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In January 2003, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) published The Long-Term Implications of Current Defense Plans (ADA410669), which was based on the fiscal year 2003 budget and the Department of Defense's Future Years Defense Program (FYDP) of that same year. CBO updated that analysis in July 2003 (ADA416284); its publication The Long-Term Implications of Current Defense Plans: Summary Update for Fiscal Year 2004 revised CBO's earlier work to take into account changes incorporated in the President's budget for fiscal year 2004 and the 2004 FYDP. Because it was a summary, the July 2003 paper omitted many of the detailed data displays contained in CBO's January 2003 study. This briefing updates those omitted displays consistent with the 2004 FYDP. The briefing does not incorporate changes to the FYDP resulting from Congressional action on the President's fiscal year 2004 budget request.
Authors: Lane Pierrot and Gregory T. Kiley.
What are the long-term implications of the Bush Administration's plans for defense? What level of resources might be needed to execute those plans? If they were carried out, what would the Administration's plans imply about the size, composition, and age of future U.S. military forces? This study addresses those questions. It projects the long-term implications of today's defense plans for both resources and forces. This objective, impartial study makes no recommendations. Includes over 50 charts, graphs and tables.
This presentation updates the analysis contained in the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO's) September 2004 Web document The Long-Term Implications of Current Defense Plans: Detailed Update for Fiscal Year 2005 to account for changes incorporated in the President s budget for fiscal year 2006 and in the 2006 Future Years Defense Program (FYDP). In addition to those updates, the briefing incorporates data displays for projections of two alternatives to that FYDP one emphasizing military transformation and one emphasizing evolutionary upgrades to existing military systems. The briefing is a companion piece to CBO s October 2005 publication The Long-Term Implications of Current Defense Plans and Alternatives: Summary Update for Fiscal Year 2006. This presentation does not incorporate changes to the FYDP resulting from Congressional action on the President s 2006 budget request. Charts in this detailed update use the concepts of steady state and half-life for the Department of Defense s (DoD s) investment plans and weapon systems. Those concepts are explained more fully in Box 1-3 of CBO s January 2003 study The Long-Term Implications of Current Defense Plans. (The projections in that report are based on the 2003 FYDP.) The updated displays in this presentation differ in some instances from those in previous briefings. In some cases, CBO has altered the display format to include additional historical data. In other cases, CBO has corrected its historical database of procurement quantities and spending. (For example, this update includes corrected procurement spending for Army helicopters during the 1980s.) CBO also, in many instances, departs from previous briefings by using different color schemes for the displays. Because of changes in CBO s methodology, not all of the charts presented in CBO s previous studies are updated in this presentation.
Addresses the implications of the George W. Bush Administration's defense plans for both resources and forces.