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In recent years, record-breaking stock volume plus major new trading vehicles such as stock index futures contracts and options on futures have made Wall Street history. In ten year’ time, the new options market has grown from an idea to a major marketplace. Thos who understand how to use these new markets either for speculative gain or conservative income strategies are already reaping the financial rewards. This book, by a Chicago floor trader, tells how you too can join the boom in options trading and play the market to your advantage. “The notion that you can buy stock and hold it indefinitely is one that simply doesn’t work anymore. Today’s investor wants and needs an investment tool that will enable him to change with changing economic times. Options are flexible. They provide a suitable challenge for those who want to be master of their own destiny.”
This book explores the consequences of denying the assumption and develops a general approach to decision-making under unresolved conflict.
Should I have this medical treatment or that one? Is this computer a better buy than that one? Should I invest in shares or keep my money under the bed? We all face a perplexing array of decisions every day. Thoroughly revised and updated throughout, the new edition of Straight Choices provides an integrative account of the psychology of decision-making, and shows how psychological research can help us understand our uncertain world. Straight Choices emphasises the relationship between learning and decision-making, arguing that the best way to understand how and why decisions are made is in the context of the learning and knowledge acquisition which precedes them, and the feedback which follows. The mechanisms of learning and the structure of environments in which decisions are made are carefully examined to explore their impact on our choices. The authors then consider whether we are all constrained to fall prey to cognitive biases, or whether, with sufficient exposure, we can find optimal decision strategies and improve our decision making. Featuring three completely new chapters, this edition also contains student-friendly overviews and recommended readings in each chapter. It will be of interest to students and researchers in cognitive psychology, behavioral economics, and the decision sciences, as well as anyone interested in the nature of decision making.
Would you like to have success in trading options much like the success of a casino that consistently grinds out profits each day? Casinos are successful because they have a definite probability edge on every gambling opportunity that they offer. They rely on the law of large numbers to guarantee that their probability edge will produce profits. When trading options, you can also do this if you have an edge. This book will show you how to get an edge in your options trading. Then, like the casinos, your edge will translate into small but consistent gains. The book will show you how to best exploit your edge, and it will guide you in the selection of the equity that you trade, selection of the strategy, selection of the strikes and expiration cycle, sizing and placing the trade, monitoring progress, and managing the trade. The book covers basic information about options including all of the common strategies, the option pricing model, and the greeks. It then discusses six sources of edge for sellers of option premium. Then it shows the reader how to select equities that take advantage of the combined edge, how to decide on the best strategy, how to determine the risk and to size the trade, how to place the order, and how to monitor and manage the trade. Each decision can be totally mechanical, based on the values of one or more metrics. And the software provided with the book computes all of the metrics that you will need. If you follow the approach described in this book, I believe you will be able to achieve profits of 1 percent to 2 percent or more each month in markets that are moving up, down, or going nowhere.
This book presents a major breakthrough in successful commodity trading, featuring a systematic trading program with documented proof that 7 winners out of every 8 seasonal tendency commodity trades achieved an outstanding $687,942 gain.
“The author has written a truly complete reference book on options trading, from basics to strategies to taxes and theory. Newcomers to options can quickly find a clear explanation of terms or strategies they aren’t familiar with, and experienced traders can expand their understanding of how complex strategies are created.” --Jim Bittman, author, Trade Options Like a Professional “For a new perspective about options, I recommend Michael Thomsett’s comprehensive The Options Trading Body of Knowledge. Traders at all levels will enjoy his easy-to-read style as he explains options from A to Z. The options industry has needed a reference like this for a long time.” --Marty Kearney, Senior Staff Instructor, The Options Institute The Comprehensive, Up-to-Date Reference for Every Options Trader By Michael C. Thomsett, author of the global best-seller Getting Started in Options Illuminates virtually every technique and form of options trading--including options on futures and ETFs Helps you consistently choose the right options strategies and understand your true risks Options offer investors multiple opportunities to enhance their profits. However, options trading is complex, and the sheer scope of available strategies can overwhelm traders. Today, options can support a wide range of strategies, from high risk to conservative. Moreover, options are available not only for stock equities but also for futures, indices, and mutual funds. To trade successfully, traders need an authoritative, up-to-date guide to all the strategies available to them. Now, renowned options expert and best-selling author Michael C. Thomsett has created the definitive reference for options traders at all levels of experience. Thomsett systematically illuminates each key technique and strategy: how trades are structured, how to assess risk, and when each strategy is most applicable. For most strategies, Thomsett presents detailed tables and illustrations identifying profit zones, loss zones, and breakeven points. This book thoroughly explains how option premium develops based on various elements of value, walks through the calculation of returns on options trading, discusses how federal taxation works in the options market, shows how stocks are picked for options trading, and provides a complete glossary and additional resources for traders. Thoroughly Comprehend Options Trading Risks Systematically evaluate risks associated with markets, volatility, inflation, taxation, portfolios, and knowledge Understand All the Elements of Value in an Options Trade Master concepts ranging from time-to-expiration to implied volatility Use the Right Strategies at the Right Time Know when to use covered calls, spreads, straddles, combinations, and synthetic positions The Options Marketplace: History, Evolution, and Trends Understand both the “forest” and the “trees”
Beginning with its first edition and through subsequent editions, Thinking and Deciding has established itself as the required text and important reference work for students and scholars of human cognition and rationality. In this fourth edition, first published in 2007, Jonathan Baron retains the comprehensive attention to the key questions addressed in the previous editions - how should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making? - and his expanded treatment of topics such as risk, utilitarianism, Baye's theorem, and moral thinking. With the student in mind, the fourth edition emphasises the development of an understanding of the fundamental concepts in judgement and decision making. This book is essential reading for students and scholars in judgement and decision making and related fields, including psychology, economics, law, medicine, and business.
This groundbreaking book presents a brief history of behaviorism, the dominant movement in American psychology in the first half of the 20th Century. It then analyzes and criticizes radical behaviorism, as pioneered by B.F. Skinner, and its philosophy and applications to social issues. This second edition is a completely rewritten and much expanded version of the first edition, published nearly 15 years earlier. It surveys what changes have occurred within behaviorism and whether it has maintained its influence on experimental cognitive psychology or other fields. The mission of the book is to help steer experimental psychology away from its current undisciplined indulgence in "mental life" toward the core of science, which is an economical description of nature. The author argues that parsimony -- the elementary philosophical distinction between private and public events, even biology, evolution and animal psychology -- all are ignored by much contemporary cognitive psychology. The failings of radical behaviorism as well as a philosophically defective cognitive psychology point to the need for a new theoretical behaviorism, which can deal with problems such as "consciousness" that have been either ignored, evaded or muddled by existing approaches. This new behaviorism provides a unified framework for the science of behavior that can be applied both to the laboratory and to broader practical issues such as law and punishment, the health-care system, and teaching.