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Explores two neglected mathematical tools essential for competing successfully in today's frenzied commodities markets: quantity, which shows the proper amounts a trader should trade for a given market and system, and intercorrelation of returns (diversification), which shows not only which markets and systems to trade, but how to diversify with respect to trading the right quantities for each market. By using these lesser known tools in conjunction with the more popular trade/system selection tools, readers will see mathematically how success in the markets can be achieved, and how ``success'' without using all three is most likely incidental. In addition, non-stationary distribution of profits and losses and drawdowns are incorporated into the discussions to expose traders to the highs and lows of commodities markets and how best to leverage their assets.
In 2005, Joel Greenblatt published a book that is already considered one of the classics of finance literature. In The Little Book that Beats the Market—a New York Times bestseller with 300,000 copies in print—Greenblatt explained how investors can outperform the popular market averages by simply and systematically applying a formula that seeks out good businesses when they are available at bargain prices. Now, with a new Introduction and Afterword for 2010, The Little Book that Still Beats the Market updates and expands upon the research findings from the original book. Included are data and analysis covering the recent financial crisis and model performance through the end of 2009. In a straightforward and accessible style, the book explores the basic principles of successful stock market investing and then reveals the author’s time-tested formula that makes buying above average companies at below average prices automatic. Though the formula has been extensively tested and is a breakthrough in the academic and professional world, Greenblatt explains it using 6th grade math, plain language and humor. He shows how to use his method to beat both the market and professional managers by a wide margin. You’ll also learn why success eludes almost all individual and professional investors, and why the formula will continue to work even after everyone “knows” it. While the formula may be simple, understanding why the formula works is the true key to success for investors. The book will take readers on a step-by-step journey so that they can learn the principles of value investing in a way that will provide them with a long term strategy that they can understand and stick with through both good and bad periods for the stock market. As the Wall Street Journal stated about the original edition, “Mr. Greenblatt…says his goal was to provide advice that, while sophisticated, could be understood and followed by his five children, ages 6 to 15. They are in luck. His ‘Little Book’ is one of the best, clearest guides to value investing out there.”
You have great investment ideas. If you turn them into highly profitable portfolios, this book is for you. Advanced Portfolio Management: A Quant’s Guide for Fundamental Investors is for fundamental equity analysts and portfolio managers, present, and future. Whatever stage you are at in your career, you have valuable investment ideas but always need knowledge to turn them into money. This book will introduce you to a framework for portfolio construction and risk management that is grounded in sound theory and tested by successful fundamental portfolio managers. The emphasis is on theory relevant to fundamental portfolio managers that works in practice, enabling you to convert ideas into a strategy portfolio that is both profitable and resilient. Intuition always comes first, and this book helps to lay out simple but effective "rules of thumb" that require little effort to implement and understand. At the same time, the book shows how to implement sophisticated techniques in order to meet the challenges a successful investor faces as his or her strategy grows in size and complexity. Advanced Portfolio Management also contains more advanced material and a quantitative appendix, which benefit quantitative researchers who are members of fundamental teams. You will learn how to: Separate stock-specific return drivers from the investment environment’s return drivers Understand current investment themes Size your cash positions based on Your investment ideas Understand your performance Measure and decompose risk Hedge the risk you don’t want Use diversification to your advantage Manage losses and control tail risk Set your leverage Author Giuseppe A. Paleologo has consulted, collaborated, taught, and drank strong wine with some of the best stock-pickers in the world; he has traded tens of billions of dollars hedging and optimizing their books and has helped them navigate through big drawdowns and even bigger recoveries. Whether or not you have access to risk models or advanced mathematical background, you will benefit from the techniques and the insights contained in the book—and won't find them covered anywhere else.
THE NEW MONEY MANAGEMENT In his bestselling Portfolio Management Formulas and TheMathematics of Money Management, Ralph Vince brought the complexmathematics of probability and modern portfolio management theorydown to earth for traders and investors. He introduced innovativenew ways they could be used to maximize account managementdecisions. Now, in this groundbreaking new book, Vince takes aquantum leap forward to provide investment professionals with aproven new approach to portfolio management that overturns nearly ahalf-century of accepted wisdom about asset allocation and moneymanagement. The culmination of Ralph Vince's years spent probing the limits ofthe mathematics of portfolio management, The New Money Managementelaborates on his celebrated Optimal f notion--a concept which willbe familiar to readers of either of Vince's previous books--toprovide a revolutionary portfolio management model designed tooptimize account performance, not just in the long run, but atvirtually any given point in time. Unlike traditional models which focus on risk and reward ascompeting entities, the approach to portfolio constructiondescribed in this book concentrates on obtaining optimal synergyamong all of the various components of a given portfolio. Unlikeprevious portfolio models which assumed an a priori distribution toreturns, usually with returns being normally distributed, this newmodel is applicable to any distributional form of return. In The New Money Management, Ralph Vince once again demonstrateshis critically acclaimed talent for talking about highly complexconcepts in practical, real-world terms. Writing in a lively,anecdotal style, and relying on a bare minimum of math, he gentlyguides readers through the maze of complex theoretical issues whilearming them with a set of easy-to-understand, easy-to-use formulasand investment strategies that they can put into practiceimmediately. The New Money Management is an indispensable resource for allinvestment professionals, especially traders in stocks, options,and futures; institutional investors; and portfolio managers. From a leading pioneer in portfolio theory, a revolutionary newapproach to maximizing ongoing account equity . . . In his most original and accessible book yet, computer tradingsystems expert Ralph Vince introduces investment professionals to arevolutionary portfolio management model designed to optimizeaccount performance, not just in the long run, but at virtually anygiven point in time. "Ralph Vince has done it again. His work is original andlevel-headed, and contributes more than anyone else to ourunderstanding of risk. Vince's work is required reading for anyportfolio manager." --Barbara Rockefeller, President RockefellerAsset Management, Inc. "Ralph Vince's optimal concept is the single best strategy fordetermining how many contracts or number of shares to buy whenfirst entering a trade. This latest book breaks new ground in thefield of money management." --Howard A. Bernstein, President HBCapital Management, Inc. "I would encourage all progressive portfolio managers to understandRalph Vince's methodology. His works continue to be a rigorouslywell-researched and documented method of risk control and assetallocation. His focus is unique in our industry." --Michael J.McCarthy, Portfolio Manager Signalert Corporation "A great book, if you want to get rich quickly without going brokefirst, to help you formulate your risk and trading strategy."--Harry Ploss Private Managed Futures Investor and Actuary
Every futures, options, and stock markets trader operates under a set of highly suspect rules and assumptions. Are you risking your career on yours? Exceptionally clear and easy to use, The Mathematics of Money Management substitutes precise mathematical modeling for the subjective decision-making processes many traders and serious investors depend on. Step-by-step, it unveils powerful strategies for creating and using key money management formulas--based on the rules of probability and modern portfolio theory--that maximizes the potential gains for the level of risk you are assuming. With them, you'll determine the payoffs and consequences of any potential trading decision and obtain the highest potential growth for your specified level of risk. You'll quickly decide: What markets to trade in and at what quantities When to add or subtract funds from an account How to reinvest trading profits for maximum yield The Mathematics of Money Management provides the missing element in modern portfolio theory that weds optimal f to the optimal portfolio.
Stock Market Math shows you how to calculate return, leverage, risk, fundamental and technical analysis problems, price, volume, momentum and moving averages, including over 125 formulas and Excel programs for each, enabling readers to simply plug formulas into a spread sheet. This book is the definitive reference for all investors and traders. It introduces the many formulas and legends every investor needs, and explains their application through examples and narrative discussions providing the Excel spreadsheet programs for each. Readers can find instant answers to every calculation required to pick the best trades for your portfolio, quantify risk, evaluate leverage, and utilize the best technical indicators. Michael C. Thomsett is a market expert, author, speaker and coach. His many books include Mathematics of Options, Real Estate Investor’s Pocket Calculator, and A Technical Approach to Trend Analysis. In Stock Market Math, the author advances the science of risk management and stock evaluation with more than 50 endnotes, 50 figures and tables, and a practical but thoughtful exploration of how investors and traders may best quantify their portfolio decisions.
The Handbook of Portfolio Mathematics "For the serious investor, trader, or money manager, this book takes a rewarding look into modern portfolio theory. Vince introduces a leverage-space portfolio model, tweaks it for the drawdown probability, and delivers a superior model. He even provides equations to maximize returns for a chosen level of risk. So if you're serious about making money in today's markets, buy this book. Read it. Profit from it." —Thomas N. Bulkowski, author, Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns "This is an important book. Though traders routinely speak of their 'edge' in the marketplace and ways of handling 'risk,' few can define and measure these accurately. In this book, Ralph Vince takes readers step by step through an understanding of the mathematical foundations of trading, significantly extending his earlier work and breaking important new ground. His lucid writing style and liberal use of practical examples make this book must reading." —Brett N. Steenbarger, PhD, author, The Psychology of Trading and Enhancing Trader Performance "Ralph Vince is one of the world's foremost authorities on quantitative portfolio analysis. In this masterly contribution, Ralph builds on his early pioneering findings to address the real-world concerns of money managers in the trenches-how to systematically maximize gains in relation to risk." —Nelson Freeburg, Editor, Formula Research "Gambling and investing may make strange bedfellows in the eyes of many, but not Ralph Vince, who once again demonstrates that an open mind is the investor's most valuable asset. What does bet sizing have to do with investing? The answer to that question and many more lie inside this iconoclastic work. Want to make the most of your investing skills Open this book." —John Bollinger, CFA, CMT, www.BollingerBands.com
Praise for Investment Manager Analysis "This is a book that should have been written years ago. It provides a practical, thorough, and completely objective method to analyze and select an investment manager. It takes the mystery (and the consultants) out of the equation. Without question, this book belongs on every Plan Sponsor's desk." —Dave Davenport, Assistant Treasurer, Lord Corporation, author of The Equity Manager Search "An insightful compendium of the issues that challenge those responsible for hiring and firing investment managers. Frank Travers does a good job of taking complicated analytical tools and methodologies and explaining them in a simple, yet practical manner. Anyone responsible for conducting investment manager due diligence should have a copy on their bookshelf." —Leon G. Cooperman, Chairman and CEO, Omega Advisors, Inc. "Investment Manager Analysis provides a good overview of the important areas that purchasers of institutional investment management services need to consider. It is a good instructional guide, from which search policies and procedures can be developed, as well as a handy reference guide." —David Spaulding, President, The Spaulding Group, Inc. "This book is the definitive work on the investment manager selection process. It is comprehensive in scope and well organized for both the layman and the professional. It should be required reading for any organization or individual seeking talent to manage their assets." —Scott Johnston, Chairman and Chief Investment Officer, Sterling Johnston Capital Management, LP "Investment Manager Analysis is a much-needed, comprehensive review of the manager selection process. While the industry is riddled with information about selecting individual stocks, comparatively little has been written on the important subject of manager selection for fund sponsors. This is a particularly useful guide for the less experienced practitioner and offers considerable value to the veteran decisionmaker as well." —Dennis J. Trittin, CFA, Portfolio Manager, Russell Investment Group
Quantitative Equity Portfolio Management brings the orderly structure of fundamental asset management to the often-chaotic world of active equity management. Straightforward and accessible, it provides you with nuts-and-bolts details for selecting and aggregating factors, building a risk model, and much more.
Believing "high-risk equals high-reward" is holding your portfolio hostage High Returns from Low Risk proves that low-volatility, low-risk portfolios beat high-volatility portfolios hands down, and shows you how to take advantage of this paradox to dramatically improve your returns. Investors traditionally view low-risk stocks as safe but unprofitable, but this old canard is based on a flawed premise; it fails to see beyond the monthly horizon, and ignores compounding returns. This book updates the thinking and brings reality to modelling to show how low-risk stocks actually outperform high-risk stocks by an order of magnitude. Easy to read and easy to implement, the plan presented here will help you construct a portfolio that delivers higher returns per unit of risk, and explains how to achieve excellent investment results over the long term. Do you still believe that investors are rewarded for bearing risk, and that the higher the risk, the greater the reward? That old axiom is holding you back, and it is time to start seeing the whole picture. This book shows you, through deep historical simulation, how to reap the rewards of smarter investing. Learn how and why low-risk, low-volatility stocks beat the market Discover the formula that outperforms Greenblatt's Construct your own low-risk portfolio Select the right ETF or low-risk fund to manage your money Great returns and lower risk sound like a winning combination — what happens once everyone is doing it? The beauty of the low-risk strategy is that it continues to work even after the paradox is widely known; long-term investment success is possible for anyone who can shake off the entrenched wisdom and go low-risk. High Returns from Low Risk provides the proof, model and strategy to reign in your exposure while raking in the profit.