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Seminar paper from the year 2016 in the subject Economics - Case Scenarios, grade: 2,7, Munich University of Applied Sciences, language: English, abstract: The purpose of this seminar paper is to determine Israel’s current economic situation, the economic outlook for the next two years and the mains risks the country is exposed to. In this paper we evaluate Israel’s current real Gross Domestic Products (GDP) growth rate, current and lagging indicators influencing the GDP growth rate and different forecast models with input sample real GDP data. Finally the model with the best performance to forecast Israel’s real GDP growth will be applied, providing a forecast for the next two fiscal years.
The Israeli economy was performing well before the COVID-19 shock but the pandemic is threatening to reverse some of Israel’s recent economic achievements, raise poverty and exacerbate wide productivity disparities between its vibrant high-tech sector and lagging sheltered sectors. Lockdown measures and high uncertainty have led to a sharp contraction in output and reduced employment.
In this up-to-date study of the Israeli economy, Assaf Razin and Efraim Sadka cover the entire economic history of the state, focusing on links between Israel's economic growth, its integration into world markets, its tax and welfare systems, and the political conflicts in the Middle East. The authors present the first detailed economic analysis of the Palestinian uprising, showing how the unrest has led to a fall in Arab employment in Israel and serious economic loss to the occupied territories with some loss to Israel. They also examine how the uprising has affected Israel's financial standing internationally and the inflow of foreign aid. Razin and Sadka see promise for Israel's economy in the waves of immigration from the former Soviet Union, despite the current difficulties in absorbing the immigrants; in the coexistence of a flourishing and highly competitive private sector with a relatively large public sector, which is undergoing privatization; and in a tax structure that encourages long-term saving and business growth. By examining the interplay between the exchange rate, interest rates, and monetary and anti-inflation policies, the authors investigate the possibilities for renewed growth and conclude that the future of Israel's economy crucially depends on serious efforts to secure peace in the Middle East.
Research papers on economic conditions in Israel - considers population growth and its role in economic growth; covers structural changes in economic structure and industrial structure, capital investment, relationships between educational level and wage differentials, public expenditure on defence and public services, income redistribution, taxation, etc.; examines balance of payments and energy problems, the system of cost of living allowance, and dynamics of inflation; includes economic policy suggestions. Graphs, references, statistical tables.
The OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2021 Issue 1, highlights the improved prospects for the global economy due to vaccinations and stronger policy support, but also points to uneven progress across countries and key risks and challenges in maintaining and strengthening the recovery.
First published in 1991, during a significant stagnation in the Israeli economy, this title discusses the causes of the economic downturn, and assesses the country’s prospects. Throughout, Aharoni measures the economic problems Israel has endured against the social and economic successes it has been able to achieve. He highlights the incongruities of the aspirations of Israel’s founders and supporters and the reality, as well as the interplay of economic and political forces that have shaped this. With a detailed introduction to the ideology and development of the state of Israel, and a history of the Israeli economy and its institutional structure, this title will be of significant value to any student studying the economic history of Israel and the Middle East.
First published in 1960, The Economy of Israel presents a critical account of the first ten years of Israeli economy. The book starts with a short description of the physical nature of the country and an examination of the Zionist ideas which played a decisive role in the formation of Israel. Part I of the book surveys the economy of Israel and traces the significant features of its development between 1948 and 1958. Part II is not a photograph of Israel’s exchange regulations at one particular date, but an eclectic account of the variable features of a flexible system that had but one constant factor, namely, the absence at any time of an effective unitary exchange rate. Part III of the book contains some general observations that are largely speculative. The book concludes with an examination of the prospects of Israel’s economy with special reference to the charitable aid which has provided it with its life blood during the first decade. This is an important historical account for scholars and researchers of economics, Middle East economics, and history of Israel.