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Direct real estate market analysis is a rigorous investigative approach for academic research, and for direct real estate investment research in practice. ‘An Asian International Real Estate Review’ considers the subject in the context of economic theory pertaining to market disequilibria, utilizing data from major cities in Asia as case studies. Such an approach makes it possible to determine what really defines an Asian direct real estate sector. What is being measured? How does it behave (in terms of price and non-price factors)? How is it structured? How effectively does it achieve sustainable total returns? And how does it manage direct real estate market uncertainty? Direct real estate market uncertainty originates from both the demand-side and the supply-side of the market. The market responds to structural macroeconomic and microeconomic factors that in turn are affected by related public policies. Such factors and policies interact to affect Asian direct real estate in unique ways since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. ‘An Asian International Real Estate Review’ shows that while the details of direct real estate market analysis are different for the various Asian cities (and their direct real estate sectors) owing to their different stages of maturity, underlying principles nevertheless apply. ‘An Asian International Real Estate Review’ also looks at managing direct real estate market uncertainty at the portfolio level via the analytical techniques of direct real estate asset allocation, direct real estate value-at-risk (VaR), real option analysis and pricing.
Direct real estate market analysis is a rigorous investigative approach for academic research, and for direct real estate investment research in practice. 'An Asian International Real Estate Review' considers the subject in the context of economic theory pertaining to market disequilibria, utilizing data from major cities in Asia as case studies. Such an approach makes it possible to determine what really defines an Asian direct real estate sector. What is being measured? How does it behave (in terms of price and non-price factors)? How is it structured? How effectively does it achieve sustainable total returns? And how does it manage direct real estate market uncertainty? Direct real estate market uncertainty originates from both the demand-side and the supply-side of the market. The market responds to structural macroeconomic and microeconomic factors that in turn are affected by related public policies. Such factors and policies interact to affect Asian direct real estate in unique ways since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. 'An Asian International Real Estate Review' shows that while the details of direct real estate market analysis are different for the various Asian cities (and their direct real estate sectors) owing to their different stages of maturity, underlying principles nevertheless apply. 'An Asian International Real Estate Review' also looks at managing direct real estate market uncertainty at the portfolio level via the analytical techniques of direct real estate asset allocation, direct real estate value-at-risk (VaR), real option analysis and pricing.
Real estate activity across national boundaries (investment, development and asset management) is firmly established as a major component of global economic activity. International Real Estate provides the understanding of real estate strategies and transactions that cross national boundaries. International organizations lament the narrow perspective of professionals in the real estate field, which stems from training that takes a parochial rather than international view of the practices and processes of real estate markets. This book takes an explicitly international perspective to the decision-making process leading to final 'accept' or 'reject' investment decisions. It will be the first to adopt an institutional approach that directly addresses the problems of how to identify and avoid the main pitfalls of cross-border investment in real estate. The key to understanding international real estate comes from understanding the impact on investment and management decisions of differences in the formal and informal 'rules of the game'. The authors define the key feature of international real estate as the institutions that frame, facilitate or impede investment in land and buildings across national boundaries.
This book is dedicated to real estate scholastic work, in advancing the greater understanding of real estate investment analysis. This is because there has been limited research in bringing out clearly the uncertainty or risk, which is quantifiable uncertainty in real estate market analysis. Even real estate market research, which is carried out as an industry practice among private real estate researches, is no exception. Another reason is that it has been widely accepted that while the financial revolution has substantially changed many sectors of the financial industry, it has made little impact on real estate development and investment practice as Ill as scholastic work. Furthermore, while it is readily acknowledged that despite its huge share in the world Ialth, real estate investment discipline and research is on the whole still a poorly researched subject area. As a result, the industry tends to be dominated by traditional real estate analysts with little understanding of real estate market uncertainty and capital markets. These commentators are widely regarded to spend too much time worrying about local space supply and demand conditions, while totally losing sight of the everchanging real estate market and capital market conditions. The theme of this book is real estate investment analysis of direct and indirect real, which in turn can be appropriately managed under economic theory and the theoretical conceptions of real estate finance, provided the uncertainty is quantifiable. The book deploys case studies involving Singapore and Asia. This Black over White background viii framework enables real estate market analysis to attempt what defines the Asian direct and indirect real estate sectors; what is being measured; how it behaves (in terms of price and non-price factors); how it is structured and how it effectively achieves the objectives of sustainable total returns and manageable real estate market uncertainty. Managing real estate market uncertainty optimally is achieved at the portfolio level through real estate asset allocation. This is important because the real estate portfolio is able to virtually eliminate the unique (i.e. specific) uncertainties among the various Asian real estate sectors; thus retaining within the portfolio only the systemic (i.e. market-wide) uncertainty. Apart from real estate asset allocation, the alternative and modern approach to risk management at the portfolio level, is the value-at-risk (VaR) approach. Another modern and important alternative to coping with uncertainty is real option analysis and pricing that help to better define real estate market uncertainty in extent and time. Real option analysis and pricing also represent uncertainty via a decision tree and the risk-neutral probability conception, in order to comprehend how uncertainty impacts on the value of real estate investment decisions. The pricing of uncertainty is based on the risk-free hedge security conception. These are best examined at the micro level of the investment in a real estate development opportunity on vacant land. Nevertheless, the real estate sectors in Singapore and Asia offer promising prospects since the Asian currency crisis of 1997. It is now timely to take stock and make an assessment of how the sectors would pan out for the future, Ill into at least rest the next century. I are very pleased to present our thinking and research in international real estate with particular emphasis on Asia. The region’s vast potential for real estate is itself a large incentive for international real estate research and education that has inspired me to document the significant work I have done over the years. Black over White background ix I wish all readers a pleasurable reading of this book, and I thank you sincerely for your support without which the publication of this book would be made all the more difficult. Dr HO, Kim Hin / David Honorary Professor (University of Hertfordshire, UK) (International Real Estate & Public Policy) March 2021.
China’s economy has been transforming rapidly over the last 25 years. As a result, Chinese conurbations have changed remarkably, with cities expanding both vertically and horizontally, and the physical environment acting as a medium for unprecedented urbanization. This has provided vast opportunities for investors, real estate developers, and service companies, but also presents huge challenges—as traditional city spaces have been reconfigured, environmental risks and the volatility of real estate markets increased. However, as engagement with China is becoming strategically important for many, forming a synthesized lens through which to read China across the vicissitudes of its real estate sector bears historic significance. By offering an insightful framework and structure for understanding China’s variegated real estate dynamics, players, and markets, Understanding China’s Real Estate Markets codifies the principles and practices of real estate development, finance, and investment in China and builds foundations for future academic research and practical knowledge in shaping and engaging the urban environment within China and beyond.
Considers real estate market analysis in the context of economic theory pertaining to market disequilibria, utilising data from major cities in Asia as case studies. This book looks at managing real estate market uncertainty at the portfolio level through the analytical techniques of real estate asset allocation.
This book explores how econometric modelling can be used to provide valuable insight into international housing markets. Initially describing the role of econometrics modelling in real estate market research and how it has developed in recent years, the book goes on to compare and contrast the impact of various macroeconomic factors on developed and developing housing markets. Explaining the similarities and differences in the impact of financial crises on housing markets around the world, the author's econometric analysis of housing markets across the world provides a broad and nuanced perspective on the impact of both international financial markets and local macro economy on housing markets. With discussion of countries such as China, Germany, UK, US and South Africa, the lessons learned will be of interest to scholars of Real Estate economics around the world.
This book is the first to evaluate the organisation, behaviour and performance of six major East Asian real estate markets. It offers a unique analysis of the growth and transformation of the real estate sector across East Asia. The authors examine the interactions between volatility in the sector and the overall stability of the economy, in particular during the Asia financial crisis of 1997-98, and the global financial crisis of 2008-09. draws on the best available theoretical and empirical literature applies analytic tools in the context of East Asian institutions and policies helps understand factors affecting resilience and stability in East Asian real estate markets.