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Research Paper (undergraduate) from the year 2008 in the subject Business economics - Economic Policy, grade: 1.0, University of applied sciences, Munich, language: English, abstract: The object of this study is to analyze the influence of fiscal policy, in particular of the public expenditure, on the stabilization of business cycle. Moreover, the functional principle of automatic stabilizers and the impact of fiscal stabilizers on businesses are studied. The condition for a steady economic development is achievement of stability targets like full employment of production factors, monetary stability, balancing of payment as well as equilibrium of foreign trade. To counteract the economic fluctuations government can apply two stability tools: the fiscal and the monetary policy. These both policies affect the aggregate demand and contribute to stabilize short-run economic fluctuations. The principle of the fiscal policy is an adjustment of public expenditure and public revenue (taxes) in according to the economic situation. A higher public expenditure leads to an increasing of the aggregate demand. The total change in GDP is depending on two opposite macroeconomic effects: the multiplier and the crowding-out effect. The multiplier effect results, that the total change in demand as well as in GDP can be a multiple of the initial public expenditure. Contrary, the crowding-out effect leads to a reduced aggregate demand due to the aligned increasing of interest rate. The impact of public expenditure on GDP depends on whether the multiplier effect or the crowding-out effect is stronger. An opportunity to avoid problems of lags in implementation by using of the fiscal policy is automatic stabilizers, e.g. tax system and government spending. They enable an automatic adjustment of the aggregate demand without additional actions or interventions of policymakers. The fiscal stabilizers have a positive impact on various businesses, but with different degrees. It could be summarized, that the fiscal policy affects both the aggregate demand and the aggregate supply. By means of fiscal stabilizers economic fluctuations could be smoothen.
Drawing on the most prominent research in the field, this timely book offers bold new fiscal policies that can complement current automatic stabilizers and counter-cyclical monetary policy to help combat recessions. Dr. Seidman argues for an independent fiscal policy board or the Federal Reserve to decide changes in the magnitude of Congress's fiscal policy package of stimulus or restraint, with recommendations going into effect immediately, subject only to Congressional override.
Examines the effects of the economy on the gov¿t. budget as well as the effects of the budget on the economy. Provides measures of the effects of automatic stabilizers on budget outcomes at the fed., state and local levels. At the fed. level, the deficit increases about 0.35% of GDP for each 1 percentage point deviation of actual GDP relative to potential GDP. For state and local gov¿t., the deficit increases by 0.1% of GDP. Examines the response of the economy to the automatic stabilizers by comparing the response to aggregate demand shocks. The authors find that federal policy actions are somewhat counter-cyclical while state and local policy actions have been somewhat pro-cyclical. Illustrations. This is a print on demand publication.
This paper measures the size of automatic fiscal revenue stabilizers and evaluates their role in Latin America. It introduces a relatively rich tax structure into a dynamic, stochastic, multi-sector small open economy inhabited by rule-of-thumb consumers (who consume their wages and do not save or borrow) and Ricardian households to study the stabilizing properties of different parameters of the tax code. The economy faces multiple sources of business cycle fluctuations: (1) world capital market shocks; (2) world business cycle shocks; (3) terms of trade shocks; (4) government spending shocks; and (5) nontradable and (6) tradable sector technology innovations. Calibrating the model economy to a typical Latin American economy allows the evaluation of its ability to mimic the region's observed business cycle frequency properties and the assessment of the quantitative relationship between tax code parameters, business cycle forcing variables, and business cycle behavior. The model captures many of the salient features of Latin America's business cycle facts and finds that the degree of smoothing provided by the automatic revenue stabilizers-described by various properties of the tax system-is negligible. Simulation results seem to suggest an invariance property for middle-income countries: the amplitude of the business cycle is independent of the tax structure. And government size-measured by the GDP ratio of government spending-plays the role of an automatic stabilizer, but its smoothing effect is very weak.
This paper discusses how to enhance automatic stabilizers without increasing the size of government. We distinguish between permanent changes in the parameters of the tax and expenditure system (e.g., changes in tax progressivity) that will enhance the traditional automatic stabilizer, and temporary changes triggered by certain economic developments (e.g., tax measures targeted at credit and liquidity constrained households, triggered during a severe downturn). We argue that, with some exceptions, the latter are preferable as they can be implemented with lower disruptions in other fiscal policy goals (e.g., economic efficiency). Moreover, countries should also avoid introducing procyclicality as a result of fiscal rules, as these would offset the effect of existing automatic stabilizers.
The size of government is a commonly used variable in many analytical studies on the effects of fiscal policy. An accepted practice is to measure it as the ratio of government spending to GDP. However, this is not the correct metric when computing the stabilization effects of nondiscretionary fiscal policy. Intuitively, public spending does not react to cyclical conditions as much as taxes do - as reflected in the standard zero-one elasticity assumptions for spending and revenue, respectively. This paper shows that the revenue to GDP ratio is the appropriate indicator of government size for the purpose of assessing the stabilization effects of nondiscretionary fiscal policy.
The paper revisits the link between fiscal policy and macroeconomic stability. Two salient features of our analysis are (1) a systematic test for the government’s ambivalent role as a shock absorber and a shock inducer—removing a downward bias present in existing estimates of the impact of automatic stabilizers—and (2) a broad sample of advanced and emerging market economies. Results provide strong support for the view that fiscal stabilization operates mainly through automatic stabilizers. Also, the destabilizing impact of policy changes not systematically related to the business cycle may not be as robust as suggested in the literature.
Offers fiscal policy options that can complement automatic stabilizers and counter-cyclical monetary policy to combat recessions. It argues for an independent fiscal policy board or the Federal Reserve to decide changes in the magnitude of Congress' fiscal policy package of stimulus or restraint.
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