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The Chilean economy has rapidly recovered from the fallout of the Covid-19 pandemic, thanks to an impressive vaccination campaign and effective policy support. The authorities will continue leveraging on Chile’s very strong fundamentals and policy frameworks to safeguard the recovery, preserve macroeconomic stability, and boost inclusive and green growth.
After an impressive recovery from the fallout of the Covid-19 pandemic, the Chilean economy is confronting an acute deterioration of the external environment. Downside risks have materialized, including a tightening of global financial conditions, a slowdown in global growth, and a substantial drop in Chile’s terms of trade. Domestic economic policies are appropriately being recalibrated to mitigate risks and preserve macroeconomic stability, while supporting vulnerable groups. The authorities will continue leveraging on Chile’s very strong fundamentals and policy frameworks to implement an ambitious reform agenda in a challenging external environment.
The imbalances built during the pandemic have been largely resolved shifting priorities to supporting stronger, more inclusive and greener medium-term growth. The near-term outlook has improved, primarily due to higher copper prices and prospects for increased lithium production. In this context, policies are focused on creating conditions to add dynamism to the economy such as expediting investment permits while continuing with reforms to increase tax revenue and reduce inequality. The authorities remain fully committed to maintaining very strong policies and policy frameworks.
This paper explores Chile’s Request for an Arrangement Under the Flexible Credit Line (FCL). Chile qualifies for the FCL by virtue of its very strong fundamentals, institutional policy frameworks, track record of economic performance and policy implementation and commitment to maintain such policies in the future. Notwithstanding its very strong fundamentals and policy settings, Chile’s open economy is exposed to substantial external risks as a result of the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak, including a significant deterioration in global demand for Chilean exports, a sharp decline or reversal of capital inflows toward emerging markets, and an abrupt tightening of global financial conditions. The authorities intend to treat the FCL arrangement as precautionary and temporary, and to exit the arrangement as soon as the 24-month period is completed, conditional on a reduction of risks at the time of the mid-term review.
Macroeconomic imbalances built during the pandemic have been largely resolved, supported by strong policy responses. Inequality has declined somewhat but remains high. Weak investment and potential growth are constraining income convergence to advanced economies. Policy priorities have shifted toward making the economy more dynamic, inclusive, and greener, but the government is struggling to pass reforms in a fragmented parliament. The December referendum which rejected the draft constitution has reduced lingering uncertainty by bringing the process to a close for the coming years.
After an impressive recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Chilean economy is undergoing a necessary transition towards sustainable growth amid a challenging external environment. Policy implementation remains very strong, geared towards correcting macroeconomic imbalances that built up during the pandemic while protecting the most vulnerable and advancing structural reforms, consistent with past Fund Advice (Annex I). On August 29, the IMF Executive Board approved a two-year Flexible Credit Line (FCL) arrangement for Chile in the amount of SDR 13.954 billion (800 percent of quota) to augment precautionary buffers and provide substantial insurance against adverse scenarios.