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Commodity -exporting countries have sometimes found themselves worse off after a boom than before it, due to fiscal mismanagement of the boom proceeds. Good fiscal control during booms can temporarily acc[e]lerate the rate of economic development.
Time -series estimates for individual countries and cross -section and time -series estimates for a number of countries show the positive effects of interest rates on savings.
World Bank Technical Paper No. 335. Describes the World Bank's successful interventions in three international river basins--the Indus, the Mekong, and the Aral Sea--to foster riparian dialogue, cooperation, and agreements. The paper highlights the Bank's successes in these basins as model strategies to follow for avoiding the adverse impacts that riparian conflicts may have on economic development in other regions.
Fiscal policy in Latin America has been guided primarily by short-term liquidity targets whose observance was taken as the main exponent of fiscal prudence, with attention focused almost exclusively on the levels of public debt and the cash deficit. Very little attention was paid to the effects of fiscal policy on growth and on macroeconomic volatility over the cycle. Important issues such as the composition of public expenditures (and its effects on growth), the ability of fiscal policy to stabilize cyclical fluctuations, and the currency composition of public debt were largely neglected. As a result, fiscal policy has often amplified cyclical volatility and dampened growth. 'Fiscal Policy, Stabilization, and Growth' explores the conduct of fiscal policy in Latin America and its consequences for macroeconomic stability and long-term growth. In particular, the book highlights the procyclical and anti-investment biases embedded in the region's fiscal policies, explores their causes and macroeconomic consequences, and asesses their possible solutions.
Reducing inflation is the only sustainable way to increase the size of a country's financial system and thus promote the economic efficiencies associated with bank financial intermediation. Raising nominal deposit rates to fully offset higher inflation requires maintaining progressively higher real deposit rates. These real rates can reach unsustainable levels even at "only" double- digit inflation rates.
Rapid financial deregulation and the globalization of capital markets have led to dangerous financial volatility that could have a destabilizing impact on major economies. To reduce this volatility, new regulation may be needed.
Export structure is less diversified in low-income countries (LICs) and especially small states that face resource constraints and small economic size. This paper explores the potential linkages between export structure and economic growth and its volatility in LICs and small states, using a range of indices of export concentration differing in the coverage of industries. The empirical analysis finds that export diversification may promote economic growth and reduce economic volatility in these countries. Furthermore, the analysis demonstrates that the economic benefits of export diversification differ by country size and income level—there are bigger benefits for relatively larger and poorer countries within the group of LICs and small states.
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