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To use statistical methods and SAS applications to forecast the future values of data taken over time, you need only follow this thoroughly updated classic on the subject. With this third edition of SAS for Forecasting Time Series, intermediate-to-advanced SAS users—such as statisticians, economists, and data scientists—can now match the most sophisticated forecasting methods to the most current SAS applications. Starting with fundamentals, this new edition presents methods for modeling both univariate and multivariate data taken over time. From the well-known ARIMA models to unobserved components, methods that span the range from simple to complex are discussed and illustrated. Many of the newer methods are variations on the basic ARIMA structures. Completely updated, this new edition includes fresh, interesting business situations and data sets, and new sections on these up-to-date statistical methods: ARIMA models Vector autoregressive models Exponential smoothing models Unobserved component and state-space models Seasonal adjustment Spectral analysis Focusing on application, this guide teaches a wide range of forecasting techniques by example. The examples provide the statistical underpinnings necessary to put the methods into practice. The following up-to-date SAS applications are covered in this edition: The ARIMA procedure The AUTOREG procedure The VARMAX procedure The ESM procedure The UCM and SSM procedures The X13 procedure The SPECTRA procedure SAS Forecast Studio Each SAS application is presented with explanation of its strengths, weaknesses, and best uses. Even users of automated forecasting systems will benefit from this knowledge of what is done and why. Moreover, the accompanying examples can serve as templates that you easily adjust to fit your specific forecasting needs. This book is part of the SAS Press program.
Easy-to-read and comprehensive, this book shows how the SAS System performs multivariate time series analysis and features the advanced SAS procedures STATSPACE, ARIMA, and SPECTRA. The interrelationship of SAS/ETS procedures is demonstrated with an accompanying discussion of how the choice of a procedure depends on the data to be analysed and the reults desired. Other topics covered include detecting sinusoidal components in time series models and performing bivariate corr-spectral analysis and comparing the results with the standard transfer function methodology. The authors? unique approach to integrating students in a variety of disciplines and industries. Emphasis is on correct interpretation of output to draw meaningful conclusions. The volume, co-pubished by SAS and JWS, features both theory and practicality, and accompanies a soon-to-be extensive library of SAS hands-on manuals in a multitude of statistical areas. The book can be used with a number of hardware-specific computing machines including CMS, Mac, MVS, Opem VMS Alpha, Opmen VMS VAX, OS/390, OS/2, UNIX, and Windows.
This is the first book to present time series analysis using the SAS Enterprise Guide software. It includes some starting background and theory to various time series analysis techniques, and demonstrates the data analysis process and the final results via step-by-step extensive illustrations of the SAS Enterprise Guide software. This book is a practical guide to time series analyses in SAS Enterprise Guide, and is valuable resource that benefits a wide variety of sectors.
« Written for business analysts, data scientists, statisticians, students, predictive modelers, and data miners, this comprehensive text provides examples that will strengthen your understanding of the essential concepts and methods of predictive modeling. »--
Leverage the analytical power of SAS to perform financial analysis efficiently Key Features Leverage the power of SAS to analyze financial data with ease Find hidden patterns in your data, predict future trends, and optimize risk management Learn why leading banks and financial institutions rely on SAS for financial analysis Book Description SAS is a groundbreaking tool for advanced predictive and statistical analytics used by top banks and financial corporations to establish insights from their financial data. SAS for Finance offers you the opportunity to leverage the power of SAS analytics in redefining your data. Packed with real-world examples from leading financial institutions, the author discusses statistical models using time series data to resolve business issues. This book shows you how to exploit the capabilities of this high-powered package to create clean, accurate financial models. You can easily assess the pros and cons of models to suit your unique business needs. By the end of this book, you will be able to leverage the true power of SAS to design and develop accurate analytical models to gain deeper insights into your financial data. What you will learn Understand time series data and its relevance in the financial industry Build a time series forecasting model in SAS using advanced modeling theories Develop models in SAS and infer using regression and Markov chains Forecast inflation by building an econometric model in SAS for your financial planning Manage customer loyalty by creating a survival model in SAS using various groupings Understand similarity analysis and clustering in SAS using time series data Who this book is for Financial data analysts and data scientists who want to use SAS to process and analyze financial data and find hidden patterns and trends from it will find this book useful. Prior exposure to SAS will be helpful but is not mandatory. Some basic understanding of the financial concepts is required.
Master the concepts and techniques of statistical analysis using JMP Practical Data Analysis with JMP, Third Edition, highlights the powerful interactive and visual approach of JMP to introduce readers to statistical thinking and data analysis. It helps you choose the best technique for the problem at hand by using real-world cases. It also illustrates best-practice workflow throughout the entire investigative cycle, from asking valuable questions through data acquisition, preparation, analysis, interpretation, and communication of findings. The book can stand on its own as a learning resource for professionals, or it can be used to supplement a college-level textbook for an introductory statistics course. It includes varied examples and problems using real sets of data. Each chapter typically starts with an important or interesting research question that an investigator has pursued. Reflecting the broad applicability of statistical reasoning, the problems come from a wide variety of disciplines, including engineering, life sciences, business, and economics, as well as international and historical examples. Application Scenarios at the end of each chapter challenge you to use your knowledge and skills with data sets that go beyond mere repetition of chapter examples. New in the third edition, chapters have been updated to demonstrate the enhanced capabilities of JMP, including projects, Graph Builder, Query Builder, and Formula Depot.
Praise for the First Edition "...[t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics." -MAA Reviews Thoroughly updated throughout, Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition presents the underlying theories of time series analysis that are needed to analyze time-oriented data and construct real-world short- to medium-term statistical forecasts. Authored by highly-experienced academics and professionals in engineering statistics, the Second Edition features discussions on both popular and modern time series methodologies as well as an introduction to Bayesian methods in forecasting. Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition also includes: Over 300 exercises from diverse disciplines including health care, environmental studies, engineering, and finance More than 50 programming algorithms using JMP®, SAS®, and R that illustrate the theory and practicality of forecasting techniques in the context of time-oriented data New material on frequency domain and spatial temporal data analysis Expanded coverage of the variogram and spectrum with applications as well as transfer and intervention model functions A supplementary website featuring PowerPoint® slides, data sets, and select solutions to the problems Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting, Second Edition is an ideal textbook upper-undergraduate and graduate-levels courses in forecasting and time series. The book is also an excellent reference for practitioners and researchers who need to model and analyze time series data to generate forecasts.
Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.
This guide documents the syntax of the High-Performance Forecasting product and demonstrates its use through examples.
A time series is a set of repeated measurements of the same phenomenon taken sequentially over time. Capturing the data creates a time series "memory" to document correlations or lack, and to help them make decisions based on this data.