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"Conventional wisdom suggests aircraft midair collisions to be random events, governed by the laws of Brownian Motion, and best analyzed by stochastic methods. An alternative hypothesis, that such accidents are deterministic in nature, and that specific factors leading to midair collisions can be identified and mitigated, forms the basis for this Dissertation. A predictive model using case control theory is developed for assessing Risk Index, a criterion measure of midair collision likelihood, for any General Aviation flight, actual or hypothetical. Generating the model requires statistical validation of two independent near midair collision databases, and identifying within them those aircraft, aircrew and airspace characteristics most closely associated with collision risk. Calibration of the model shows reality to fall somewhere between the stochastic and deterministic assumptions. A statistically significant correlation is found between predicted and observed Risk Index for a sizable random sample of flights, with a resulting Coefficient of Determination of 0.25. This suggests that we have identified 25% of the source of variance in midair collision risk, the remaining 75% being random. Therefore we can realistically hope to reduce midair collisions by roughly 25%. Strategies for mitigating the identified causal factors are proposed. Measures to reduce the random, remaining 75% of collision risk are also explored. However, these appear to require a significant overhaul of Air Traffic Control procedures, which must be approached with caution, to guard against the attendant possibility of curtailing capacity in the Air Transportation System."--Page 1-2
This bibliography has been assembled as an aid to those who are interested in research, engineering, and development pertaining to vertical flight aircraft (including helicopters, tiltrotor, and tiltwing vehicles) and their integration into the National Airspace System (NAS). The intended audience includes people within the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), in industry, and in state and local governments Reports in this bibliography are documents specifically related, in whole or in pan to vertical flight aircraft and the infrastructure that supports their operation in the National Airspace System (NAS). These documents have generally been sponsored or authored by the research, engineering, and development elements of the FAA. This is the eighth and probably the last version of this bibliography. It addresses approximately 440 reports published from 1962 to 2001.