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Models, Data, and War: A Critique of the Foundation for Defense Analyses
This book, first published in 1981, offers a critical review of the techniques of mathematical modelling and their appropriate application to military operations research – the analysis of data (historical data, exercise and test results, and intelligence) in preparation for war. The virtues of sophistication via simplicity, and the beauty of the artful finesse, emerge as the signature of successful modelling.
A collection of papers that explore of the use of modeling in military planning. Explores how modeling applies to a variety forms of military engagement including ground, sea, air and nuclear warfare.
A prominent feature of modern Government is the extent to which the executive branch has institutionalized quantitative methodology (cost-effectiveness analysis, computer modeling, etc.) as an aspect of budgeting and decision-making. Proponents term this 'scientific management, ' and view it as a salutary extension of the 'objective' tools of science and mathematics. This argument has substantial merit, but it obscures the fact that quantitative methodology has considerable potential in both scientific (or 'objective') and 'subjective' applications. The difference, whether an application is based on scientific fact or 'quantified judgment, ' has obvious importance in the context of decision making. This report examines the nature of quantitative methods (cost-effectiveness analysis, computer modeling, etc.) and some of the problems in their use for the analysis of public policy issues.
The paper discusses model validation through the use of historical data and describes the recent work at the validation of the Tactical Warfare Simulation Program using data from the 1950-53 Korean War. (Author).
A critical look at how the US military is weaponizing technology and data for new kinds of warfare—and why we must resist. War Virtually is the story of how scientists, programmers, and engineers are racing to develop data-driven technologies for fighting virtual wars, both at home and abroad. In this landmark book, Roberto J. González gives us a lucid and gripping account of what lies behind the autonomous weapons, robotic systems, predictive modeling software, advanced surveillance programs, and psyops techniques that are transforming the nature of military conflict. González, a cultural anthropologist, takes a critical approach to the techno-utopian view of these advancements and their dubious promise of a less deadly and more efficient warfare. With clear, accessible prose, this book exposes the high-tech underpinnings of contemporary military operations—and the cultural assumptions they're built on. Chapters cover automated battlefield robotics; social scientists' involvement in experimental defense research; the blurred line between political consulting and propaganda in the internet era; and the military's use of big data to craft new counterinsurgency methods based on predicting conflict. González also lays bare the processes by which the Pentagon and US intelligence agencies have quietly joined forces with Big Tech, raising an alarming prospect: that someday Google, Amazon, and other Silicon Valley firms might merge with some of the world's biggest defense contractors. War Virtually takes an unflinching look at an algorithmic future—where new military technologies threaten democratic governance and human survival.