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Assessing 'sticks' and 'carrots' in the non-proliferation arsenal of the world community, this book compares UN-based and national level sanctions and efforts aimed at reassuring non-proliferation. It deals with the lessons learned (or that need to be learned) from the concrete regional cases of proliferation or its risks.
The major topics discussed in Lessons to be Learned from Non-Proliferation Failures and Successes are divided into thematic parts and cover a wide range of issues, both from functional and from regional points of view. The first part of the book extends from assessing 'sticks' and 'carrots' in the non-proliferation arsenal of the world community, to drawing a more precise line between non-proliferation and counter-proliferation measures, and further to comparing UN-based and national level sanctions and efforts aimed at reassuring non-proliferation. Special sections are devoted to Nuclear Weapon-Free Zones and 'negative assurances' in their relations with non-proliferation, as well as to risks of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) terrorism and of further proliferation because of abundance of not so well-managed fissile materials in the hands of nuclear powers.
The major topics discussed in Lessons to be Learned from Non-Proliferation Failures and Successes are divided into thematic parts and cover a wide range of issues, both from functional and from regional points of view. The first part of the book extends from assessing 'sticks' and 'carrots' in the non-proliferation arsenal of the world community, to drawing a more precise line between non-proliferation and counter-proliferation measures, and further to comparing UN-based and national level sanctions and eforts aimed at reassuring non-proliferation. Special sections are devoted to Nuclear Weapon-Free Zones and 'negative assurances' in their relations with non-proliferation, as well as to risks of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) terrorism and of further poliferation because of abundance of not so well-managed fissile materials in the hands of nuclear powers. The second part of the book deals with the lessons learned (or that need to be learned) from the concrete regional cases of proliferation or its risk.
Assessing 'sticks' and 'carrots' in the non-proliferation arsenal of the world community, this book compares UN-based and national level sanctions and efforts aimed at reassuring non-proliferation. It deals with the lessons learned (or that need to be learned) from the concrete regional cases of proliferation or its risks.
This paper addresses three questions. First, has the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty (NPT) been a success or a failure? Second, what accounts for this success or failure? Third, what do the lessons from the first thirty-five years of the treaty suggest, if anything, about how to address the problem of proliferation and in particular, the post-Cold War and post-9/11 challenges that confront the international non-proliferation regime? The analysis presented here finds that the NPT has been surprisingly successful. Indeed, it is arguably the most successful arms control treaty in human history. Unfortunately -- and strangely -- this success has been either ignored or discounted as irrelevant. It will be argued that failure to fully acknowledge and understand the success of the NPT is a potentially dangerous policy error. To understand the treaty's success, the paper looks beyond security and technical factors and instead considers political factors and the way in which the NPT influenced countries' internal decision dynamics. It concludes by looking at the lessons learned and their implications for non-proliferation policy.
Originally published in 1983, this book presents both the technical and political information necessary to evaluate the emerging threat to world security posed by recent advances in uranium enrichment technology. Uranium enrichment has played a relatively quiet but important role in the history of efforts by a number of nations to acquire nuclear weapons and by a number of others to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons. For many years the uranium enrichment industry was dominated by a single method, gaseous diffusion, which was technically complex, extremely capital-intensive, and highly inefficient in its use of energy. As long as this remained true, only the richest and most technically advanced nations could afford to pursue the enrichment route to weapon acquisition. But during the 1970s this situation changed dramatically. Several new and far more accessible enrichment techniques were developed, stimulated largely by the anticipation of a rapidly growing demand for enrichment services by the world-wide nuclear power industry. This proliferation of new techniques, coupled with the subsequent contraction of the commercial market for enriched uranium, has created a situation in which uranium enrichment technology might well become the most important contributor to further nuclear weapon proliferation. Some of the issues addressed in this book are: A technical analysis of the most important enrichment techniques in a form that is relevant to analysis of proliferation risks; A detailed projection of the world demand for uranium enrichment services; A summary and critique of present institutional non-proliferation arrangements in the world enrichment industry, and An identification of the states most likely to pursue the enrichment route to acquisition of nuclear weapons.
This study looks at the interpretations and effects of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and offers readings of its possible future effects.
From the author of the classic The Wizards of Armageddon and Pulitzer Prize finalist comes the definitive history of American policy on nuclear war—and Presidents’ actions in nuclear crises—from Truman to Trump. Fred Kaplan, hailed by The New York Times as “a rare combination of defense intellectual and pugnacious reporter,” takes us into the White House Situation Room, the Joint Chiefs of Staff’s “Tank” in the Pentagon, and the vast chambers of Strategic Command to bring us the untold stories—based on exclusive interviews and previously classified documents—of how America’s presidents and generals have thought about, threatened, broached, and just barely avoided nuclear war from the dawn of the atomic age until today. Kaplan’s historical research and deep reporting will stand as the permanent record of politics. Discussing theories that have dominated nightmare scenarios from Hiroshima and Nagasaki, Kaplan presents the unthinkable in terms of mass destruction and demonstrates how the nuclear war reality will not go away, regardless of the dire consequences.