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Swarming is seemingly amorphous, but it is a deliberately structured, coordinated, strategic way to strike from all directions, by means of a sustainable pulsing of force and/or fire, close-in as well as from stand-off positions. It will work best-perhaps it will only work-if it is designed mainly around the deployment of myriad, small, dispersed, networked maneuver units (what we call "pods" organized in "clusters"). Developing a swarming force implies, among other things, radical changes in current military organizational structures. From command and control of line units to logistics, profound shifts will have to occur to nurture this new "way of war." Our study examines the benefits- and also the costs and risks-of engaging in such serious doctrinal change. Examples of swarming can be found throughout history, but it is only now able to emerge as a doctrine in its own right. That is largely because swarming depends on a devolution of power to small units and a capacity to interconnect those units that has only recently become feasible, due to the information revolution.
Swarming is a seemingly amorphous, but deliberately structured, coordinated, strategic way to perform military strikes from all directions. It employs a sustainable pulsing of force and/or fire that is directed from both close-in and stand-off positions. It will work best--perhaps it will only work--if it is designed mainly around the deployment of myriad, small, dispersed, networked maneuver units. This calls for an organizational redesign--involving the creation of platoon-like pods joined in company-like clusters--that would keep but retool the most basic military unit structures. It is similar to the corporate redesign principle of flattening, which often removes or redesigns middle layers of management. This has proven successful in the ongoing revolution in business affairs and may prove equally useful in the military realm.
Swarming is a seemingly amorphous, but deliberately structured, coordinated, strategic way to perform military strikes from all directions. It employs a sustainable pulsing of force and/or fire that is directed from both close-in and stand-off positions. It will work best--perhaps it will only work--if it is designed mainly around the deployment of myriad, small, dispersed, networked maneuver units. This calls for an organizational redesign--involving the creation of platoon-like pods joined in company-like clusters--that would keep but retool the most basic military unit structures. It is similar to the corporate redesign principle of flattening, which often removes or redesigns middle layers of management. This has proven successful in the ongoing revolution in business affairs and may prove equally useful in the military realm.
The information revolution--which is as much an organizational as a technological revolution--is transforming the nature of conflict across the spectrum: from open warfare, to terrorism, crime, and even radical social activism. The era of massed field armies is passing, because the new information and communications systems are increasing the lethality of quite small units that can call in deadly, precise missile fire almost anywhere, anytime. In social conflicts, the Internet and other media are greatly empowering individuals and small groups to influence the behavior of states. Whether in military or social conflicts, all protagonists will soon be developing new doctrines, strategies, and tactics for swarming their opponents--with weapons or words, as circumstances require. Preparing for conflict in such a world will require shifting to new forms of organization, particularly the versatile, hardy, all-channel network. This shift will prove difficult for states and professional militaries that remain bastions of hierarchy, bound to resist institutional redesign. They will make the shift as they realize that information and knowledge are becoming the key elements of power. This implies, among other things, that Mars, the old brute-force god of war, must give way to Athena, the well-armed goddess of wisdom. Accepting Athena as the patroness of this information age represents a first step not only for preparing for future conflicts, but also for preventing them.
In the battle for the streets of Mosul in Iraq, drones in the hands of ISIS terrorists made life hell for the Iraq army and civilians. Today, defense companies are racing to develop the lasers, microwave weapons, and technology necessary for confronting the next drone threat. Seth J. Frantzman takes the reader from the midnight exercises with Israel’s elite drone warriors, to the CIA headquarters where new drone technology was once adopted in the 1990s to hunt Osama bin Laden. This rapidly expanding technology could be used to target nuclear power plants and pose a threat to civilian airports. In the Middle East, the US used a drone to kill Iranian arch-terrorist Qasem Soleimani, a key Iranian commander. Drones are transforming the battlefield from Syria to Libya and Yemen. For militaries and security agencies—the main users of expensive drones—the UAV market is expanding as well; there were more than 20,000 military drones in use by 2020. Once the province of only a few militaries, drones now being built in Turkey, China, Russia, and smaller countries like Taiwan may be joining the military drone market. It’s big business, too—$100 billion will be spent over the next decade on drones. Militaries may soon be spending more on drones than tanks, much as navies transitioned away from giant vulnerable battleships to more agile ships. The future wars will be fought with drones and won by whoever has the most sophisticated technology.
The 21st century has been characterized by great turbulence, climate change, a global pandemic, and democratic decay. Drawing on post-structural political theory, this book explores two dominant concepts used to make sense of our disturbed reality: the state and the network. The book explains how they are inextricably interwoven, while showing why they complicate the way we interpret our present. In seeking a better understanding of today’s world, this book argues that we need to pull apart the familiar lines of our maps. By looking beneath and across these lines, an ‘unmapping’ presents new insights and opportunities for a better future.
"THE FUTURE WARS: CONFLICT IN THE AGE OF INNOVATION" IS CONCEIVED WIT MULTIFACETED INTENTION, SERVING NOT ONLY AS A PROPHETIC CANVAS ON WHICH WE PAINT PLAUSIBLE SCENARIOS OFTOMORROW'S CONFLICTS BUT ALSO AS A CLARION CALL FOR PRE-EMPTIVE REFLECTION AND ACTION. AT THE HEART OF THIS ENDEAVOUR IS THE DESIRE TO EXPLORE AND UNDERSTAND THE SHAPE THAT WAR MIGHT TAKE IN THE FUTURE, GIVEN THE RAPID ADVANCEMENTS IN TECHNOLOGY AND THE SHIFTING SANDS OF INTERNATIONAL POLITICS. WITH AN EYE ON EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES SUCH AS ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, AUTONOMOUS WEAPONS, CYBER WARFARE CAPABILITIES, AND SPACE-BASED COMBAT PLATFORMS, THIS BOOK SEEKS TO PAINT A COMPREHENSIVE PICTURE OF WHAT THE ART OF WAR COULD LOOK LIKE IN THE DECADES TO COME. THE PURSUIT OF THIS KNOWLEDGE IS NOT TO STOKE THE FIRES OF CONFLICT BUT TO SMOTHER THE EMBERS BEFORE THEY FLAME. THROUGH A THOROUGH EXAMINATION OF POTENTIAL DANGERS AND ETHICAL QUANDARIES, "THE FUTURE WARS: CONFLICT IN THE AGE OF INNOVATION" AIMS TO INFORM AND PREPARE POLICY MAKERS, MILITARY LEADERS, SCHOLARS, AND CITIZENS ALIKE TO MAKE WISE DECISIONS THAT COULD AVERT DEVASTATING CONFLICTS. BY CONSIDERING THE IMPACT OF FUTURE WARS ON HUMAN SOCIETY, ECONOMIES, AND THE GLOBAL ORDER, THE BOOK INTENDS TO ELICIT A BROADER UNDERSTANDING OF THE CONSEQUENCES OF WAR AND THE IMPORTANCE OF DIPLOMATIC EFFORTS IN MAINTAINING PEACE.
Netwar-like cyberwar-describes a new spectrum of conflict that is emerging in the wake of the information revolution. Netwar includes conflicts waged, on the one hand, by terrorists, criminals, gangs, and ethnic extremists; and by civil-society activists (such as cyber activists or WTO protestors) on the other. What distinguishes netwar is the networked organizational structure of its practitioners-with many groups actually being leaderless-and their quickness in coming together in swarming attacks. To confront this new type of conflict, it is crucial for governments, military, and law enforcement to begin networking themselves.
The Hyperwar era is upon us. The fusion of distributed artificial intelligence with highly autonomous military systems ushers in a type of lightning-quick conflict that has never been seen before. Yet this is more than a revolution in military affairs; it is a revolution in human affairs that will transform the 21st century defense and security environment. Advances in AI will fundamentally change the human condition, and with it, a profoundly human undertaking, war. Conflict and Competition in the AI Century, gathers essays by leading experts in artificial intelligence explore the operational, technological, ethical, and professional military dimensions of this new era in which US dominance is no longer assured. "'Hyperwar' doesn't just admire the problem of AI-fueled warfare, it offers concrete approaches to help U.S. policymakers and our allies prepare. It is a 'must read' for all humans seeking to be 'in the loop or on the loop' before these technologies outpace our capacity to make ethical, strategic and secure decisions about our future." -Ambassador Victoria Nuland CEO, Center for a New American Security