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The rise in the share of labor costs invalue added in many industrial countries during the 1970s and early 1980s has led many observers to conclude that real wages are now too high and a source of "classical" unemployment. These conclusions are not necessarily valid. The increase in the labor share could be warranted by long-run changes in production techniques, in the price of energy, or in the relative availability of labor and capital. This paper uses a production function approach to examine these possibilities
Written by Anne Romanis Braun, a former staff member of the IMF's Research Department, this volume deals with the nature of wage determination and the problem of securing an economically appropriate development of money incomes in an open economy over the medium term.
The World Economic Outlook presents the IMF staff’s analysis and projections of economic developments at the global level, in major country groups (classified by region, stage of development, etc.), and in many individual countries. It focuses on major economic policy issues as well as on the analysis of economic developments and prospects. It is usually prepared twice a year, as documentation for meetings of the International Monetary and Financial Committee, and forms the main instrument of the IMF’s global surveillance activities.
The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.
The Fading Miracle provides a lucid account of economic policy in West Germany from the late 1940s up to the present. First published in hardback in 1992, this paperback edition has been updated to include events since then. The authors describe and evaluate the major policy controversies and decisions, and place particular emphasis on the characteristically German institutions of policy counselling and their role in policy formation. The book will be of interest to students and teachers of economics, and to all those with an interest in the development of the greatest economic power in Europe.
Originally published in 1985 and contributed to by internationally renowned economists, this volume discusses theoretical issues and country-specific experiences to review the underlying causes of the stagflation of the 1970s and early 1980s, as well as summarizing the kinds of macro-policies that were adopted to deal with the stagflation.
This paper examines the validity of the hypothesis that the level of the real wage rate, inclusive of employers’ expenditures for social insurance and employment or payroll taxes, is a major obstacle to a return to high employment in industrial countries. The hypothesis is tested by estimating a production function, solving it for the real wage rate that would be consistent with the high-employment level of labor input given the existing capital stock, and comparing this warranted wage with the actual real wage. The disequilibrium real wage rate hypothesis is based largely on the observation that, at least in manufacturing, the real wage rate defined from the employer’s standpoint—that is, the nominal wage rate deflated by the value-added deflator rather than by the consumer price index—has tended to grow faster than labor productivity during the past decade and a half. Voluntarily or as a result of government regulation, firms purchase equipment that produces products that are omitted from the measured gross national product (GNP).
This paper discusses the main features of Spain's recent adjustment effort and assesses its impact on the overall economic situation. It provides a brief historical background on Spain's economic development from 1960 to the early 1980s. The chapter also discusses the authorities' stance on monetary and fiscal policy and examines the role of exchange rate policy in the recovery of the external accounts. The progress in the fiscal area would appear to have been less satisfactory when viewed in terms of the size of the nonfinancial deficit, which over 1982–1986 hovered about 5.5 percent of gross domestic product. The government's medium-term economic strategy is to consolidate the recent gains by maintaining the economy on a path of noninflation growth. Monetary policy is likely to continue to play an active role in this process, as was made clear in early 1987 when the Bank of Spain tightened its stance significantly in response to the buoyancy of domestic demand and the concomitant expansion of private sector credit.
The oil price shocks of the 1970’s led to severe recessions in the 1980’s in the United States. Originally published in 1989 in the aftermath, Bohi attempts to show both how energy prices can cause a decline in output and employment and to explore important other factors which led to the recessions using the US, United Kingdom, Japan and Germany as examples. The findings in Energy Price Shocks and Macroeconomic Performance have major implications for energy policy and questions government plans which focus solely on preventing another oil supply disruption. This title will be of interest to students of environmental studies and economics as well as professionals.