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The objective of this study is to investigate the long-run performance of initial public offerings in Germany for the period from 1977 to 1995. Of particular interest is to examine whether underpricing and the timing of subsequent seasoned equity offerings may help to explain why some firms have substantial positive and others substantial negative long-run abnormal holding period returns after going public. We find significant empirical evidence that firms that raised additional funds after an IPO through a seasoned equity offering outperformed the market. There is a significant difference in returns to the firms that had no subsequent equity offering. A comparison of seasoned equity offerings of IPOs and of established firms suggests that the information asymmetry is more pronounced for IPO firms.
In this timely volume on newly emerging financial mar- kets and investment strategies, Arvin Ghosh explores the intriguing topic of initial public offerings (IPOs) of securities, among the most significant phenomena in the United States stock markets in recent years. Before the 2000-2001 market turndown, hardly a week went by when more than a few companies did not become public, either in the organized stock exchange or in the Over the Counter (OTC) market. In the often over-burdened, technology-heavy Nasdaq market, the role of IPOs was crucial for the market's new vigor and growth. Internet stocks were able to find a mode to supply key momentum to the market. In the so-called "New Economy" of the 1990s, it was the seductively accessible IPO that ushered in the world's information technology revolution.Ghosh sets out to examine the pricing and financial performance of IPOs in the United States during the period 1990-2001. In the opening chapter he discusses the rise and fall of IPOs in the preceding decade. Chapter 2 further delineates the IPO process from the start of the prospectus to the end of the "quiet period" and aftermarket stabilization. In chapter 3 Ghosh analyzes the mispricing and deliberately deceptive underpricing, or "flipping," of Internet IPOs. Chapter 4 delves deeper into the pricing and operating efficiency of Nasdaq IPOs. Chapter 5 analyzes the pricing and long-run performance of IPOs both in the New York Stock Exchange and in the Nasdaq markets. In chapters 6 and 7 the author deals with the pricing and performance of the venture-blocked and nonventure-backed IPOs in general and Internet IPOs in particular. In chapter 8 he analyzes the role of underwriters as market makers. In chapter 9 Ghosh discusses the accuracy of analysts' earnings forecasts. In the concluding chapter, he summarizes the principal findings of the study and the recent revival of the IPO market and its place in capital formation as well as the latest developments in t
This dissertation, "Accounting and Stock Performance of Initial Public Offerings and Seasoned Equity Offerings: Evidence in China" by Liangyi, Ouyang, 歐陽良宜, was obtained from The University of Hong Kong (Pokfulam, Hong Kong) and is being sold pursuant to Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Hong Kong License. The content of this dissertation has not been altered in any way. We have altered the formatting in order to facilitate the ease of printing and reading of the dissertation. All rights not granted by the above license are retained by the author. Abstract: Abstract of the thesis entitled Accounting and Stock Performance of Initial Public Offerings and Seasoned Equity Offerings: Evidence in China Submitted By OUYANG Liangyi For the Degree of Doctor of Philosophy at the University of Hong Kong in August 2004 Although it has a short history, the China stock market developed very fast in the past decade. Stock is now a primary investment instrument for Chinese. This research studies the long-term accounting and stock performance of initial public offerings and seasoned equity offerings in China. We find that operating performance of initial public offerings and seasoned equity offerings in China experience substantial deterioration in the post-issue period. Issuers typically have significant higher earnings and sales revenue than their industry peers before year 0. However, their advantages shrink to nothing in a short period. Extraordinarily high current accruals are reported in year 0, which consist of a large discretionary component after broken down by a Jones (1991) model. We attribute the unusual changes in accruals and operating performance to be a result of earnings management. Moreover, we find that both absolute and discretionary current accruals in year 0 are powerful in predicting changes of income and cash flow in the following three years. This finding further strengthens the hypothesis that managers dress up their earnings to meet the earnings threshold by recording aggressive accruals, which cause earnings reverse in the aftermarket period. Investors are surprised at the poor earnings. Earnings announcement effects, measured by 3-, 9- and 21-day market-adjusted abnormal returns are significantly negative in post-issue period. We also find stock offerings have negative buy-and-hold abnormal ii returns in a three-year window. Both IPOs and SEOs have around 30% less returns than size-matched non-issuers. However, when the matching standard changes to be size and book-to-market ratio, the abnormal returns are reduced by half and not significant for SEOs. We also apply the Fama and French (1993) model to monthly trading data of issuers. The result shows that the time-weighted abnormal return is not significant. We consider this difference to be a result of the time-clustering and cyclical pattern of stock issues in China. Due to high volumes of stock issues in periods of high past returns and low volumes in periods of low past returns, a time-weighted method may not find underperformance while an equal-weighted method may. We explain the negative cross-sectional abnormal returns as results of investor overoptimism and information asymmetry. Investors have insufficient information about issuers and overestimate issuers' future earnings. Along with new information released in earnings reports, they gradually downgrade their valuation, thus contributing to the negative cross-sectional returns. We find that the three-year buy-and-hold abnormal returns on issuers are significantly correlated with changes in net income during the same period, which is also supportive of the investor overoptimism hypothesis. This research contributes to the literature by providing new evidence from China, a major emerging economy with high growth. We suggest that earnings management could be stimulated by explicit earnings requirement and exacerbated by inve
Existing estimates of the long-run abnormal performance after initial public offerings in Germany differ between +1.54 % and -19.85 % for holding periods of 36 months. We discuss the methodological problems of these studies and the peculiarities of the German market. Using a large sample, alternative benchmarks (the equally and the value-weighted market portfolio, size portfolios and matching stocks), and a simulation study we conclude that size portfolios and matching stocks are better benchmarks than market portfolios, mainly because IPO stocks typically have a small or medium market capitalization and a size effect in stock returns exists. The new listing bias, discussed intensively by Barber/Lyon (1997) seems to be of minor importance in the German market. Using buy-and-hold abnormal returns, we estimate that German stocks involved in an IPO or in a SEO, on the average, underperform a portfolio consisting of stocks with a similar market capitalization by 6 % in three years. This is considerably less than the underperformance after IPOs and SEOs in the US market reported by Loughran/Ritter (1995) and the underperformance after IPOs in Germany reported by Ljungqvist (1997). For stocks involved in a SEO the underperformance is statistically significant, for IPO stocks it is not. This is the first estimate of the abnormal performance after SEOs for the German market. We also show that the apparent underperformance of the 1988-1990 IPO cohort discovered by Ljungqvist (1997) disappears when the abnormal performance estimate is based on size portfolios, instead of market portfolios. Since we have a relatively small number of observations per event, the use of matching firms as benchmarks in the calculation of long-run abnormal returns is associated with a much higher variance of the average long-run abnormal performance estimate than the use of size portfolios in both, the actual event studies and the simulations.
A fully revised and updated second edition of the essential guide that tells you everything you want to know about IPOs in the UK. An initial public offering (IPO) - the occasion when a firm's shares are issued to the public for the first time - is one of the most exciting events in the life of a company, providing new opportunities for the business, its managers and for investors. IPOs attract a lot of attention from stock market researchers, academics and investors seeking to understand more about how they work and how the shares of IPO companies perform once they are listed. In this second edition of Initial Public Offerings, Arif Khurshed delves into the history of IPOs on the London Stock Exchange, explains the mechanics of how IPOs are arranged and how they are priced, and provides an analysis - with detailed but lucid reference to past academic studies - of how the shares of IPO companies perform in the short and long term. The book provides valuable insight into many fundamental IPO matters, including: - the different methods of flotation that are used, - the alternative ways in which IPO shares are priced, - how common it is for IPO shares to over or underperform, - the survival of IPO firms once they are listed. There are also detailed case studies of the short- and long-run performance of a number of high-profile IPOs, including those of Facebook, Alibaba and Royal Mail. If you are an academic, finance professional or serious investor looking to broaden your knowledge of stock market flotations then you will find Initial Public Offerings to be an indispensable guide.
We examine whether firms take advantage of brief windows of opportunity to time seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) when their equity is substantially overvalued given managers' private information. We find that firms experiencing larger IPO underpricing, larger stock price run-ups after the IPO, and larger IPO offer size tend to return to the market with an SEO earlier than the others. Firms which issue SEOs quickly after an IPO underperform in comparison to their peers. The mean three-day abnormal return of firms issuing SEOs within six months of IPOs is 2.69% lower than that of firms issuing SEOs six months or more following their IPOs. Firms issuing SEOs shortly after their IPOs also exhibit worse long-run stock returns and operating performance. The results are most consistent with the hypothesis that managers with private information time SEOs in ways that benefit existing shareholders.
Underwriting Services and the New Issues Market integrates practice, theory and evidence from the global underwriting industry to present a comprehensive description and analysis of underwriting practices. After covering the regulation and mechanics of the underwriting process, it considers economic topics such as underwriting costs and compensation, the pricing of new issues, the stock price and operating performance of issuing firms, the evaluation of new issue decisions, and an analysis of the many choices issuers face in structuring new issues. Unlike other books, it systematically develops a critical perspective about underwriting practices, both in the U.S. and international markets, and with a level of detail unavailable elsewhere and an approach that reveals how financial institutions deliver underwriting services. Underwriting Services and the New Issues Market delivers an innovative and long overdue look at security issuance. Foreword by Frank Fabozzi - Covers underwriting contracts and arrangements on pricing and costs - Focuses on the financial consequences of the issuance decision for the firm - Describes and evaluates decisions regarding the features and structure of new security offerings.
An initial public offering (IPO) is one of the most significant events in corporate life. It follows months, even years of preparation. During the boom years of the late 1990s bull market, IPOs of growth companies captured the imagination and pocketbooks of investors like never before. This book goes behind the scenes to examine the process of an offering from the decision to go public to the procedures of a subsequent equity offering. The book is written from the perspective of an experienced investment banker describing the hows and whys of IPOs and subsequent equity issues. Each aspect of an IPO is illustrated with plenty of international examples pitched alongside relevant academic research to offer a combination of theoretical rigour and practical application. Topics covered are: - the decision to go public- legal and regulatory aspects of an offering; marketing and research- valuation and pricing- allocations of shares to investors - examination of fees and commissions* Global perpective: UK, European and US practices, regulations and examples, and case studies* First hand experience written by an IPO trader with academic rigour* Includes the changes in the market that resulted from 1998-2000 equity boom