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The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) is the world’s largest, most powerful military alliance. The Alliance has navigated and survived the Cold War, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and the post-9/11 era. Since the release of the 2010 Strategic Concept, NATO’s strategic environment has again undergone significant change. The need to adapt is clear. An opportunity to assess the Alliance’s achievements and future goals has now emerged with the Secretary General’s drive to create a new Strategic Concept for the next decade—an initiative dubbed NATO 2030. A necessary step for formulating a new strategic outlook will thus be understanding the future that faces NATO. To remain relevant and adjust to new circumstances, the Alliance must identify its main challenges and opportunities in the next ten years and beyond. This book contributes to critical conversations on NATO’s future vitality by examining the Alliance’s most salient issues and by offering recommendations to ensure its effectiveness moving forward. Written by a diverse, multigenerational group of policymakers and academics from across Europe and the United States, this book provides new insights about NATO’s changing threat landscape, its shifting internal dynamics, and the evolution of warfare. The volume’s authors tackle a wide range of issues, including the challenges of Russia and China, democratic backsliding, burden sharing, the extension of warfare to space and cyberspace, partnerships, and public opinion. With rigorous assessments of NATO’s challenges and opportunities, each chapter provides concrete recommendations for the Alliance to chart a path for the future. As such, this book is an indispensable resource for NATO’s strategic planners and security and defense experts more broadly.
The Secretary General tasked the Group with providing recommendations in three areas: 1) Reinforcing Allied unity, solidarity, and cohesion, including to cement the centrality of the transatlantic bond; 2) Increasing political consultation and coordination between Allies in NATO; and 3) Strengthening NATO’s political role and relevant instruments to address current and future threats and challenges to Alliance security emanating from all strategic directions. This document is the final report of the Reflection Group to the Secretary General. The first part summarises the report, outlines the Group’s vision for NATO in 2030, and provides a condensed version of the Group’s main findings. The second part assesses the main trends that will shape NATO’s environment between now and 2030. The third part provides a more detailed discussion of the recommendations, organised thematically according to each of the three objectives given to the Group by the Secretary General. The analysis and recommendations offered herein are intended to inform the Secretary General’s deliberations in the lead-up to the meeting of NATO Leaders in 2021, when he will conclude the Reflection Process by offering recommendations for strengthening NATO’s political dimension to Allied Heads of State and Government.
"The strategic environment of the transatlantic security partnership has changed significantly in the last decade, and today’s NATO no longer fully satisfied the security needs at both sides of the Atlantic. In a new security era, NATO should be a rebalanced Alliance, shouldered and led by Europeans, where the EU CSDP is the European pillar of the Alliance, and the United States provides specific critical capabilities. This Alliance will be perfectly capable of ensuring regional security, allowing the United States to lessen the U.S. security bond in Europe, and enhancing the project of European strategic autonomy through the Alliance. The analysis of the United States and EU security relationship and their strategic context shows two things: first, this renewed NATO is not only a real option but also is the best option to satisfy the security concerns of both partners. Second, the only way to compel the European countries to take responsibility for their own defense is by taking them progressively out of the American security umbrella to create an insecurity dilemma that encourages them to continue advancing European military capabilities and structures. The Europeans are up to the challenge, but they will not get there on their own. This research paper shows that the current security context provides an opportunity for both sides of the Atlantic to redefine a new NATO as an effective tool for today’s security challenges and proposes a three-step process to guide the transition toward a renewed NATO 2030."--Abstract.
How did Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic become the newest members of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization? Based on interviews conducted with more than 75 individuals—from Cabinet officials to desk officers—James M. Goldgeier tells the inside story of this controversial Clinton administration initiative. Analyzing the earliest internal deliberations, as well as administration discussions with allies, the Russians, and the United States Senate, Goldgeier demonstrates how a handful of committed policymakers outmaneuvered overwhelming bureaucratic opposition. He shows the role of domestic politics in shaping the evolution of this policy and dissects the national campaign waged by the administration's specially created NATO enlargement ratification office and its outside supporters. Weaving together insights about bureaucratic politics, policy entrepreneurship, and domestic politics, this book provides fresh insights into the American foreign policymaking process.