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The imbalance between China’s currency, the RMB, and those of other countries is widely regarded as a major problem for the world economy. There was a reform of China’s exchange rate mechanism in 2005, following which the RMB appreciated 17% against the US dollar, but many people argue that further reform is still needed. This book reports on a major research project undertaken following the 2005 reform to assess the impact on China’s economy. It considers the impact in a number of areas of the economy, including export-oriented companies, the banking industry, international trade, international capital flows, and China’s macroeconomic policy. It concludes that the policies pursued so far have been correct, and that further reform, both to the exchange rate, and to the system overall, would be desirable, but that any reform should be gradual and incremental, preserving economic stability, and integrating changes with reform in other parts of the economy.
China’s exchange rate regime has undergone gradual reform since the move away from a fixed exchange rate in 2005. The renminbi has become more flexible over time but is still carefully managed, and depth and liquidity in the onshore FX market is relatively low compared to other countries with de jure floating currencies. Allowing a greater role for market forces within the existing regime, and greater two-way flexibility of the exchange rate, are important steps to build on the progress already made. This should be complemented by further steps to develop the FX market, improve FX risk management, and modernize the monetary policy framework.
Diploma Thesis from the year 2010 in the subject Economics - Monetary theory and policy, grade: 2,7, University of Trier, language: English, abstract: Since 2002, China‘s rapid growth and the trend of globalization have forced China to face its currency‘s regime development. Although Chinese central bank in 2005 announced to adjust its regime towards basket policy, Yuan has been pegged to USD while maintained undervalu-ation and trade surplus in the following years, which led to global criticism and pressure to revalue. Under such circumstance, the discussion around Yuan has shifted towards whether Chinese currency regime should be more flexible, abandoning the old argument that how much Yuan should revalue. This essay provides a study regarding the future of RMB, based on analysis of Yuan‘s development before and after entering WTO, and the pros and cons of Yuan‘s regime during China‘s development. Also, this article also draws insights from the development of capital export and restriction, high saving rate and huge foreign reserves. Based on the analysis, the article reaches the conclusion: considering the huge negative impact on China‘s economy should Yuan revaluate, it is not realistic to expect Yuan to raise sharply in the near future; if China is to allow Yuan to revalue, the most possible course of action is to implement some extra financial polices to reduce the impact.
China's currency, the renminbi, has taken the world by storm. This book documents the renminbi's impressive rise to global prominence in a short period but also shows how much further it has to go before becoming a major international currency. The hype about its inevitable ascendance to global dominance is overblown.
From ancient “knife money” to the Renminbi—a fascinating history of Chinese currency Chinese Currency and the Global Economy is an all-encapsulating study of the Chinese monetary system from the historical perspective of global economy and finance. From economic infrastructure to the cultural system and from world events to the domestic scene, author Chen Yulu describes the metamorphosis of the Chinese currency and examines what is entailed in the globalization of Renminbi against the background of world economic multi-polarization. Chen Yulu is an Eisenhower senior visiting fellow and a Fulbright senior scholar. He serves concurrently as president of Renmin University of China, vice-chairman of the China International Finance Association, and deputy secretary general and executive director of the China Society for Finance and Banking.
The author of this book is the original proponent of China's exchange rate system reform announced in 2005. This book discusses:Through these discussions, the author hopes to share his knowledge on macroeconomic policy management accumulated over the past thirty five years. In particular, he would like to share his insights on macroeconomic policy management before, during and after an asset inflation era or a crisis period. He would also like to warn policy makers and financial investors on the likelihood of an asset bubble and then a crisis in economies outside the US. The author hopes this book could eventually stimulate the emergence of “macroeconomic policy management” as a new and important discipline in economics.While the focus of the book is on macroeconomic policy management, it also offers important lessons and strategies on share and property investments. Thus, economists, policy makers, central bank officials, economics students, business and finance professionals, individual investors and academia in other disciplines will find the book useful.
In the early years of the twenty-first century, China s continuing large current account surpluses and rapid accumulation of foreign exchange reserves have focused considerable global attention on the value of the Chinese currency and the feasibility of its exchange rate regime. Given the fact that any change in China s exchange rate will have a major impact internally as well as externally, the issues of the renminbi appreciation and the optimal option for China s exchange rate regime have become of major concern to China and many other countries. Very little academic literature exists on clarifying these issues theoretically and empirically in an integrated framework and in light of the Chinese distinct experience. This book, therefore, provides a new insight into China s exchange rate policy by applying a macroeconomic-balance approach to analyse the equilibrium exchange rate and the desired exchange regime for China in favour of its required macroeconomic adjustment. The analysis should help build a more informed dialogue between China and the rest of the world and should be also useful to professionals in government, business and other academic organisations.