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Classical inference in statistic and econometric models is typically carried out by means of asymptotic approximations to the sampling distribution of estimators and test statistics. These approximations often do not provide accurate p-values and confidences intervals, especially when the sample size is small. Moreover, even if the sample size is large, the accuracy can be poor due to model misspecification (nonrobustness). Several alternative techniques have been proposed in the statistic and econometric literature to improve the accuracy of clasical inference. In general, these alternatives address either the accuracy of the first-order approximations or the nonrobustness issue. However, the development of general procedures which are both robust and second order accurate is still an open question. In this thesis, we propose an alternative statistical test wich has both robustness and small sample properties for two large and important classes of models: Generalized Linear Models (GLM) and models on overidentifying moments conditions.
In the framework of generalized linear models, the nonrobustness of classical estimators and tests for the parameters is a well known problem and alternative methods have been proposed in the literature. These methods are robust and can cope with deviations from the assumed distribution. However, they are based on ̄rst order asymptotic theory and their accuracy in moderate to small samples is still an open question. In this paper we propose a test statistic which combines robustness and good accuracy for moderate to small sample sizes. We combine results from Cantoni and Ronchetti (2001) and Robinson, Ronchetti and Young (2003) to obtain a robust test statistic for hypothesis testing and variable selection which is asymptotically Â2¡distributed as the three classical tests but with a relative error of order O(n¡1). This leads to reliable inference in the presence of small deviations from the assumed model distribution and to accurate testing and variable selection even in moderate to small samples.
One-step efficient GMM estimation has been developed in the recent papers of Back and Brown (1990), Imbens (1993) and Qin and Lawless (1994). These papers emphasized methods that correspond to using Owen's (1988) method of empirical likelihood to reweight the data so that the reweighted sample obeys all the moment restrictions at the parameter estimates. In this paper we consider an alternative KLIC motivated weighting and show how it and similar discrete reweightings define a class of unconstrained optimization problems which includes GMM as a special case. Such KLIC-motivated reweightings introduce M auxiliary `tilting' parameters, where M is the number of moments; parameter and overidentification hypotheses can be recast in terms of these tilting parameters. Such tests, when appropriately conditioned on the estimates of the original parameters, are often startlingly more effective than their conventional counterparts. This is apparently due to the local ancillarity of the original parameters for the tilting parameters.
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) has become one of the main statistical tools for the analysis of economic and financial data. This book is the first to provide an intuitive introduction to the method combined with a unified treatment of GMM statistical theory and a survey of recentimportant developments in the field. Providing a comprehensive treatment of GMM estimation and inference, it is designed as a resource for both the theory and practice of GMM: it discusses and proves formally all the main statistical results, and illustrates all inference techniques using empiricalexamples in macroeconomics and finance.Building from the instrumental variables estimator in static linear models, it presents the asymptotic statistical theory of GMM in nonlinear dynamic models. Within this framework it covers classical results on estimation and inference techniques, such as the overidentifying restrictions test andtests of structural stability, and reviews the finite sample performance of these inference methods. And it discusses in detail recent developments on covariance matrix estimation, the impact of model misspecification, moment selection, the use of the bootstrap, and weak instrumentasymptotics.
Deftly balancing theory and application, this book stands out in its coverage of the derivation of the GLM families and their foremost links. This edition has new sections on discrete response models, including zero-truncated, zero-inflated, censored, and hurdle count models, as well as heterogeneous negative binomial, and more.
The generalized method of moments (GMM) estimation has emerged as providing a ready to use, flexible tool of application to a large number of econometric and economic models by relying on mild, plausible assumptions. The principal objective of this volume is to offer a complete presentation of the theory of GMM estimation as well as insights into the use of these methods in empirical studies. It is also designed to serve as a unified framework for teaching estimation theory in econometrics. Contributors to the volume include well-known authorities in the field based in North America, the UK/Europe, and Australia. The work is likely to become a standard reference for graduate students and professionals in economics, statistics, financial modeling, and applied mathematics.
The Oxford Handbook of Panel Data examines new developments in the theory and applications of panel data. It includes basic topics like non-stationary panels, co-integration in panels, multifactor panel models, panel unit roots, measurement error in panels, incidental parameters and dynamic panels, spatial panels, nonparametric panel data, random coefficients, treatment effects, sample selection, count panel data, limited dependent variable panel models, unbalanced panel models with interactive effects and influential observations in panel data. Contributors to the Handbook explore applications of panel data to a wide range of topics in economics, including health, labor, marketing, trade, productivity, and macro applications in panels. This Handbook is an informative and comprehensive guide for both those who are relatively new to the field and for those wishing to extend their knowledge to the frontier. It is a trusted and definitive source on panel data, having been edited by Professor Badi Baltagi-widely recognized as one of the foremost econometricians in the area of panel data econometrics. Professor Baltagi has successfully recruited an all-star cast of experts for each of the well-chosen topics in the Handbook.