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This study examined the impact of financial liberalization and trade openness as well as their interactive effects on the growth of the Nigerian economy using annual time-series data for the period, 1981 to 2018. The results of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test show that all the variables are stationary at the first difference and the Johansen cointegration test results confirm the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables in the model. Two equations were specified and estimated using the dynamic ordinary least square (DOLS) estimation technique and the granger causality test was carried out. The results reveal that financial development, exchange rate, and interest rate spread have a significant influence on real GDP in Nigeria while trade openness, as well as its interaction with financial development, do not exert any significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. Further, this study supports the demand-following and trade-led growth hypotheses. Hence, this study recommends the design and implementation of a policy framework geared towards enhancing the intermediation efforts and deposit mobilization of the financial sector that would instigate the integration of the sector with the various productive sectors of the Nigerian economy and that trade performance in the country to be improved through economic diversification so as to boost exports, raise the country competitiveness and increase her national output.
The study examined financial development and economic growth in the context of the Nigerian banking system using the Toda-Yamamoto approach to Granger causality to test whether the relationship between financial development and economic growth follows the pattern of supply-leading and demand-following hypothesis propounded by Patrick (1966). The financial development indicators of the banking system, which depicts financial deepening and stability for the period 1960 to 2019 were utilised. The findings of the study showed that the relationship between financial development and economic growth was neither supply-leading nor demand-following for the sub-periods of 1960-1985 and 1986-2019. However, for the entire period of 1960-2019, the demand-following hypothesis was established, suggesting that in Nigeria economic growth granger cause financial development. This implied that financial development stemming from the banking system does not drive economic growth in Nigeria. In view of this, it was recommended that efforts be made by government to diversify and fast-track development in the economy to ensure that financial development impacts on economy.
The inadequacies of many past studies that have tried to highlight the causes of the persistent underdevelopment in developing countries—such as Nigeria—have been noted to derive mainly from the focus and, in some cases, the methodologies adopted by the researchers. It has been suggested that, although many researchers recognize the inability to reproduce sufficient profit as undermining the capitalist accumulation process (and as a result the development of an economy), they have nevertheless often tended to ignore the importance of the political-economic arrangement and historical factors in the formation of expectations about the rate of profit. Indeed, in some cases, they have failed to provide a substantive account of these critical variables. This book highlights how the inherent contradictions of the contemporary political-economic arrangement and some historical factors undermined the peculiar capital accumulation processes in Nigeria, which, in turn, has slowed economic development in the country. This book contributes to the field of Nigeria studies by filling gaps that exist in both theoretical and empirical literature on growth and development in the country, deviating from the orthodox approach of analysing the nation’s problems purely based on the factors internal to the country and by imposing ready-made theoretical logics on history. Rather, it studies Nigeria’s problems in juxtaposition with the world system and imposes historical evidence on theoretical logics. This book represents a good resource for both undergraduate and postgraduate courses on area studies. Researchers and policy-makers will also find it useful as a reference.
The book consists of six chapters with emphasis on the African continent. The first chapter deals with the introductory aspect of the work while a theoretical background is provided in the second chapter. The third chapter is an empirical work that examines the effect of banks with particular emphasis on their credit function to impact growth in Nigeria. The result encouraged further analysis into other countries in Africa in the fourth chapter. Still on the role of banks, the fifth chapter deals with the level of efficiency of the banks in Africa while the book is concluded in the sixth chapter.
The relationship between economic growth, growth volatility and financial sector development continues to attract attention in the theoretical and empirical literature. Over time, some studies hypothesize that finance has a causal linear relationship with growth. Recently several other authors contradict this claim and argue that the relationship that exists between finance and growth is nonlinear. We investigate these claims for Nigeria for the period between 1970 and 2015, using semi-parametric econometric methods, Hansen sample splitting techniques and threshold estimator. We observed no evidence of 'Too much finance' as claimed by many researchers in recent times. We show that the relationship between financial development and economic growth is U-shaped. This is equally true for the relationship between financial development and growth volatility. We also discuss policy implications of our findings and recommend financial innovations and decentralization of stock exchanges to boost access to financial services, in addition, improved regulation to enhance financial market efficiency.