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Option theory predicts that mortgage default or prepayment will be exercised if the call or put option is quot;in the money.quot; We extend our analysis to commercial mortgages using data from commercial mortgage-backed securities. The paper presents a model of the competing risks of mortgage termination (default and prepayment) using data from commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) deals.Our results show that the option model explains both default and prepayment for commercial mortgages. We find that loan specific variables (such as loan-to-value ratio, debt service coverage ratio, loan-rate spread and prepayment prevention) are important explanatory variables for both default and prepayment. We also find that default and prepayment vary rather dramatically across regions of the country; given that regional economies do not move in perfect lock-step, we would expect there to be cross-sectional variation in default rates. However, the degree of variation across regions in terms of prepayments is not as predictable.
To valuate mortgage-backed securities, it is crucial to understand mortgage termination behavior. Analyzing the unique loan-level dataset, this study examines the characteristics of mortgage prepayment and default behavior in the Korean housing and housing finance markets. We find that loans to individuals with unhealthy financial characteristics -- for example, a high loan-to-value ratio, a high debt-to-income ratio, a lower credit rate, or a high excess premium -- have a higher prepayment risk in the Korean market, which contrasts with the findings on developed markets. The results of subsample tests across regions, loan purposes, and periods indicate that the prepayment risk in a high median price-to-income ratio region is sensitive to mortgage rates, whereas the prepayment risk in a low median price-to-income ratio region is sensitive to housing prices. Mortgages for purposes other than purchase or refinance are less sensitive to financial benefits in prepayment decisions. Prepayment and default behaviors have also changed over time.
The growth of financial intermediation research has yielded a host of questions that have pushed "design" issues to the fore even as the boundary between financial intermediation and corporate finance has blurred. This volume presents review articles on six major topics that are connected by information-theoretic tools and characterized by valuable perspectives and important questions for future research. Touching upon a wide range of issues pertaining to the designs of securities, institutions, trading mechanisms and markets, industry structure, and regulation, this volume will encourage bold new efforts to shape financial intermediaries in the future. Original review articles offer valuable perspectives on research issues appearing in top journals Twenty articles are grouped by six major topics, together defining the leading research edge of financial intermediation Corporate finance researchers will find affinities in the tools, methods, and conclusions featured in these articles