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Presenting a new year of groundbreaking intelligence, this guide includes team and player ratings that correct for situation and opponent to reveal true contributions to success, a unique statistical toolbox featuring DPAR (Defense adjusted Points Above Replacement), and more.
For the over 14 million people who play fantasy football every year; for the hardcore fan who wants information beyond sports page recaps; for everyone who bets on the NFL; and for the smart, casual enthusiast looking for entertainment and insight comes the essential preseason annual. With numerous statistical measures that go far beyond standard NFL stats, Pro Football Prospectus assesses the DVOA (Defense-adjusted Value Over Average) of every single skill player and determines how many points better a starting player is over the average bench player; measures special teams; offers advanced offensive line statistics; analyzes teams' abilities to convert draft picks into quality players; and much more. And like its sister publication, Baseball Prospectus, it's written with a knowing dry wit that gets under the skin of America's most popular spectator sport. Compared by The New York Times Magazine to Bill James, the baseball statistics guru, Aaron Schatz is revolutionizing the world of football statistics. In just two years his Web site, FootballOutsiders.com, is "by a huge margin, the Web's best independent football site," writes Gregg Easterbrook of NFL.com. Salon calls it "a must for anyone interested in going beyond 'This guy has more yards, so he must be better.'" Now Schatz and his team of Football Outsiders are continuing their groundbreaking work with a comprehensive, authoritative book of sophisticated statistical analysis. It also offers solid predictions: in 2004, the Outsiders predicted six of eight division winners, including the Steelers' champion season; the fading year of Ahman Green and Jamal Lewis; and the breakout of the New York Jets.
Provides analysis of every team, all of the players, and essays on every aspect of the game
The popular guide returns for another year of unique football scrutiny and prognoses plus analyses of every team and player in the NFL and interesting essays on the game.
"Includes stats and outlooks for every player on every team, with fantasy information, player projections, and more"--Cover.
A handbook for fantasy football players and pro football fans includes detailed team and player ratings, along with predictions about the upcoming season and the odds on each team as a Super Bowl contender.
Schatz and the experts at FootballOutsiders.com use groundbreaking statistical analysis to provide readers with a new understanding of how football works--without sacrificing readability.
In the 1980s, Neil Hornsby was one of very few National Football League fans in England. Never one to do anything casually, he began keeping hand-written score sheets of every game using his own tracking system. Soon he'd enlisted some fellow British super fans in his mission to take football information an extra layer deeper. This was the beginning of Pro Football Focus, an analytics company that now supplies data to all 32 NFL teams and every major broadcasting corporation. PFF player grades appear on the screen during Sunday Night Football broadcasts, and PFF's pioneering research and analysis informs discussions at the highest level, from coaching to drafting to game-planning and player evaluation. In Football Is a Numbers Game, Matthew Coller chronicles this improbable start-up tale with unprecedented access, exploring the company's origin as a band of obsessive outsiders, its pivotal acquisition by Cris Collinsworth, and its role in the proliferation of data in the NFL and professional sports. Featuring a cast of memorable characters, this is a portrait of an unlikely business success as well as a behind-the-scenes look at the forces guiding modern NFL teams as they search for a competitive edge.
"This book will change the way you think about professional football--in much the same way that Bill James revolutionized the analysis of Major League Baseball. The research is impeccable. The approach is irreverent. You will be 'blindsided' by what you think you know about the NFL, but don't. Warning to fantasy football lovers: You won't be able to put this book down." —Sal Paolantonio, ESPN reporter and author of The Paolantonio Report: The Most Overrated and Underrated Players, Teams, Coaches, and Moments in NFL History "KC Joyner's theories will completely revolutionize football, cure baldness, save the whales, and bring total peace and harmony to all nations. That's why you must read Blindsided!" —Gregg Easterbrook, ESPN's Tuesday Morning Quarterback "Too much of football literature is just tedious hagiography, but Blindsided is a book for those of us who enjoy the complex game on the field and football conversation that goes past 'my team rules.' " —Aaron Schatz, lead author and editor of Pro Football Prospectus Pro football’s statistical iconoclast, K.C. Joyner, challenges conventional wisdom with fact-based and film-based responses in Blindsided: Why the Left Tackle is Overrated and Other Contrarian Football Thoughts. If you love sports statistics or find excitement in fantasy football, you will enjoy the detailed insights and carefully researched information in this book. Scrap the typical media hype and hoopla for the real, straight-from-the-fields-and-films scoop, including information on free agents, parity, NFL business practice, Hall of Fame standards, coaching practices, historical iconoclasm, and a thorough statistical review.