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Export and import price indices are essential for assessing the impact of international trade on the domestic economy. Among their most important uses are analyzing developments in the trade balance, measuring foreign prices` contribution to domestic inflation and deflating nominal values of exports and imports for estimating the volume of gross domestic product. This paper discusses the main uses of trade indices and the data sources used to compile them. It also presents various approaches used to compile foreign trade price indices, addresses various problems encountered in developing these indices, and provides some recommendations on how to address them.
A joint production by six international organizations, this manual explores the conceptual and theoretical issues that national statistical offices should consider in the daily compilation of export and import price indices. Intended for use by both ...
"International Labour Office, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Statistical Office of the European Communities (Eurostat), United Nations Economic Commission for Europe, The World Bank."
Unit value export and import indices compiled from returns to customs authorities are often used as surrogates for price indices in the measurement of inflation transmission, terms of trade (effects), and to deflate import and export value series to derive volume series. Their widespread use is mainly due to their relatively low cost compared with establishment price surveys. This paper provides evidence of substantial bias in their representation of such price changes. Their continued use would mislead economic analysis. The paper considers the efficacy of alternative strategies for their improvement, and argues for a move to establishment-based price surveys.
This Technical Assistance Report discusses technical advice and recommendations given by the IMF mission to the authorities of Uganda about finalizing the rebased producer price index (PPI) and developing export and import price indices (XMPI). It is proposed that the new PPI and the XMPI be compiled using a modified and enhanced version of the current PPI Excel-based processing system. Considerable time was spent with the XMPI team explaining the required functionality, and a partial compilation of the import price index was undertaken using Excel spreadsheets. For the PPI, an index structure and weighting pattern have also been derived based on the final 2009–10 supply and use tables.
A technical assistance mission assisted the Bureau of National Statistics (BNS) under the Agency for Strategic Planning and Reforms of the Republic of Kazakhstan in developing discrete quarterly estimates of Gross Domestic Product by expenditure (GDPE). The mission assisted BNS staff in developing chain-linked time series of GDPE components by applying the benchmarking and annual overlap techniques. The results were compared to the cumulative estimates currently published on the BNS website. The new estimates of quarterly GDPE better reflect the precise quarterly structure of the economy. These improvements to data and methods will improve the understanding of the Kazakhstan economy, both for domestic policymaking and international surveillance.