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Explains the fundamentals of blue-chip stock investing, including historical events leading to today's strong market, the effects of the Baby Boomer generation on future markets, and forecasts for the behavior of different market sectors
The author of "Dow 40,000" now offers guidelines for building a profitable portfolio combining top stocks with market leaders--and outpacing the market for years to come. 30 graphs & charts.
Through the 1990s, stocks went up for so long that millions started to believe the pundits who predicted they would climb forever. The market was heralded as a magic get-rich-quick scheme - and its stars were the breathless financial reporters, analysts, politicians, and CEOs who urged Americans to buy, buy, buy and hold, hold, hold. But trees don't grow to the sky and as the market plummets by frequent and lasting double-digit drops, these stars no longer seem as bright. In retrospect, some seem downright stupid. Authors Greg Eckler and L. M. Mac Donald use their wry perspective to profile them all, reminding us that there was a whole team of "experts" encouraging us to rip up our savings while the rich got "super rich." With quotes from Alan Greenspan, Al Gore, Bernie Ebbers, Larry King, and more, Bull! provides a humorously outrageous look at the bubble that many swore could never burst.
"Every stock owner should read this book." -- Allan H. Meltzer, professor of political economy, Carnegie Mellon University * A radically new way to determine what stocks are really worth * Why the Dow is still poised to zoom * Why the financial establishment is wrong * Why stocks are actually less risky than bonds * How to build a maximizing portfolio and invest without fear "One of the hottest business books around. . . . It has wonderfully clear explanations of financial theory [and] excellent advice on general investing approaches." -- Allan Sloan, Newsweek "It may sound like headline-grabbing sensationalism, but the scholarly and punctilious authors make a persuasive case . . . the book is highly readable and witty." -- Arthur M. Louis, "San Francisco Chronicle "Dow 36,000 is a provocative and well-written treatise that cannot be dismissed. . . ." -- Burton G. Malkiel, "Wall Street Journal "Dow 36,000: Everything you know about stocks is wrong." -- Jim Jubak, "Worth magazine
Prosper from the profitable opportunities of the next financial market super boom In 1976, Yale Hirsch predicted a fifteen-year super boom—a move in the stock market of 500% or more. His forecast proved accurate as the market rose and continued upward, eventually posting growth over 1,000% just before the tech crash in 2000. In Super Boom, Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor in Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, unveils the next market expansion. Building on his father's research from 1976, Hirsch has discovered that meteoric rises in stock indices are due to specific catalysts predominantly outside of the financial markets. History has a way of repeating itself, especially in the financial markets. The American economy, and subsequently the world economy, has always existed in a cycle of boom and bust: gold, grain, oil, technology, and most recently, real estate, have all bubbled and popped. The key to investing profitably is spotting macroeconomic historical trends and positioning to reap the benefits. Step-by-step, Hirsch puts together the pieces of this puzzle by revealing the central drivers of a super boom. Examines how new cultural paradigm-shifting technologies, as well as peace between major wars, could fuel a super boom Discusses how the massive injection of money by the government, in response to the global financial crisis and the Great Recession, as well as wartime spending, will eventually create an inflationary environment The data and research found here is based on historical information and the boom-and-bust cycle of the past century As markets and economies struggle over the next several years, remember to keep your eye on the future and get ready for the coming super boom and the next 500% move in the market. With this book as your guide, you'll benefit from the insights that only Jeffrey Hirsch can provide.
A systematic investigation of growth in nature and society, from tiny organisms to the trajectories of empires and civilizations. Growth has been both an unspoken and an explicit aim of our individual and collective striving. It governs the lives of microorganisms and galaxies; it shapes the capabilities of our extraordinarily large brains and the fortunes of our economies. Growth is manifested in annual increments of continental crust, a rising gross domestic product, a child's growth chart, the spread of cancerous cells. In this magisterial book, Vaclav Smil offers systematic investigation of growth in nature and society, from tiny organisms to the trajectories of empires and civilizations. Smil takes readers from bacterial invasions through animal metabolisms to megacities and the global economy. He begins with organisms whose mature sizes range from microscopic to enormous, looking at disease-causing microbes, the cultivation of staple crops, and human growth from infancy to adulthood. He examines the growth of energy conversions and man-made objects that enable economic activities—developments that have been essential to civilization. Finally, he looks at growth in complex systems, beginning with the growth of human populations and proceeding to the growth of cities. He considers the challenges of tracing the growth of empires and civilizations, explaining that we can chart the growth of organisms across individual and evolutionary time, but that the progress of societies and economies, not so linear, encompasses both decline and renewal. The trajectory of modern civilization, driven by competing imperatives of material growth and biospheric limits, Smil tells us, remains uncertain.
An investment approach that unlocks the secret of market patterns Based on over forty years of combined author experience as portfolio managers and financial advisors, Divorcing the Dow presents a timely framework for understanding and investing in market cycles. Authors Jim Troup and Sharon Michalsky believe that the Dow Jones Industrial Average is no longer a relevant indicator of market performance; in fact, they feel that watching the Dow may actually obscure indications that the financial markets are poised to experience a boom that dwarfs anything seen before. Based on in-depth research and field-tested in their own successful management of millions of dollars in personal and corporate assets, Divorcing the Dow introduces investors to a revolutionary paradigm for assessing the markets and making investment decisions. Troup and Michalsky's approach focuses on analyzing patterns of productivity as a way to anticipate market cycles and investment potential-and with this book they've outlined how investors can begin to recognize these patterns themselves. Divorcing the Dow provides investors with a new framework for thinking about financial markets and gives readers specific investment techniques to anticipate the market's direction and identify companies poised for sustained productivity and long-term growth. Jim Troup (Sarasota, FL) is First Vice President, Financial Consultant, Portfolio Manager, and Corporate Client Group Director at Smith Barney. A twenty-four-year finance veteran, Troup has worked with leading investment firms including E.F. Hutton and Merrill Lynch, and lectures extensively on portfolio management and asset allocation. SHARON MICHALSKY is First Vice President, Financial Consultant, Portfolio Manager, Corporate Client Group Director at Smith Barney, where she began her career nineteen years ago. She has attended The Wharton School and is the guest speaker at many professional forums where she lectures on investment methodology and portfolio management.
During the 1990s, the United States underwent a dramatic transformation: investing in stocks, once the province of a privileged elite, became a mass activity involving more than half of Americans. Pop Finance follows the trajectory of this new market populism via the rise of investment clubs, through which millions of people across the socioeconomic spectrum became investors for the first time. As sociologist Brooke Harrington shows, these new investors pour billions of dollars annually into the U.S. stock market and hold significant positions in some of the nation's largest firms. Drawing upon Harrington's long-term observation of investment clubs, along with in-depth interviews and extensive survey data, Pop Finance is the first book to examine the origins and impact of this mass engagement in investing. One of Harrington's most intriguing findings is that gender-based differences in investing can create a "diversity premium"--groups of men and women together are more profitable than single-sex groups. In examining the sources of this effect, she delves into the interpersonal dynamics that distinguish effective decision-making groups from their dysfunctional counterparts. In addition, Harrington shows that most Americans approach investing not only to make a profit but also to make a statement. In effect, portfolios have become like consumer products, serving both utilitarian and social ends. This ties into the growth of socially responsible investing and shareholder activism--matters relevant not only to social scientists but also to corporate leaders, policymakers, and the millions of Americans planning for retirement.
Epochal transitions -- Populations -- Agricultures and diets -- Energies -- Economies -- Environment -- Outcomes and outlooks.
Jeffrey Hirsch discusses how to capture market-beating returns by following specific stock market cycles While predicting the direction of the stock market at any given point is difficult, it's a fact that the market exhibits well-defined and sometimes predictable patterns. While cycles do not repeat exactly all of the time, statistical evidence suggests that cyclical tendencies are very strong and should not be ignored by investors. The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will show you how to profit from these recurring stock market patterns and cycles. Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, President of the Hirsch Organization and Editor-in-Chief of the Stock Trader's Almanac, this reliable resource explains why these cycles occur, provides the historical evidence behind them, and shows you how to capture consistent profits from them moving forward. In addition to describing his most widely followed cycles and patters, Hirsch also discusses both longer term boom-bust economic cycles and shorter term tendencies involving the best days, weeks, and months of the year to trade the market. The methods found here follow everything from presidential election cycles to the "Santa Claus" effect Written by Jeffrey Hirsch, the pre-eminent authority on market cycles and seasonal patterns The strategies explored are easy-to-implement, and based on research that has proven profitable over the course of time For investors looking to beat the buy-and-hold philosophy, The Little Book of Stock Market Cycles will provide simple, actionable ideas that have stood the test of time and consistently outperformed the market.