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Local Lyapunov exponent (LLE) is a finite-time version of Lyapunov exponent, a tool for analyzing chaos. In this paper, we propose a new approach in analyzing long-memory time series. We apply LLE in the context of long-memory processes. The distribution function of the LLE for ARFIMA(p,d,q) process is derived, and an unbiased estimator and some uniformly most powerful tests for long-memory are proposed.
A discrete-time stationary stochastic process with finite variance is said to have long memory if its autocorrelations tend to zero hyperbolically in the lag, i.e. like a power of the lag, as the lag tends to infinity. The absolute sum of autocorrelations of such processes diverges and their spectral density at the origin is unbounded. This is unlike the so-called weakly dependent processes, where autocorrelations tend to zero exponentially fast and the spectral density is bounded at the origin. In a long memory process, the dependence between the current observation and the one at a distant future is persistent; whereas in the weakly dependent processes, these observations are approximately independent. This fact alone is enough to warn a person about the validity of the classical inference procedures based on the square root of the sample size standardization when data are generated by a long-term memory process.The aim of this volume is to provide a text at the graduate level from which one can learn, in a concise fashion, some basic theory and techniques of proving limit theorems for numerous statistics based on long memory processes. It also provides a guide to researchers about some of the inference problems under long memory.
Establishing a new concept of local Lyapunov exponents the author brings together two separate theories, namely Lyapunov exponents and the theory of large deviations. Specifically, a linear differential system is considered which is controlled by a stochastic process that during a suitable noise-intensity-dependent time is trapped near one of its so-called metastable states. The local Lyapunov exponent is then introduced as the exponential growth rate of the linear system on this time scale. Unlike classical Lyapunov exponents, which involve a limit as time increases to infinity in a fixed system, here the system itself changes as the noise intensity converges, too.
The primary aim of this book is to provide modern statistical techniques and theory for stochastic processes. The stochastic processes mentioned here are not restricted to the usual AR, MA, and ARMA processes. A wide variety of stochastic processes, including non-Gaussian linear processes, long-memory processes, nonlinear processes, non-ergodic processes and diffusion processes are described. The authors discuss estimation and testing theory and many other relevant statistical methods and techniques.
Establishing a new concept of local Lyapunov exponents the author brings together two separate theories, namely Lyapunov exponents and the theory of large deviations. Specifically, a linear differential system is considered which is controlled by a stochastic process that during a suitable noise-intensity-dependent time is trapped near one of its so-called metastable states. The local Lyapunov exponent is then introduced as the exponential growth rate of the linear system on this time scale. Unlike classical Lyapunov exponents, which involve a limit as time increases to infinity in a fixed system, here the system itself changes as the noise intensity converges, too.
'Handbook of Statistics' is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with volume 30 dealing with time series.
The field of statistics not only affects all areas of scientific activity, but also many other matters such as public policy. It is branching rapidly into so many different subjects that a series of handbooks is the only way of comprehensively presenting the various aspects of statistical methodology, applications, and recent developments.The Handbook of Statistics is a series of self-contained reference books. Each volume is devoted to a particular topic in statistics, with Volume 30 dealing with time series. The series is addressed to the entire community of statisticians and scientists in various disciplines who use statistical methodology in their work. At the same time, special emphasis is placed on applications-oriented techniques, with the applied statistician in mind as the primary audience. Comprehensively presents the various aspects of statistical methodology Discusses a wide variety of diverse applications and recent developments Contributors are internationally renowened experts in their respective areas