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Sports betting is the ultimate gambling game, combining the intellectual challenge of handicapping with the excitement of sports that we would all pay to watch anyway. But beating the bookmakers is tough, and after paying the vigorish, almost all bettors lose. To become one of the select few who make money betting sports, you need a plan.Winning Sports Betting lays out everything you need to build your own winning sports betting plan. The tools of the trade employed by all winning sports bettors are discussed in detail, including: -Arbitrage and steam betting-Betting derivatives-Bankroll management-Handicapping-Finding winning trends-Timing your bets-Paying for picks-Bearding / multi-accounting-Syndicates-Turning proThere is no sure-fire path to riches in sports betting, but by following the roadmap provided in Winning Sports Betting you will greatly improve your chances of success
What does it take to create a winning sports betting model?Many people are interested in learning how to make smarter sports betting wagers. Not many of those same people are excited at the prospect of learning applied statistics to better inform their choices. You can't entirely blame them. Statistics has a well-earned reputation for being somewhat inaccessible by non-academics. It is a field filled with heavy terminology, confusing formulaic notation and concepts not fully relevant to the beginning sports bettor. To make matters worse, nobody in possession of a positive edge model is all that keen to show you how it works. As a result of this, sports modelling successfully requires a toolbox that you largely have to assemble for yourself. This book is my attempt to correct that, as I pull back the curtain on Excel spreadsheet models and techniques I developed in my first few years of sports betting. It is designed to give you an accessible crash course on modelling that will get you up to speed on the key relevant principles of statistics with a minimum amount of heavy technical jargon. You'll learn the most effective concepts in an easy-to-understand way and greatly speed up your learning curve in the process. Best of all, I'll walk you through sports betting models for many major sports: NFL, NBA, NHL, AFL and the English Premier League. You'll even be able to download these spreadsheet models and work your way through them while following this book.We'll be doing all of this in one of the most user friendly programs available: Excel. This program might not be the expert's first choice of platform for modelling work, but you'll be surprised just how much you can do with a spreadsheet or two.If you're ready to take your sports modelling to the next level - open this book, fire up Excel, and let's get to work. See you on the inside.
“Rob Miech has outdone himself with this poignant, behind-the-curtains revelation of a world of parlays and money-line wagers, of mob-ruled games, and characters named Lem and Lefty. The brilliant storyteller weaves insight from some of the world’s most prominent names in sports betting into a historic, entertaining, and informative journey.” —Ed Graney, six-time Nevada sportswriter of the year for the Las Vegas Review-Journal The legalization of sports wagering has increased the pot exponentially. But navigating the new systems can be tricky. If you’re a newcomer ready to bet on sports as an occasional pastime, veteran sports writer and Las Vegas insider Rob Miech delivers a vital primer on terminology, options, and procedures. If you’re already taking advantage of the sports betting world as a money-spinning career, he shares the latest approaches and all-new game-changing techniques by tapping the skills, secrets of success, and cautionary counsel of players on both sides of the counter. With behind-the-scenes stories and no-holds-barred interviews with the legendary masters of betting, Sports Betting for Winners shows how, with the right information and a sprinkling of luck, you can capitalize on the numbers behind the numbers and take the bettor’s game to the next level. “Miech gives us the skinny on a billion-dollar business.I'll lay you 9-to-5 you'll feel richer for reading Sports Betting for Winners.” —Mike Downey, award-winning sports columnist, Chicago Tribune and Los Angeles Times “A book on sports betting for everyone—entertaining, informative, anecdote-filled.” —Steve Rushin, author of Sting-Ray Afternoons and Nights in White Castle
*Simply the best analytical 2019 football preview you can buy* Welcome to previewing the NFL through a lens you've never witnessed before. Warren Sharp's 259-page full color 2019 Football Preview is unlike anything you have seen before. Stunning visualizations built with the reader in mind and innovative, next level thought process abound in every team chapter and article. This book shares insights into the players, coaches, teams and philosophies with one goal in mind: to get you prepared for the 2019 season by delivering the smartest information in the fastest, most direct way possible for optimal reviewing and retention. "There are so many preseason NFL previews available that offer fans insight into the season, however, few dig as deep as Warren's, with a unique view of what really matters during the season. Sharp's detailed approach is a must read for any football fan--and it's one of my main summer reads."- Michael Lombardi, 3-time Super Bowl Champion, working with Bill Belichick, Bill Walsh & Al Davis "Warren's preview exemplifies the use of analytics and information in a way that should be interesting to any fan. It is more in depth than many teams in the NFL are using today. Every GM and coach would serve themselves well to read the analysis of their team. They would both learn something and immediately appreciate the benefit of the information. No one presents it better, and breaks down what it means better than Warren."- Joe Banner, Longtime Philadelphia Eagles President "This book breaks down each team by every category imaginable and describes exactly what they did in every situation. If you coach any level of football, from youth to the NFL, you will assuredly receive valuable information. You won't want to put it down."- Kevin Kelley, Head Football Coach & 7-time State Champion at Pulaski Academy Every key element you would want to study is included, such as Fantasy Football (player profiles, ranks & visualizations), Vegas Odds (forecast team wins, division rankings, lines for all 2018 games), Coaching (strategic advice for teams, real vs optimal play calling analysis & uncovering team tendencies) and Front Office Analysis (positional spending, roster construction & cap analysis). Team chapters are detailed and intelligently organized for a massive revolution in reader understanding and information retention. Features embedded audio and video. Warren believes the best way to be successful in fantasy football or betting is to do the opposite of most other publications. There is an industry rush to dive head first into player rankings & projections. Warren starts with fundamental discussion of the game, the teams, their coaching strategy and the players. He then analyzes their strengths and weaknesses with visualizations and data to support the narrative. Using that framework, Warren constructs projections and outlook. By previewing the NFL season in this manner, the reader walks away with much more than ever envisioned or delivered in a season preview. Find out why pro bettors, linemakers and pro-DFS players view this season preview as indispensable. It's a must have if you want to bet on the 2019 Pro Football season. This preview incredibly combines evergreen philosophical "football" analysis you would find in a reference book with immediate, relevant predictions for the 2019 season. "Warren's dedication and acumen for analyzing football is clearly evident. This book is completely unlike anything I've read in a preview before. His ability to approach the game logically, analytically and in a predictive manner sets him apart from the crowd. I have no doubt after reading this preview you will be far more prepared for your fantasy drafts and just football in general. If you're a NFL fan of any kind, I cannot recommend this preview enough."Evan Silva
An insider history of the Pittsburgh Steelers at the NFL draft. A singular, transcendent talent can change the fortunes of a football team instantly. Each year, NFL teams approach the draft with this knowledge, hoping that luck will be on their side and that their extensive scouting and analysis will pay off. In On the Clock: Pittsburgh Steelers, Jim Wexell explores the fascinating, rollercoaster history of the Steelers at the draft, from Terry Bradshaw through Troy Polamalu and beyond. Readers will go behind the scenes with top decision-makers as they evaluate, deliberate, and ultimately make the picks they hope will tip the fate of their franchise toward success. From seemingly surefire first-rounders to surprising late selections, this is a must-read for Steelers faithful and NFL fans eager for a glimpse at how teams are built.
Learn how to bet on sports safely, smartly, and responsibly—and profit big—with this easy-to-use guide, perfect for beginners! Betting money on sports can be great fun and is a sure way to turn any sports game into an exciting must-watch event. However, it can be dangerous to the uninitiated—new gamblers can risk too much, bet randomly, or even lose it all. The Everything Guide to Sports Betting won’t let that happen. Filled with tips, tricks, and tactics, this handy guide shows you how to place bets strategically. You’ll learn all of the different types of bets you can make, how to spot a potentially profitable bet, and when to walk away. Covering all of the major sports leagues, The Everything Guide to Sports Betting will introduce you to the sports betting world and show you how to beat the casinos at their own games. In no time, you’ll be a gambling pro—and cash in on some major wins!
Brian Billick, Super Bowl-winning coach and current analyst for the NFL network, takes on the 2018 draft class of quarterbacks and follows them for two years, identifying the tangibles and intangibles of success, in search of the key to better predicting who will make it as a top-ranked NFL franchise QB. There are elite athletes in every sport -- people who possess tangible and intangible qualities that allow them to overcome daunting odds, spot opportunity in the midst of adversity, and turn defeat into victory. No position embodies this dynamic more than football quarterbacks, and nothing is a greater test of performance than the NFL. The tangibles -- metrics, stats, ratings, bowl games, championships -- are critical to evaluation. But they're not enough. Every year, highly rated college quarterbacks are analyzed, critiqued, hyped up and/or doubted, and those who manage to survive the scrutiny are drafted early. Some of those early picks make it to the top, some end up journeymen, and some just wash out. Why? What separates the elites from the pack? In THE Q FACTOR, former NFL coach Brian Billick takes the highly promising 2018 NFL quarterback Draft class -- the most touted class since 2004 (Manning, Roethlisberger, Rivers) and 1983 (Elway, Kelly, Marino) -- and measures the top five quarterback picks to gauge how, why, and if they succeed. They are all first rounders, all with sterling college credentials, all talented athletes, all taken by teams betting their futures. One or maybe two could go on to greatness. But which ones, and why? Could the prediction process be better? Are the "experts" looking at the wrong factors? How do we find the best of the best? That's what THE Q FACTOR explores...and finally explains.
How do sportsbooks make their lines? Which types of bets are the best? Can you beat the house? The Logic Of Sports Betting answers all these questions and more with a dash of humor and a whole lot of real talk about how it all works. Peek behind the counter and learn how sportsbooks operate. Combine that insider knowledge with why-didn't-I-think-of-that sports betting logic, and you have the winning formula. Ed Miller is a best-selling (over 300,000 copies sold) author of books on poker and gambling. This is his first book on sports betting, but maybe his favorite book to write so far. Matthew Davidow is a sports modeler, using proprietary methods to beat major sports betting markets for over 15 years, and co-founding two leading private sports analytics firms along the way. What people are saying about The Logic Of Sports Betting "Matt and Ed are two of the smartest minds in sports betting." - Rufus Peabody, professional sports bettor "As a sportsbook employee for 30-plus years, I find it difficult to read or watch anything about sports betting. But I could not put The Logic Of Sports Betting down. It's that good." - Robert Walker, Las Vegas bookmaker