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The debate over affirmative action has raged for over four decades, with little give on either side. Most agree that it began as noble effort to jump-start racial integration; many believe it devolved into a patently unfair system of quotas and concealment. Now, with the Supreme Court set to rule on a case that could sharply curtail the use of racial preferences in American universities, law professor Richard Sander and legal journalist Stuart Taylor offer a definitive account of what affirmative action has become, showing that while the objective is laudable, the effects have been anything but. Sander and Taylor have long admired affirmative action's original goals, but after many years of studying racial preferences, they have reached a controversial but undeniable conclusion: that preferences hurt underrepresented minorities far more than they help them. At the heart of affirmative action's failure is a simple phenomenon called mismatch. Using dramatic new data and numerous interviews with affected former students and university officials of color, the authors show how racial preferences often put students in competition with far better-prepared classmates, dooming many to fall so far behind that they can never catch up. Mismatch largely explains why, even though black applicants are more likely to enter college than whites with similar backgrounds, they are far less likely to finish; why there are so few black and Hispanic professionals with science and engineering degrees and doctorates; why black law graduates fail bar exams at four times the rate of whites; and why universities accept relatively affluent minorities over working class and poor people of all races. Sander and Taylor believe it is possible to achieve the goal of racial equality in higher education, but they argue that alternative policies -- such as full public disclosure of all preferential admission policies, a focused commitment to improving socioeconomic diversity on campuses, outreach to minority communities, and a renewed focus on K-12 schooling -- will go farther in achieving that goal than preferences, while also allowing applicants to make informed decisions. Bold, controversial, and deeply researched, Mismatch calls for a renewed examination of this most divisive of social programs -- and for reforms that will help realize the ultimate goal of racial equality.
This edition, 21st in a series, provides revisions of projections shown in the preceding volume and includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher learning at the national level. Data include projections for enrollment, graduates, instructional staff, and expenditures to the year 2002. Selected projections are also given for the state level. This edition also includes a section on new developments in projecting education statistics that includes enrollment projections by race and ethnicity. A methodology section describes the ways that projections are made and the models used. Most projections include three or four alternatives based on different assumptions about growth. Public and private school enrollments are projected to increase in the period, passing the 1971 peak, with a reversal in the recent decline in secondary school enrollments. While enrollment in higher education is expected to increase, the rate of growth is expected to slow after 1990. Increases in the numbers of classroom teachers and in expenditures per pupil are also forecasted. State level K-12 public school enrollment and public high school graduates are expected to increase, but these increases will vary across the nation. Five technical appendices contain details about the projection methodology; and present supplementary tables, a table of mean absolute percentage errors, an outline of data sources, and a glossary. The text contains 100 figures and 46 tables, and the appendices contain an additional 34 tables. (SLD)