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This study investigates the econometric properties of the demand for money function as it affects monetary policy. Particular emphasis is placed throughout on the general properties of conventional and alternative demand for money specifications and on the predictability of that demand over time. The author tests proposed explanations for the recent abnormal behavior of U.S. money demand by using a new data set--the Japanese data base--for the first time, offering important new insights into the general properties of money demand functions.
Seven years after the financial crisis of 2008, financiers remain villains in the public mind. Most Americans believe that their irresponsible actions and complex financial products wrecked the economy and destroyed people’s savings, and that bankers never adequately paid for their crimes. But as Economist journalist Andrew Palmer argues in Smart Money, this much maligned industry is not only capable of doing great good for society, but offers the most powerful means we have for solving some of our most intractable social problems. From Babylon to the present, the history of finance has always been one of powerful innovation. Now a new generation of financial entrepreneurs is working to revive this tradition of useful innovation, and Palmer shows why we need their ideas today more than ever. Traveling to the centers of finance across the world, Palmer introduces us to peer-to-peer lenders who are financing entrepreneurs the big banks won’t bet on, creating opportunities where none existed. He explores the world of social-impact bonds, which fund programs for the impoverished and homeless, simultaneously easing the burden on national governments and producing better results. And he explores the idea of human-capital contracts, whereby investors fund the educations of cash-strapped young people in return for a percentage of their future earnings. In this far-ranging tour of the extraordinarily creative financial ideas of today and of the future, Smart Money offers an inspiring look at the new era of financial innovation that promises to benefit us all.
This book discusses theories of monetary and financial innovation and applies them to key monetary and financial innovations in history – starting with the use of silver bars in Mesopotamia and ending with the emergence of the Eurodollar market in London. The key monetary innovations are coinage (Asia minor, China, India), the payment of interest on loans, the bill of exchange and deposit banking (Venice, Antwerp, Amsterdam, London). The main financial innovation is the emergence of bond markets (also starting in Venice). Episodes of innovation are contrasted with relatively stagnant environments (the Persian Empire, the Roman Empire, the Spanish Empire). The comparisons suggest that small, open and competing jurisdictions have been more innovative than large empires – as has been suggested by David Hume in 1742.
A stable money demand forms the cornerstone in formulating and conducting monetary policy. Consequently, numerous theoretical and empirical studies have been conducted in both industrial and developing countries to evaluate the determinants and the stability of the money demand function. This paper briefly reviews the theoretical work, tracing the contributions of several researchers beginning from the classical economists, and explains relevant empirical issues in modeling and estimating money demand functions. Notably, it summarizes the salient features of a number of recent studies that applied cointegration/error-correction models in the 1990s, and it features a bibliography to aid in research on demand for money.
Empirically, traditional money demand equations are frequently characterized by periods of quot;missing moneyquot; , unstable parameters, and autocorrelated errors. The common practice to solve these problems consists of changing the specification of the regressions once the shifts (which are usually associated to financial innovation) are identified. This paper provides an alternative approach to dealing with the unobservable process of financial innovation. It consists of modelling financial innovation as shocks that have permanent effects on the money demand, analogous to productivity shocks in production functions. This paper describes the theoretical model used and shows the failure of traditional money demand equations using cointegration techiques. It describes a simple GLS-iterative econometric model which allows the authors to recover the path of financial innnovation and obtain sensible estimates of the relevant elasticities. It also shows Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the behavior of the estimation procedure for particular samples and data generating processes, and to study how robust the procedure to some deviations from the basic assumptions is.