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The consequences of taking on risk can be ruinous to personal finances, professional careers, corporate survivability, and even nation states. Yet many risk managers do not have a clear understanding of the basics. Requiring no statistical or mathematical background, The Fundamental Rules of Risk Management gives you the knowledge to successfully handle risk in your organization. The book begins with a deep investigation into the behavioral roots of risk. Using both historical and contemporary contexts, author Nigel Da Costa Lewis carefully details the indisputable truths surrounding many of the behavioral biases that induce risk. He exposes the fallacy of the wisdom of experts, explains why you cannot rely on regulators, outlines the characteristics of the "glad game," and demonstrates how high intelligence or lack thereof can lead to loss of hard-earned wealth. He also discusses the weaknesses and failures of modern risk management. Moving on to elements often overlooked by risk managers, Dr. Lewis traces the link between corporate governance and risk management. He then covers core lessons surrounding the role of risk managers as well as the difficult subject of integrated, single lens analysis of risk. The book also explores aspects of spreadsheet risk and draws on lessons learned in the information systems and software engineering communities to provide guidance on selecting the right risk management system. It concludes with a discussion on the most dominant of risk measures—value at risk. Having a clear understanding about risk separates successful professionals, companies, and economies from history’s forgotten failures. Through examples and case studies, this thought-provoking book shows how the rules of risk can work to protect and enhance investor value.
Requiring no statistical or mathematical background, this work shows how the rules of risk can work to protect and enhance investor value. It explains why "unreason" is the more evil twin brother of greed, describes what leads people to make disastrous investment decisions, and illustrates how high intelligence can trick you into catastrophic losses. With exercises and references at the end of each chapter, the book also presents notable lessons learned to keep your investments safe.
In an age where companies and financial institutions are keenly focused on managing the financial risk of their operations, the implementation of quantitative methods and models has been of tremendous help. Tools such as VaR, credit VaR, risk-adjusted returns, and scenario analyses have given institutions the means to quantify and understand their risk profiles. However, the focus on quantitative risk management, while important, can sometimes be over-emphasized--at the expense of logic and experience. At its core, the successful management of risk is still largely an "art." The Simple Rules of Risk takes a fresh look at the qualitative aspects of risk management. It also considers how qualitative approaches can make optimal use of the mathematical aspects of risk management to create the most effective framework possible.
From Ron Dembo, advisor to leading banks and hedge funds, and Daniel Stoffman, co-author of the revolutionary bestseller Boom, Bust and Echo, Upside, Downside is an accessible guide to the biggest danger facing investors in an increasingly uncertain world: financial risk. As a generation of investors knows, financial markets are vulnerable to events – from terrorist attacks to epidemics – that are guaranteed to occur, yet impossible to predict. As markets become more complex and intertwined, investors feel increasingly unsure: how can you safeguard your financial prospects when you can’t know what the future will look like? Upside, Downside is a toolbox to protect yourself from financial risk. Co-authored by a leading financial journalist and a pioneer in the field of risk management who advises the world’s major banks, it gives investors access for the first time to the most advanced risk management strategies available, distilled into three simple rules for managing risk. These rules – Knowing What You Own, Using Multiple Scenarios, and Anticipating Regret – will allow you to take control of your financial future. You can’t banish all the dangers of the world, but Upside, Downside will give you the skills to manage them.
TEN LAWS OF OPERATIONAL RISK Unlike credit and market risk, operational risk currently lacks an overarching theory to explain how and why losses occur. As a result, operational risk managers have been forced to use unsatisfactory tools and processes that fail to add sufficient commercial value. In Ten Laws of Operational Risk: Understanding its Behaviours to Improve its Management, Michael Grimwade delivers an insightful discussion of the nature of operational risk and a groundbreaking redesign of the profession???s existing tools. The author???s Ten Laws are grounded on the business profiles of firms and the human and institutional behaviours that drive operational risk. They are underpinned by taxonomies for the causes; the inadequacies or failures that constitute both control failures and events; and the impacts of operational risks. Drawing on twenty-five years of first-hand experience and research, this book explains the patterns and trends that are apparent in the historical data and offers solutions to the persistent problems inherent in risk appetite, RCSAs, scenario analysis, reputational risk, stress testing, capital modeling, and insurance. It also provides fresh insights into the everyday activities of risk managers with respect to predictive key risk and control indicators, root cause analysis, why controls fail, the risks posed by change, and product risk profiles. Ten Laws of Operational Risk presents a structured and evidence-based approach to identifying emerging risks and predicting future behaviours related to pandemics, climate change, cybercrime, artificial intelligence, and machine learning. It includes revealing industry data, in-depth case studies, and real-world examples that shed light on recurring and obstinate problems in operational risk management. A must-read resource for Chief Risk Officers and other risk professionals, as well as regulators, management consultants, and students and scholars of operational risk, Ten Laws of Operational Risk provides an invaluable new, systematic, and rigorous approach to operational risk management. PRAISE FOR TEN LAWS OF OPERATIONAL RISK ???Operational Risk can no longer be described as a new concept, but as a discipline few attempts have been made to really understand its behaviour. In his book Michael does this very successfully, blending extensive practical experience with analytical thought leadership to propose a set of laws that explain why and how Operational Risks arise, and what can be done to manage them. Assertions are evidence based, with numerous real examples used to underpin his hypotheses. This is a valuable addition to Operational Risk thinking and is recommended for experienced professionals and novices alike.??? ??? Dr Luke Carrivick, Director of Research & Information, ORX ???Michael has established himself as one of Operational Risk???s foremost thinkers. His ability to use historical data to analyse events is unrivalled. In this must-read book, he identifies ten fundamental laws that provide every Operational Risk practitioner with a clear set of rules they can use to understand current events and predict their impacts.??? ??? Andrew Sheen, former Head of the FSA???s Operational Risk Review team ???Michael is one of the most prominent thinkers in Operational Risk. He combines a long career in Operational Risk management and measurement with a deep, long-standing reflection on the fundamental causes, dynamics and patterns in the manifestation of Operational Risk events. He produces, with this book, a remarkable synthesis of his insightful and innovative work.??? ??? Dr Ariane Chapelle, Honorary Reader, University College London; Managing Partner, Chapelle Consulting ???Michael is a highly respected expert in the field of Operational Risk, who has developed some ground-breaking frameworks for analysing this risk and guiding better risk management decisions. As a working practitioner in the field he brings many insights that will appeal to other practitioners as well as regulators, students and scholars.??? ??? Professor Elizabeth Sheedy, Macquarie Business School ???Michael???s views and analysis challenge the traditional Basel II views of Operational Risk and are genuinely thought-provoking. His book on the Ten Laws of Operational Risk will give financial services clarity and a practical view, where it has been previously lacking, on how best to manage such risks.??? ??? Tin Lau, Group Head of Financial and Strategic Risk, TP ICAP
This one-stop guide provides you with the tools and information you need to keep their twenty-first-century organizations as blissfully risk-free as possible. Risk in business cannot be avoided--but that doesn’t mean there isn’t a better way to work through it. The problem is that most risk management strategies, books, and experts are based on outdated concepts, technologies, and markets. Since the 2008 financial crisis that set the baseline for the roller-coaster market we deal with today, combined with the constantly changing developments in technology and communications, modern-day risk management demands dealing with up-to-the-minute approaches for defending against threats. Extensively updated, the second edition of Fundamentals of Enterprise Risk Management examines the latest technologies such as Riskonnect and High Tech Electronic Platform (HTEP), and helps you: recognize both internal and external exposures, understand crucial concepts such as risk mapping and risk identification, and align risk opportunities with their organization's business model. Packed with practical exercises and fresh case studies from organizations such as IBM, Microsoft, Apple, JPMorgan Chase, and Sony, this invaluable resource is key to assessing company risk, managing exposure, and seizing opportunities.
The evidence continues to grow that the effective management of risk is the very kernel of successful project management. Its absence frequently leaves project sponsors lamenting missed objectives and shareholders coming to terms with an organisation’s poor bottom line performance. Dr Robert Chapman's The Rules of Project Risk Management stands out from other risk management texts because it provides very practical guidance, supported by numerous mini case studies, many of which have attracted considerable publicity. The book brings to life both the benefits of project risk management when effectively applied and the ramifications when it is misunderstood or receives scant attention. The structure of the book is based on International Standard ISO 31000 seen through the lens of general systems theory - where projects are undertaken by organisations which have an external context and internal sub-systems. A project system is seen to be composed of seven key subject areas. Practical short ‘rules’ or implementation guidelines, written in an engaging style, are offered to support each of these subject areas and aid quick assimilation of key risk management messages. Each rule focuses on a specific aspect of effective risk management which warrants attention in its own right. Taken together the rules will provide those implementing projects with the building blocks to secure a project’s objectives. They have been drawn from a wealth of experience gained from applying risk management practices across multiple industries from Europe to Africa, the Middle East and Asia.
The insurance industry has found itself at the front line of climate change challenges, providing insurance cover in relation to risks associated with climate change. As risk carriers, insurers pay claims for climate change related losses – such as property damage caused by windstorms, flooding, and wildfires – which have been increasing in frequency and severity. As major institutional investors, insurance companies invest in assets that may be increasingly vulnerable to climate risks. Insurance regulators across the globe have therefore started to require insurance companies to identify, manage, and report on climate change risks that could pose a threat to their financial stability. However, managing and reporting on the effect of climate risk on an insurer’s balance sheet is an inward-looking perspective that does not stem climate change. It needs to be paired with an outward-looking perspective that takes account of the insurance industry’s impact on the environment and the insurance industry’s capacity to influence what policyholders, investee enterprises, and other business partners do to address climate change challenges. For the insurance industry, the key components of positive outward impact are ‘impact underwriting’ and ‘impact investment.’ This book sets out the current legal and regulatory landscape for impact underwriting and impact investment. Whilst the focus of research and regulatory interventions to date has been on inward impact, in this book it will be argued that, to take positive climate action that supports the Paris Agreement goals and the national and international Net Zero targets, the debate should now move on to considering the positive outward impact the insurance industry can make and how we can create a legal environment to facilitate this. The book puts forward the case for a new vision of the role of the insurance industry as climate action enablers and makes proposals for insurance products and risk transfer and loss resilience structures that can support policyholders in their transition to a Net Zero economy. The audience for this book will include legal practitioners, insurance industry professionals, financial and insurance regulators, policymakers, and interested academics.
Principles of Risk-Based Decision Making provides managers with the foundation for creating a proactive organizational culture that systematically incorporates risk into key decision-making processes. Based on methodology adopted by a number of organizations including the federal government, this book examines risk-based decision making as a process for organizing information about the possibility for unwanted outcomes in a simple, practical way that helps decision makers make timely, informed management choices that minimize harmful effects on safety and health, the environment, property loss, or mission success. Citing practical examples, charts, and checklists, the authors break the risk-based decision making process into five key components: establishing the decision structure, performing the risk assessment, managing sufficient risks, monitoring effectiveness of adopted risk controls through impact assessment, and facilitating risk communication. They examine each component in detail and outline available decision analysis and risk assessment tools that aid in each of these risk-based decision making functions. This book also walks readers through eight project management steps—from scoping a risk assessment to evaluating the recommendations—the components of each, and the importance of these steps to the success of a risk assessment. Special features include a table for applying the risk-based decision-making process, a hazard identification guidesheet, an example of human error, an acronym list, and a glossary.
The second edition of The Law of Governance, Risk Management, and Compliance follows the first edition, as the first casebook focused on the law of governance, risk management, and compliance. Author Geoffrey P. Miller, a highly respected professor of corporate and financial law, brings real world experience to the book as a member of the board of directors and audit and risk committees of a significant banking institution. The book addresses issues of fundamental importance for any regulated organization (the $13 billion settlement between JPMorgan Chase and its regulators is only one of many examples). This book can be a cornerstone for courses on compliance, corporate governance, or on the role of attorneys in managing risk in organizational clients.