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High and persistent inflation has presented serious macroeconomic challenges in India in recent years, increasing the country’s domestic and external vulnerabilities. A number of factors underpin India’s high inflation. This book analyzes various facets of Indian inflation—the causes, consequences, and policies being implemented to manage it. Several chapters are devoted to analyzing and managing food inflation, given its significance in driving overall inflation dynamics in India.
Co-movement (synchronicity) in inflation rates among a set of 13 emerging and developing countries in Asia is shown to be strongest for the food component, partly due to common rainfall shocks—a result which the paper terms the ‘monsoon effect.’ Economies with higher trade integration and co-movement in nominal effective exchange rates also experience greater food-inflation co-movement. By contrast, cross-country co-movement in core inflation is weak and the aforementioned determinants have little explanatory power, suggesting a prominent role for idiosyncratic domestic factors in driving core inflation. In the context of the growing literature on the globalization of inflation, these results suggest that common weather patterns are partly responsible for any role played by a so-called ‘global factor’ among inflation rates in emerging and developing economies, in Asia at least.

India

International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Published: 2016-03-02

Total Pages: 49


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This paper explores key issues affecting the Indian economy and implications for fiscal, monetary, financial sector, and other structural policies. This paper evaluates the build-up of corporate and banking sector vulnerabilities in India, linked to the past macroeconomic slowdown and supply-side bottlenecks, particularly in the infrastructure sector; the nature, scope, and the effectiveness of macroprudential policies in India; the potential costs and benefits of gold monetization schemes in India; two recent episodes of financial market volatility—the taper tantrum of the summer of 2013 and the China spillover episode of the summer of 2015; effectiveness of India’s capital controls using an arbitrage based approach; the relationship between Indian; and international market prices of cereals.
This comprehensive text aims to give readers an overall idea of the structural changes in Indian Economy in the Post-Independence era with greater focus on the period since reforms of the 1990s. Besides giving an overview of the broad trends of the economy, an attempt has been made to define various important concepts that may be useful for any average student learning the subject. Comprehensive coverage of contemporary issues such as sectoral reforms, various welfare schemes of the government, employment generation schemes, etc. are dealt with in great detail and the book is up-to-date with latest data from Economic Survey 2020–21. Primarily designed for General Studies paper of the Civil Services Examination (IAS and PCS) and the optional paper on Economics in the main examination, the book will be handy for other competitive examinations. Undergraduate and postgraduate students of commerce, economics and management will also immensely benefit by reading the book. KEY FEATURES • Up-to-date with latest data from Economic Survey 2020–21 • Short-answer and long-answer questions based on exam pattern are the highlight of the book • Previous years' examination questions• Important issues/developments highlighted TARGET AUDIENCE • Civil Services and other competitive Examinations aspirants • Undergraduate/Postgraduate students of Economics/Commerce/ Management
Since the mid-1980s, durable reforms coupled with prudent macroeconomic management have brought steady progress to the South Asia region, making it one of the world’s fastest growing regions. Real GDP growth has steadily increased from an average of about 3 percent in the 1970s to 7 percent over the last decade. Although growth trajectories varied across countries, reforms supported strong per capita income growth in the region, lifting over 200 million people out of poverty in the last three decades. Today, South Asia accounts for one-fifth of the world’s population and, thanks to India’s increasing performance, contributes to over 15 percent of global growth. Looking ahead, the authors find that South Asia is poised to play an even bigger role in the global economy, in both relative and absolute terms. India has overtaken China as the fastest growing large economy and South Asia’s contribution to global growth is set to increase, while more mature economies decelerate. Greater economic diversification, with an expansion of the service sector, improvements in education, and a still sizable demographic dividend are among the key elements underpinning this performance. Based on demographic trends, more than 150 million people in the region are expected to enter the labor market by 2030. This young and large workforce can be South Asia’s strength, if supported by a successful high-quality and job-rich growth strategy. Amid a changing global economic landscape, the authors argue that South Asia will need to leverage on all sectors of the economy in a balanced way, supporting improvements in agricultural productivity and a sustainable expansion of manufacturing, while promoting higher-skill services, to achieve this goal.
The growth rate of the Indian economy has plummeted sharply from 9 per cent in 2010 to below 5 per cent over 2012−14. It is essential to sustain a growth rate of 8 per cent or more over the next 20 years to eliminate poverty and reach a decent standard of living. There is an urgent need for research on the challenges facing India in reviving and sustaining high rates of economic growth, some of which are related to industrial policy, trade policy, infrastructure bottlenecks, inflation and macroeconomic issues, governance issues, demography and human capital. There is also a need for better industrial and human resource policies, higher investment and savings rates, higher exports and foreign investment inflows. This book studies the importance of growth, the role of industrial policy in sustaining it, and other critical issues regarding ways to revive and sustain higher growth in India across various sectors of the economy.
Introduction Economics is often regarded as the backbone of a nation's policy-making and development. Its principles and applications impact every aspect of society, from individual choices to global trade policies. For Civil Service Exam aspirants, a thorough understanding of economics is indispensable, as it equips you with the knowledge to analyze and address the pressing issues facing our country and the world. The Importance of Economics in Civil Services Economics forms a crucial part of the Civil Service Exam syllabus, reflecting its importance in governance and administration. As future civil servants, you will be required to make informed decisions that can influence economic growth, social welfare, and overall national development. Hence, a solid grasp of both basic and advanced economic concepts is essential. Basic Concepts We begin with the fundamentals of economics, laying a strong foundation for more advanced topics. Key concepts such as supply and demand, market equilibrium, and the role of prices in an economy are explained in a straightforward manner. You will learn about different types of markets, including perfect competition, monopoly, and oligopoly, and how they function. National Income and Economic Indicators Understanding how to measure an economy’s performance is critical. We cover essential economic indicators like Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Gross National Product (GNP), inflation, and unemployment rates. These indicators provide insights into the health of an economy and are vital for policy-making. Money and Banking The role of money in the economy, the functioning of banks, and the significance of financial markets are explored in detail. You will learn about monetary policy, the workings of the Reserve Bank of India, and how financial institutions influence economic stability and growth. Public Finance This section delves into government revenue and expenditure, focusing on fiscal policy and its implications for the economy. Topics such as taxation, public debt, and budget deficits are discussed to provide an understanding of how governments manage economic resources. International Trade and Finance In an increasingly globalized world, understanding international economics is crucial. We discuss trade theories, balance of payments, exchange rates, and the impact of globalization on national economies. The roles of international organizations like the World Trade Organization (WTO) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) are also covered. Economic Development and Planning Economic development is a major goal for any government. This part of the book examines the strategies and policies aimed at achieving sustainable development. Issues such as poverty, inequality, and environmental sustainability are addressed, along with the role of planning in economic development. Contemporary Economic Issues The final chapters focus on current economic challenges and trends. Topics like digital economy, climate change, and economic reforms are discussed to provide a contemporary perspective. Understanding these issues is crucial for aspiring civil servants who will be at the forefront of addressing them. Conclusion This book aims to provide a comprehensive yet accessible introduction to economics, tailored specifically for Civil Service Exam aspirants. By bridging basic and advanced topics, it prepares you to tackle the economic questions in the exam with confidence. More importantly, it equips you with the knowledge to contribute effectively to the economic development and welfare of our society. I hope this book serves as a valuable resource in your preparation and inspires you to delve deeper into the fascinating world of economics. Nitin Arora
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