investments, evaluating a job offer, or trying to figure out your romantic life, How to Decide is the key to happier outcomes and fewer regrets.
Success boils down to one thing: making good decisions. Learn the right framework now that can make all the difference later when faced with terrible options, deep anxiety and fear of failure. Access the decision framework David Siegel used when he took over as CEO of Meetup, the world’s leading platform for making connections and finding your community. Let David’s success during one of the most tumultuous times in his company’s history help guide you on your own path. Decide and Conquer helps all leaders navigate the big decisions that will impact their future and make their organizations a success. David outlines the 44 challenges leaders face when starting a new position, then shows you the decision framework he applied to overcome challenges in his own role. David takes you on an epic journey of corporate and personal survival that includes industry titans like Adam Neumann, Barry Diller, Jack Welch, Bill Ackman, and other leaders. In Decide and Conquer, you will learn to: Apply principles like open communication, transparency, and kindness to inform great decision making. Set yourself up to succeed, even before you start, by removing potential roadblocks before they become a problem. Be a bold and decisive leader and not succumb to fear. By applying the principles he had learned in previous leadership positions, David was able to make the many critical decisions that would mean life or death for Meetup when WeWork decided to sell the company. From deciding to accept the position and negotiating terms to managing a seemingly endless series of crises during the sale and global pandemic, Decide and Conquer walks readers through the key decisions they will face with invaluable advice for each one.
On hot summer days, there are few things more sought after than cool water. When you find a nice, cool spot..you are sure to receive company. Join the alligator in this short childrens story and see what unexpected guests might arrive. Perfect for the young reader in your life!
Does your group need help making good decisions? All groups—teams, boards, nonprofits, businesses, governments—must make decisions to make forward progress. In organizations large and small, simple and complex, public and private, people need to decide things together. With tips, principles, examples, and stories, Craig Freshley shares the essentials that groups need to make decisions that provide lasting benefits. Practical and authoritative, this friendly guide from a veteran group facilitator is a must-have for those seeking proven techniques for collaborative decision-making. Board members and senior staff in the nonprofit sector—where there’s often a high expectation of collaboration—and corporate leaders who have a collaborative, inclusive mindset or culture, will find this book particularly valuable. Freshley’s message is especially pertinent to today’s world: It’s through collaboration, not competition, that groups of the future will create, innovate, and thrive. It is collaboration, not competition that will save us from extinction. Further, collaborative decision making is a skill that can be successfully learned and practiced. Freshley shows groups how. Topics include: Efficient and productive meetings Attitudes that help and hinder group productivity Group decision making steps: from idea to decision to action The supremacy of group culture How to listen well and speak with purpose Conflict prevention, management, and resolution When to apply which type of decision-making method Meeting facilitation theory and techniques
How to make better decisions and achieve your goals What shapes a person's career and life, and defines them as a leader? Their decisions. We all want to be more productive and deliver our best results. But doing this effectively—and consistently over time—is a significant challenge. Managing it all is hard, and leading in today's hyper-paced world is even harder. The good news is that leadership expert Steve McClatchy makes it easier. In Decide, McClatchy—who works with Fortune 1000 people every day to help them achieve outstanding levels of performance—shows you how to cut through the complexities and excuses to start realizing real gains simply by changing one thing: the way you make decisions. With McClatchy's help, you can quickly begin to: Use the time you have each day to move your business and your life forward Make decisions that yield better results Waste less time, reduce stress and regain balance Again and again, McClatchy has helped people learn for themselves how great decision-making habits yield a lifetime of accomplishments. Follow McClatchy's no-nonsense and practical approach, and you'll soon manage—and even lead—at your highest level of personal performance.