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Emerging markets have received a particular attention of academic researchers and practitioners since they decided to open their domestic capital markets to foreign participants about three decades ago. At the same time, we remark that theoretical and empirical research in emerging stock markets has been particularly challenged by their fast changes in nature and size under the effects of financial liberalization and reforms. This evolving feature has particularly led to a commensurate increase in sophistication of modeling techniques used for understanding financial markets. In this spirit, the book aims at providing the audience a comprehensive understanding of emerging stock markets in various aspects using modern financial econometric methods. It addresses the empirical techniques needed by economic agents to analyze the dynamics of these markets and illustrates how they can be applied to the actual data. On the other hand, it presents and discusses new research findings and their implications.
This contest comprises a selection of topics that focus on African stock market performance. The main factor in this analysis is to examine the dynamic behavior of stock returns in a number of emerging stock markets from Asia and Africa, the efficiency in pricing securities as well as the relation between exchange rate and dynamics of equity returns. The purpose of this study is to contribute to the debate by examining some issues concerning the efficiency of market and the relation between exchange rate and equity returns. These issues have not been examined so far for both Asian and African stock markets together, so this paper attempts to fill that gap by addressing the following objectives, which are (1) to examine the Random Walk Hypothesis (RWH) for stock prices in Asian and African emerging Markets, (2) to determine whether exchange rates affect tests of equity returns in emerging markets, and (3)to investigate whether large capitalization stocks follow a random walk .The main significance of our study of these objectives is the use of the latest test methodologies in analyzing an investment area that is growing in the emerging stock markets.
Emerging Markets and the Global Economy investigates analytical techniques suited to emerging market economies, which are typically prone to policy shocks. Despite the large body of emerging market finance literature, their underlying dynamics and interactions with other economies remain challenging and mysterious because standard financial models measure them imprecisely. Describing the linkages between emerging and developed markets, this collection systematically explores several crucial issues in asset valuation and risk management. Contributors present new theoretical constructions and empirical methods for handling cross-country volatility and sudden regime shifts. Usually attractive for investors because of the superior growth they can deliver, emerging markets can have a low correlation with developed markets. This collection advances your knowledge about their inherent characteristics. Foreword by Ali M. Kutan Concentrates on post-crisis roles of emerging markets in the global economy Reports on key theoretical and technical developments in emerging financial markets Forecasts future developments in linkages among developed and emerging economies
We study the interrelationship between capital flows, returns, dividend yields and world interest rates in 20 emerging markets. We estimate a vector autoregressionn with these variables to measure the degree to which lower interest rates contribute to increased capital flows and shocks in flows affect the cost of capital among other dynamic relations. We precede the VAR analysis by a detailed examination of endogenous break points in capital flows and the other variables. These structural breaks are traced to the liberalization of emerging equity markets. Our evidence of structural breaks call into question past research which estimates VAR models over the full sample. After a liberalization, we find that equity flows increase by 1.4% of market capitalization. We also show that shocks in equity flows initially increase returns which is consistent with a price pressure hypothesis. While the effect is diminished over time, there also appears to be a permenant impact. This is consistent with our finding that our proxy for the cost of capital, dividend yields, decreases. Finally, our analysis of the transitition dynamics from pre-liberalization to post-liberalization suggests that when capital leaves, it leaves faster than it came in. These results may help us understand the dynamics of the recent crises in Latin America and East Asia.
Over the past two decades, emerging market economies (EMEs) have become a dominant presence in the world economy. They now account for a substantial share of world output and, with their rapid growth rates, have become a major driver of global growth during the past decade. But how sustainable are their growth and development in the face of unpredictable events and often rocky economic conditions?
This book presents the latest empirical findings on stock markets in a number of emerging markets. The authors employ the latest techniques and provide valuable insights into each market, highlighting global integration, their potential for profitable investments and features that will be influential in global portfolio decision-making.
In Korea, Thailand, Mexico, Chile and a host of other nations, stock markets previously shunned as illiquid, or simply too exotic, are evolving at a terrific rate, and drawing in ever more participants. Consider these facts:. The emerging markets' share of world market capitalization will grow from approximately 7 percent to 15-20 percent - a pace more than twice that of the industrialized nations.