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Today's Premier Guidebook for Understanding Agricultural Options and Making Them a Key Part of Your Trading and Risk Management Strategy Agricultural futures and options represent a vital niche in today's options trading world. Trading and Hedging with Agricultural Futures and Options takes an in-depth look at these valuable trading tools, and presents clear, proven strategies and techniques for both hedgers and traders to achieve their goals while minimizing risk. Relying on nuts-and-bolts techniques and examples as opposed to the mathematical models and theory favored by other options-trading manuals this practical, hands-on book discusses many topics, including: How hedgers and traders can use options effectively with realistic expectations Methods to understand price behavior including the "Greeks" (delta, gamma, vega, and theta) The importance of volatility and little-known ways to make it work to your advantage For producers and processors, agricultural futures and options are necessary components for controlling costs and hedging risks. For traders, they are proven vehicles for earning exceptional risk-adjusted profits. Whichever side of the aisle you are on, Trading and Hedging with Agricultural Futures and Options will provide you with the answers you need to effectively use these versatile tools and make them an integral part of your business.
"It is estimated that the world will need to produce as much food in the next forty years as it did in the past 8,000 years. Moving that food to where it is needed will require a massive investment in logistics, in port and transport infrastructure, as well as in distribution, processing and packaging networks within countries. Governments will not make those investments. Instead the task will fall on the world's investments. Instead the task will fall on the world's commodity trading (merchandising) companies. When most people think of agricultural commodity merchangs, traders and speculators, they imagine dubious characters manipulating markets and pushing up food prices for the world's poor. Few people understand what agricultural traders actually do, and how their markets function. This book is intended to at least partly correct that situation. It is aimed at students, journalists, legislators, regulators, and at everyone who would like to learn more about the sector."--Quatrième de couverture
The recent global financial crisis exposed the serious limitations of existing economic and financial models. Not only did macro models fail to predict the crisis, they seemed incapable of explaining what was happening to the economy. Policymakers felt abandoned by the conventional tools of the now obsolete Washington consensus and the World Trade Organization’s oversimplified faith in free markets.The traditional models for agricultural commodities have so far failed to take into account the uncertain character of the global agricultural economy and its ferocious consequences in food price volatility, the worst in 300 years, yielding hunger riots throughout the world. This book explores the elements which could help to close this fundamental modeling gap. To what extent should traditional models be questioned regarding agricultural commodities? Are prices on these markets foreseeable? Can their evolution be either predicted or convincingly simulated, and if so, by which methods and models? Presenting contributions from acknowledged experts from several countries and backgrounds – professors at major international universities or researchers within specialized international organizations – the book concentrates on four issues: the role of expectations and capacity of prediction; policy issues related to development strategies and food security; the role of hoarding and speculation and finally, global modeling methods. The book offers a renewed wisdom on some of the core issues in the world economy today and puts forward important innovations in analyzing these core issues, among which the modular modeling design, the Momagri model being a seminal example of it. Reading this book should inspire fruitful revisions in policy-making to improve the welfare of populations worldwide.
The recent introduction of agricultural options has created an exciting new opportunity to make spectacular profits at a low fixed risk. George Angell shows how to master these new instruments to earn maximum profits.
Agricultural Prices and Commodity MarketAnalysis discusses the application of economictheory to agriculture and the foodindustry, using quantitative tools. The blendof theory and application is unique in detailinghow demand and supply can be measuredand how econometric simulationmodels can be constructed and evaluated.This revised edition focuses on forecastingand generating long-term projections as wellas discussing the relatively unexplored areaof stochastic modeling, which is critical inhandling crop yield variability. Other topicscovered include agricultural policy analysisand futures/options markets. The role oftime series models in improving structuralequations and forecasting techniques providesa capstone.
Reflecting on the agricultural future options markets as the stable road through the often times volatile world economy, this important guide provides a basic but functional treatment of futures/options in price risk management for agricultural commodities, fully supporting material with actual data analyses to demonstrate and illustrate concepts. Offers an integrated treatment of fundamental and technical analyses of the markets, and provides extensive treatment of fundamental demand/supply analysis with data-rich examples and illustrations. Presents full coverage of technical analysis, using actual charts and prices to demonstrate concepts, and discusses the bar chart as guides to management decisions. Emphasizes interest rate, stock index, and currency futures as important to the agribusiness and multinational firm, providing a detailed study of these dimensions and sources of risk. Now updates all data-driven illustrations and examples and offers extended content, coverage, and sophistication to treatment on options.
The book aims at filling the wide gap in the existing literature to trade agricultural derivatives markets, specifically volatility. The ideas shared in this book can be of immense help to all the professionals participating in these markets, whatever be their role. The vision of the book is to help readers understand and grasp the specific nuances of trading in agri-commodity markets and industry practices, so that they are able to utilize it for creating significant value.The book covers all the major topics to help readers explain comprehensively the portfolio management techniques while trading volatility as an asset class in agricultural markets. The major theme of the book is to develop a systematic approach to understand the basics of the volatility trading in agricultural markets. The book progresses through various sections in a step by step approach building the basics of the portfolio management in agricultural volatility trading and discussing advanced concepts. While the target focus is to explain the agricultural markets in more detail, the application is not limited to agricultural commodities. The same principles can be applied to other commodities including metals and energy. Thus, the book can cater to a wider audience covering the entire commodities industry in their need to understand the application of derivatives to trade volatility as an asset class.
The only complete guide to an increasingly popular approach to futures trading This book outlines a highly successful alternative approach to trading commodity futures, specially tailored to today's low-priced commodities markets. Unlike technical analysis, which uses statistics to inform trading decisions, scale trading is a form of fundamental analysis in which a trader slowly buys prices as they reach bottom and sells them as they climb back up. Hal Masover describes scaling techniques that work in every commodity market, including metals, energies, utilities, and agriculture. And he supplies readers with a scale trading system that generates a complete rundown of how much money will be needed, when, and where. Satisfies the growing demand for guides to fundamental analysis-based futures trading Hal Masover (Fairfield, IA) is cofounder of Crown Futures, a top trading firm with offices in Fairfield, Iowa, Boulder, Colorado, and Cleveland, Ohio. He has been successfully trading futures since 1985.