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The report estimates the increase in the number of motor vehicle accidents, injuries and fatalities that would result from an increase in the national speed limit to 60 mph. The report makes use of available travel and accident statistics, adopts previously identified relationships between travel speeds and accidents, and relies on a stated set of assumptions. The major conclusion of the report is that raising the speed limit to 60 mph will result in an increase of approximately 3500 fatalities per year, thus offsetting most of the safety benefits experienced under the 55 mph speed limit. The report provides estimates for the year 1977, which was selected solely for the purpose of exercising the model. However, the same model can be utilized in a similar fashion to arrive at estimates for any future year for which both traffic and safety conditions can be forecasted.
An update is provided of key legislative changes that have taken place concerning the fifty-five miles-per-hour National Maximum Speed Limit (NMSL). Summary statistics through the 1978 time period are followed by summaries of the literature reviewed on the benefits of the NMSL. An annotated bibliography of 16 studies represents various points of view and interests of the traffic safety community, and a supplementary list of references is provided. Findings of the Task Force are presented with the range of estimates for conclusions drawn. Since the 1973-4 decreases in fatalities, travel, and speed, there have been small increases for 1976-8, but the level of fatalities has not returned to pre-55 mph NMSL levels. In spite of a shortage of reliable data, it was concluded that 20,000 to 30,000 lives were saved in the 1974-1978 period.
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