Michael J. W. Stokesbury
Published: 2000
Total Pages:
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A procedure of classification using a discriminant function analysis was developed to determine the farmed or native natal origin of Atlantic salmon juveniles in the Magaguadavic River, New Brunswick. Farmed juveniles enter this river as escapees from three commercial aquaculture hatcheries. The procedure evaluated measured scale characteristics from the first year of growth, of farmed and native juveniles of known origin, for their power as predictors of derivation. Eight scale characteristics proved to be significant predictors of origin. In a jackknife cross-validation, the function developed from the characteristics proved to be 90.3% accurate in predicting the origin of juvenile Atlantic salmon in the Magaguadavic River. The procedure was then applied to unknown origin juveniles sampled from the Magaguadavic, Waweig and Digdequash rivers in New Brunswick. All of these rivers support hatcheries. Juvenile salmon sampled in the Magaguadavic River in 1996, 1997 and 1998, were determined to be 34%, 63% and 42% of farmed origin, respectively. During 1998, 9% of the juveniles from the Digdequash River were of farmed origin, and 42% of the juveniles in the Waweig River were of farmed origin. The study indicated that substantial numbers of farmed juveniles escaped from hatcheries and occupied juvenile salmon habitat in all three rivers.