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This document is the 27th report in a series begun in 1964. It provides revisions to projections shown in "Projections of Education Statistics to 2007" and includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher education at the national level. Included are projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2008. The report also includes projections of public elementary and secondary enrollment and high school graduates to the year 2008 at the state level. These projections reflect revisions influenced by the 1990 Census with the incorporation of 1996 estimates and latest assumptions for the fertility rate, net immigration, and mortality rate. A methodology section describes the models and assumptions used to develop the national projections, which are based on a cohort survival model, an age-specific enrollment rate model, exponential smoothing models, and econometric models. Most of the projections include three alternatives based on different assumptions about growth paths. Total public and private elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase from 51.4 million in 1996 to 54.5 million in 2006, but then total enrollment is projected to decrease to 54.3 million by the year 2008. Higher education is projected to increase from an estimated 14.3 million in 1996 to 16.1 million by 2008. Increases are also projected for high school graduates, the number of bachelor's degrees, the number of classroom teachers, expenditures per pupil, and teacher salaries. Data are presented in 71 figures and 52 tables, with an additional 38 tables in 4 technical appendixes. A glossary and discussion of data sources are included in the technical appendixes. (SLD)
Contains information on a variety of subjects within the field of education statistics, including the number of schools and colleges, enrollments, teachers, graduates, educational attainment, finances, Federal funds for education, libraries, international education, and research and development.
Provides 10-year projections of statistics for elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher education; includes enrollments, graduates, teachers, and expenditures.
Includes statistics on elementary and secondary schools and institutions of higher education at the national level. Included are projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, and expenditures to the year 2009. In addition, this report includes projections of public elementary and secondary enrollment and high school graduates to the year 2009 at the state level. These projections were produced to provide researchers, policy analysts, and others with state-level projections developed with a consistent methodology. They are not intended to supplant detailed projections prepared in individual states.
"The economics of American higher education are driven by one key factor--the availability of students willing to pay tuition--and many related factors that determine what schools they attend. By digging into the data, economist Nathan Grawe has created probability models for predicting college attendance. What he sees are alarming events on the horizon that every college and university needs to understand. Overall, he spots demographic patterns that are tilting the US population toward the Hispanic southwest. Moreover, since 2007, fertility rates have fallen by 12 percent. Higher education analysts recognize the destabilizing potential of these trends. However, existing work fails to adjust headcounts for college attendance probabilities and makes no systematic attempt to distinguish demand by institution type. This book analyzes demand forecasts by institution type and rank, disaggregating by demographic groups. Its findings often contradict the dominant narrative: while many schools face painful contractions, demand for elite schools is expected to grow by 15+ percent. Geographic and racial profiles will shift only slightly--and attendance by Asians, not Hispanics, will grow most. Grawe also use the model to consider possible changes in institutional recruitment strategies and government policies. These "what if" analyses show that even aggressive innovation is unlikely to overcome trends toward larger gaps across racial, family income, and parent education groups. Aimed at administrators and trustees with responsibility for decisions ranging from admissions to student support to tenure practices to facilities construction, this book offers data to inform decision-making--decisions that will determine institutional success in meeting demographic challenges"--
These statistics allow researchers to plan for the future with projections for enrollment, graduates, classroom teachers, & expenditures for elementary through higher education to the year 2009 at national & state levels. Recommended in: ALA's Guide to Reference Books.
Contains information on a variety of subjects within the field of education statistics, including the number of schools and colleges, enrollments, teachers, graduates, educational attainment, finances, Federal funds for education, libraries, international education, and research and development.
The Digest of Education Statistics provides a compilation of statistical information covering the broad field of education from prekindergarten through graduate school. It includes a selection of data from many sources and draws especially on the results and activities carried out by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES).