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This book contains a few of the critical financial management tools and lessons that entrepreneurs, investors and financial professionals need to succeed when doing business in developing markets.⟨br⟩Since moving to Addis Ababa in 2014, I have worked as an investor, advisor and owner-operator in Ethiopia, one of the world''s most exciting developing markets. I now co-manage Ethiopia Investments Ltd., a permanent capital investment vehicle focused on Ethiopia, and serve as General Manager for EQOS Global, Ethiopia''s first dedicated business process outsourcing (BPO) company.⟨br⟩This book has five chapters:* Chapter 1 - My Path to Ethiopia, One of the World''s Most Exciting Developing Markets* Chapter 2 - Why Financial Management Matters More in Developing Markets* Chapter 3 - The Forecast Financial Model* Chapter 4 - Sensitivity Analysis and Other Key Analyses* Chapter 5 - Final Advice for Entrepreneurs in Developing Markets⟨br⟩Chapter 2 walks through issues that are unique to the business environments of developing markets and how they are different than issues faced by companies in more developed markets: * Handling currency devaluations, * Setting dynamic pricing strategies* Managing the treasury function between home and base currencies* Understanding burn-rate* Planning for inflation shocks* Managing net working capital defensively* Forecasting raw materials needs* Planning for supply chain shocks* Forecasting market demands* Planning for flexible tax impacts* And many more...⟨br⟩Chapter 3 includes a detailed walk-through of a Microsoft Excel-based financial model that considers treatment of the issues discussed in Chapter 2.⟨br⟩Chapter 4 makes use of the Microsoft Excel-based financial model to give you greater control and understanding over the variables that impact your business. This chapter will help you answer questions like, "How does the change in the price of my products on the export market impact my cash burn-rate in my home market?" or "How would a large currency devaluation impact the price that an investor would pay for a stake of equity in my business?"⟨br⟩Finally, Chapter 5 includes advice for entrepreneurs, both local and expat, thinking about what it would take to set-up shop in a developing market. ⟨br⟩I wrote this book with the following six audiences in mind:* Entrepreneurs - This book is for entrepreneurs in developing markets who are either in the process of setting up a new business or considering it. A developing entrepreneur can be either a local entrepreneur or an immigrant (expat) entrepreneur and the advice in this book will be helpful no matter where you are from.* Investors - This book is for investors who are focused on developing markets and hoping to understand how the approach that works in more developed markets may look completely different for developing markets. * Financial professionals - This book is also for financial professionals such as CFOs, Finance Managers and Financial Analysts looking to understand how business practices in developing economies differ from more developed markets. * Investment Advisors - This book is also for investment advisors building advisory practices in developing countries who are hoping to bridge the gap between developing and developed markets.* Students - This book is also for students, both formal and informal, looking to learn more about business in developing countries. * Professionals - Finally, this book is for professionals interested in learning more about doing business in developing countries. ⟨br⟩This is the book that I wish I had when left my investment banking job and got on the plane from San Francisco to Addis Ababa in January 2014. Every lesson in this book has been learned by my team and me, sometimes painfully, and I hope that you find it to be helpful for you as you take on similar challenges, no matter where you are trying to operate.
The status of planning: an overview; Models and policy: the dialogue between model builder and planner; Theoretical foundations and technical implications; Quantitative foundations and implications of planning processes; Intersectoral consistency and macroeconomic planning; The foreign trade sector in planning models; Employment and human capital formation; Planning models, shadow prices, and project evaluation; Planning for multiple goals; Interindustry planning models for a multiregional economy; Planning with economies os scale; Substitution and nonlinearities in planning models.
Reorientation from economic controls to a market-based approach led to significant changes in the economic policy of developing countries in the 1980s. Yet, with governments continuing to exercise economic management to accelerate growth beyond that achieved by market forces, techniques and models of development planning are still an integral feature of development policy management. Development Policy and Planning provides a non-technical explanation of the main techniques and models used for economic policy formulation. Each technique is illustrated in application through practical examples.
Theory and Practice of Triple Helix Model in Developing Countries contributes to the expanding literature on "triple helix" innovation - focusing on developing countries. The book is based on practical cases and experiences from Africa, Latin America and Asia. Relevant experiences and best practices from developed countries are also examined. The book is presented as a response to the growing awareness about the need for policy shift from the traditional technology transfer practice to a policy position that is capable of providing a sustainable basis for innovation and technological progress in developing countries. The book explores the triple helix system of innovation based on the dynamics of the interactive relationships between government, industry and universities in the creation, dissemination and sharing of knowledge in developing countries. A major point addressed by the book is the extent to which the ‘triple helix’ system of relationships between university, industry and government can enhance the effectiveness of universities in developing countries as agents of innovation, industrialization and sustainable development.
This book provides an overview of macroeconometric modeling for less developed countries, a description of the structure and performance of Guyana's economy, an empirical testing of the model using annual data for Guyana, and a simulation approach to policy evaluation.
This title was first published in 2002. Providing the first comprehensive systematic assessment of the social accounting matrix (SAM) in twenty developing countries, Solomon Cohen introduces key research in the area and looks at its practical applications. Divided into two parts, the first part of each chapter: -Deals with the construction and structural analysis of the SAM -Examines refinements of the SAM as a self-contained model of the economy; study of SAM multipliers of growth and distribution -Explores decompositions of multiplier effects and cross-country and inter-temporal comparative analysis of changing economic structures. The second part looks at the SAM as a modular framework and a database, which can be flexibly used in economic policy modelling. This valuable reference, and the accompanying volume Social Accounting or Industrial and Transition Economies will be an essential addition to the bookshelves of researchers, instructors, policy makers, scholars and libraries.
In this collection of 17 articles, top scholars synthesize and analyze scholarship on this widely used tool of policy analysis, setting forth its accomplishments, difficulties, and means of implementation. Though CGE modeling does not play a prominent role in top US graduate schools, it is employed universally in the development of economic policy. This collection is particularly important because it presents a history of modeling applications and examines competing points of view. - Presents coherent summaries of CGE theories that inform major model types - Covers the construction of CGE databases, model solving, and computer-assisted interpretation of results - Shows how CGE modeling has made a contribution to economic policy
Policies affecting resource allocation across tradable sectors and those affecting the incentives to produce tradable activities are key determinants of macroeconomic balance and growth. Computable general equilibrium models have made significant contributions to both types of policies. With advancements in computing power and software, these models have become easy to implement and are now widespread. The question then is when and how to formulate them to avoid the ‘black box’ syndrome.This book seeks to address these issues through carefully selected essays that analyse how to model general equilibrium linkages in a single economy, across developing and developed economies, and across both micro and macro policies. Micro policies examined include tariffs quotas and VERs, the choice of taxes to maximize government revenue, migration and remittances, and the political economy of tariff setting. Applications on macro policies cover capital inflows, real exchange rate determination, and the modeling of the effects of adjustment policies on income distribution.The book provides insights on the development of a family of models for diverse policy choices, focusing on the ways to model the following: links between tradable and non-tradable activities, labor markets, and portfolio choices given limited capital mobility. Selected essays are all inspired by specific policy problems, including the adaptation to external shocks (i.e. oil), consequences of capital inflows, determinants of migration and associated remittances, the productivity of foreign aid, and rent-seeking activities under trade regimes with non-price trade restrictions. Examples in this book lay out the theoretical foundations, alongside a variety of applications, to help formulate coherent and transparent models for policy analysis. Archetype economies are extensively used to show how differences in economic structure influence the effects of policies. Graduate students and policy analysts interested in modeling will find this a useful compendium of studies.
INSTANT NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER “One of the most important books I’ve ever read—an indispensable guide to thinking clearly about the world.” – Bill Gates “Hans Rosling tells the story of ‘the secret silent miracle of human progress’ as only he can. But Factfulness does much more than that. It also explains why progress is so often secret and silent and teaches readers how to see it clearly.” —Melinda Gates "Factfulness by Hans Rosling, an outstanding international public health expert, is a hopeful book about the potential for human progress when we work off facts rather than our inherent biases." - Former U.S. President Barack Obama Factfulness: The stress-reducing habit of only carrying opinions for which you have strong supporting facts. When asked simple questions about global trends—what percentage of the world’s population live in poverty; why the world’s population is increasing; how many girls finish school—we systematically get the answers wrong. So wrong that a chimpanzee choosing answers at random will consistently outguess teachers, journalists, Nobel laureates, and investment bankers. In Factfulness, Professor of International Health and global TED phenomenon Hans Rosling, together with his two long-time collaborators, Anna and Ola, offers a radical new explanation of why this happens. They reveal the ten instincts that distort our perspective—from our tendency to divide the world into two camps (usually some version of us and them) to the way we consume media (where fear rules) to how we perceive progress (believing that most things are getting worse). Our problem is that we don’t know what we don’t know, and even our guesses are informed by unconscious and predictable biases. It turns out that the world, for all its imperfections, is in a much better state than we might think. That doesn’t mean there aren’t real concerns. But when we worry about everything all the time instead of embracing a worldview based on facts, we can lose our ability to focus on the things that threaten us most. Inspiring and revelatory, filled with lively anecdotes and moving stories, Factfulness is an urgent and essential book that will change the way you see the world and empower you to respond to the crises and opportunities of the future. --- “This book is my last battle in my life-long mission to fight devastating ignorance...Previously I armed myself with huge data sets, eye-opening software, an energetic learning style and a Swedish bayonet for sword-swallowing. It wasn’t enough. But I hope this book will be.” Hans Rosling, February 2017.