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This paper examines the evolution of the exchange rate of the ruble vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar from exchange rate unification, in July 1992, to the end of 1993. The expected and actual paths of the exchange rate are related to the exchange and trade regime and to the stance of financial and exchange rate policies. An econometric analysis based on weekly data is offered, which suggests that monetary factors have a significant impact on the short run behavior of the exchange rate.
This paper examines the evolution of the exchange rate of the ruble vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar from exchange rate unification, in July 1992, to the end of 1993. The expected and actual paths of the exchange rate are related to the exchange and trade regime and to the stance of financial and exchange rate policies. An econometric analysis based on weekly data is offered, which suggests that monetary factors have a significant impact on the short run behavior of the exchange rate.
This paper examines the evolution of the exchange rate of the ruble vis-agrave;-vis the U.S. dollar from exchange rate unification, in July 1992, to the end of 1993. The expected and actual paths of the exchange rate are related to the exchange and trade regime and to the stance of financial and exchange rate policies. An econometric analysis based on weekly data is offered, which suggests that monetary factors have a significant impact on the short run behavior of the exchange rate.
We test the extent to which growth in the 11 CIS countries (excluding Russia) was associated with developments in Russia, overall, as well as through the trade, financial and remittance channels over the last decade or so. The results point to the continued existence of economic links between the CIS countries and Russia, though these links may have altered since the 1998 crisis. Russia appears to influence regional growth mainly through the remittance channel and somewhat less so through the financial channel. There is a shrinking role of the trade (exports to Russia) channel. Russian growth shocks are associated with sizable effects on Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and, to some extent, Georgia.
Seminar paper from the year 2006 in the subject Business economics - Investment and Finance, grade: 1,3, Anhalt University of Applied Sciences Köthen, course: International Banking ans Finance, language: English, abstract: The stock exchange market is one of the key mechanisms for attracting monetary ressources for investment, economy modernisation and stimulation of the production growth in a country. At the same time the world stock exchange markets can be a source of financial instability and even of macroeconomic and social shocks. Esspecialy volatible to economic shocks are the stock exchanges of transitional economies, such as Russia, which was characterised as a one of the most risky countries in early 90 ies. The transition of Russia from a plan to a market economy has caused increasing interest to stock exchanges as an important component of the stock market. Russian economists came to conclusion that stock exchange market is the nervous terminations of economy and of all spheres of the life of society. These nervous terminations react to the depth of the processes occuring in an organism, much earlier, than the organism itself. Therefore the stock exchange market is the lead indicator of what will occur in economy. But imperfection of the Russian legislation, absence of culture of corporate management, lacks in system of disclosing information and legal base demanding completion are the basic features of the exchange stock market in Russia. The purpose of my assigment, therefore, is to analyse the current competitive position of Russia on the world stock market, to reveal problems of modern Russian stock exchanges and to find out the reasons of their occurrence. The efficiency of the stock exchange in Russia will be assessed according to the models applied in the financial literature. In order to reach this target first we have to look at the theoretical aspects of the core essence and main functions of stock exchanges.
This Selected Issues paper describes structural reform policies in Russia in the last 15 years. There is evidence of a gradual convergence of Russia’s performance to that of more advanced economies, though significant gaps remain. Progress in Russia’s global competitiveness index indicators during the past 10 years has been generally stronger for those indicators in which Russia’s performance was comparatively weaker in 2006. The authorities’ view that oil prices will be persistently low and a real exchange rate more aligned to fundamentals should serve as incentives to build a less oil-dependent growth model. Clear targets, carefully sequenced actions, appropriate accountability, and frequent monitoring could help advance reforms.
In 1992 Russia unified the multiple exchange rates that had applied to international transactions. This paper describes the multiple exchange rate system that existed in Russia prior to mid-1992 and undertakes a theoretical exploration of the effects of the exchange rate unification that took place in July 1992. The model developed here allows for leakages between official and black markets and permits flexibility of the exchange rates in both official and parallel currency markets. Within this multiple exchange rate system with black market leakages, we trace the dynamic effects on official and parallel foreign exchange markets of changes in the types of policy instruments associated with Russia’s exchange rate regime reform. These instruments include adjustments of pegged interbank market exchange rates, rates of foreign exchange surrender taxation, and rates of taxation of capital account transactions.
During the post-Soviet period of 1992-98, the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia was essentially exchange rate-oriented due to overall economic and financial instability combined with hyperinflation (1992-94) and high inflation (1995-98). An exchange rate corridor system was introduced in 1995. The government debt crisis of 1998 triggered a shift to a managed floating exchange rate. After that crisis, exchange rate dynamics were largely market-driven. The exchange rate continued to be tightly managed through 2002-05. In 2004, less restrictive capital control regulations were adopted, marking a move from an authorization-based system to flow controls. The rouble experienced steady upward pressure and the Bank of Russia intervened repeatedly in the foreign exchange market to contain the rouble's appreciation. In 2005, the Bank of Russia introduced a dual-currency basket as the operational indicator for it exchange rate policy, again to smooth the volatility of the rouble's exchange rate vis-a-vis other major currencies. Following the global financial crisis, the Bank of Russia changed its policy focus towards moderating the rouble's depreciation. Interest rates were steadily raised, and a range of control measures was implemented. During 2009-12, the Bank of Russia further increased the flexibility of its exchange rate policy. Intervention volumes have steadily decreased. The overall scale of the exchange rate pass-through in the Russian economy has diminished in recent years. Greater flexibility on exchange rates has also let the Bank of Russia put increased emphasis on its interest rate policy. In 2013-14, the Bank of Russia plans to further increase the flexibility of the rouble exchange rate regime with a view to creating the conditions for a transition to a fully floating exchange rate regime by 2015.Full publication: "http://ssrn.com/abstract=2420030" Market Volatility and Foreign Exchange Intervention in EMEs: What Has Changed?