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For the over 14 million people who play fantasy football every year; for the hardcore fan who wants information beyond sports page recaps; for everyone who bets on the NFL; and for the smart, casual enthusiast looking for entertainment and insight comes the essential preseason annual. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Pro Football Prospectus assesses the DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) of every single skill player and determines how many points better a starting player is over the average bench player; measures special teams; offers advanced offensive line statistics; analyzes teams' abilities to convert draft picks into quality players; and much more. And like its sister publication, Baseball Prospectus, it's written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. Compared by The New York Times Magazine to Bill James, the baseball statistics guru, Aaron Schatz is revolutionizing the world of football statistics. In just two years his Web site, FootballOutsiders.com, is "by a huge margin, the Web's best independent football site," writes Gregg Easterbrook of NFL.com. Salon calls it "a must for anyone interested in going beyond 'This guy has more yards, so he must be better.'" Now Schatz and his team of Football Outsiders are continuing their groundbreaking work with a comprehensive, authoritative book of sophisticated statistical analysis. It also offers solid predictions: in 2004, the Outsiders predicted six of eight division winners, including the Steelers' champion season; the fading year of Ahman Green and Jamal Lewis; and the breakout of the New York Jets.
Presenting a new year of groundbreaking intelligence, this guide includes team and player ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal true contributions to success, a unique statistical toolbox featuring DPAR (Defense adjusted Points Above Replacement), and more.
You may think you know football, but without the "Pro Football ForecastTM you don't know what you're missing. The "ForecastTM goes beyond mere totals to take a new approach to football stats, with unique numbers for offense, defense, and even the lowly kicker and punter. If you look at the totals only, they don't give you the full story. Take Eddie George's numbers in 2003. He gained more than 1,000 yards but needed an enormous number of carries to each that milestone. One back matched George's yardage with over seventy fewer carries; imagine what Steve McNair would do with seventy extra snaps! The "ForecostTM also provides defensive ratings. compiling all the good things a defender does and comparing players position by position, both from last year and throughout recent history. As for Kickers, everyone knows that fifty-yard field goals are tougher than chip shots and that booming a punt and pinning a team deep are two totally different skills. The ForecostTM turns that knowledge into firm numbers, with hard stats to show the difference. Of course, the ForecostTM still provides a look at each team's recent past and its future, discussing the forthcoming seasin and why last season turned out as it did. There's also a research essay for cach team, taking a look at an interesting question that specifically applies to that team (and often to the league as a whole). On top of all that you get information for your fantasy leagues--"rankings by positions, projections for how the skill players will do in the 2005 season. and tips on who to avoid and who might be a good sleeper. If you're looking for a book that lets you know the NFL--"really know the NFL, from top to bottom--"then you'relooking for the ForecostTM.
Provides analysis of every team, all of the players, and essays on every aspect of the game
A handbook for fantasy football players and pro football fans includes detailed team and player ratings, along with predictions about the upcoming season and the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender.
The popular guide returns for another year of unique football scrutiny and prognoses plus analyses of every team and player in the NFL and interesting essays on the game.
"Includes stats and outlooks for every player on every team, with fantasy information, player projections, and more"--Cover.
Presents an annual reference guide of facts and records for each team in the National Football League, including information on all-time results, team directories, and draft summaries.